Let’s dive into our Colts vs. Texans predictions in terms of best bets and player props for NFL Week 1.
The Texans hope to move from what was a 2021 season filled with off-the-field issues that may have influenced frustration on the field.
The Colts looked playoff bound, but with three-straight losses to end the season, they narrowly missed the playoffs. Indianapolis decided to make another move at quarterback for the second-straight offseason, as veteran Matt Ryan will now take over under center.
Colts vs. Texans Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | -8 | -380 | O 46 (-110) |
| @ Texans | +8 | +310 | U 46 (-110) |
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook as of 5 p.m. ET on Sept 6.
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 11
- Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: NRG Stadium — Houston, TX
- TV: CBS
Colts vs. Texans Trends
Let’s take a look at some relevant betting trends for the Colts vs. Texans:
- Indianapolis is 11-3 against the spread in its last 14 games on the road.
- Houston is 4-13 on the money line in their last 17 as an underdog.
- Indianapolis is 7-1 against the spread in its last 14 games against Houston.
- The Under is 7-1 in the last eight matchups between Indianapolis and Houston
- As of Tuesday afternoon, DraftKings reports that 72% of tickets and 67% of the handle are on Indianapolis against the spread.
- DraftKings also reports that 82% of betting tickets and 52% of the money are on Under 46 total points.
Is Matt Ryan The Missing Piece?
The Colts bring back the same offense from last season, except at quarterback. The Carson Wentz experiment in Indy is one-and-done, so they went and traded for a quarterback again in former MVP Matt Ryan to anchor this offense.
Ryan threw for 3,968 yards, breaking a ten-year consecutive streak of 4,000+ passing yards, and brings a passing element that the team did not have last season. This should bring a more-balanced offense in 2022.
While they do have the options to attack through the air, they still want to power this offense through last year’s breakout star RB Jonathan Taylor. He brings power running and quickness and can be used in the passing game, and many believe he could be a potential MVP candidate this upcoming season.
They also bring back a strong defense that was ninth last season in scoring defense (21.5) and a defensive front that allowed the ninth fewest rushing yards per game (21.5).
Can Davis Mills Progress In Year Two?
The Texans are trying to usher in a new era, hiring Lovie Smith as head coach.
QB Davis Mills caught some positive attention towards the end of last season with some outstanding performances, and this organization will entrust him to anchor this offense.
He will have WR Brandin Cooks as his top option, who had a second straight 1,000+ receiving yards season with the Texans, along with WR Nico Collins, who emerged last year and is hoping to break out in his sophomore year.
The player we could be talking about soon is rookie running back Dameon Pierce. The fourth-round pick grabbed everyone’s attention during the preseason and emerged as the potential lead back amongst a group of veterans.
Colts vs. Texans Props
These Colts vs. Texans props and projections are powered by BetPrep.com.
| Player | Prop | Projection | Line | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ryan | Pass Yards | 215.08 | 229.5 | -6.28% |
| J. Taylor | Rush Yards | 103.68 | 98.5 | 5.26% |
| M. Pittman Jr. | Rec Yards | 63.98 | 66.5 | -3.78% |
Colts vs. Texans Predictions
The Texans may not be as bad as last year, but this team is far from competing for an AFC South title.
After a disappointing year of narrowly missing the playoffs, the Colts knew they needed to upgrade at quarterback and got one of the most accurate passers in the league.
Indianapolis comes into this game with superior talent on both lines, the more impactful skill players, and the better defense.
The Colts begin the season with a big win.
Prediction: Colts -8 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook