The Colts are gearing up to take on the Cleveland Browns on Sunday, Oct 22. The game is slated for 1:00 ET and will be broadcast on CBS. Cleveland comes into this game as a 3-point favorite with the total set at 40.5. How will this matchup unfold? Let’s dive into the Colts vs. Browns predictions and player props below.
Colts vs. Browns Odds
- Spread: Browns -3
- Total 40.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Oct 22
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis IN
- TV: CBS
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Browns Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Browns have an over/under record of 1-3-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Through their last three road games, Cleveland has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 20 points per game.
- As the betting favorite, the Browns have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight-up record was 2-1.
Colts Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Colts have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Indianapolis has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 23 points per game while allowing 30. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- As the betting underdog, the Colts have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Indianapolis posted a straight-up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
Taking a Look at the Browns Chances in Indianapolis
Looking at the AFC-North standings, the Browns are in 3rd place on a record of 3-2. In the AFC, Cleveland is in 7th place heading into week 7. The Browns have a 3-2 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is +3.6.
In their most recent matchup, the Browns secured a win against the 49ers with a final score of 19-17. While picking up the win, the Browns also covered the spread as 9.5-point underdogs. In their game vs. San Francisco, the Browns and 49ers both ended with an over/under push. The line going into the game was 36.
Against the 49ers, the Browns ran the ball 34 times, with Jerome Ford as the primary rusher, accumulating 84 yards. P.J. Walker attempted 34 passes, amassing 192 yards and a passer rating of 45.
When it comes to defense, the Browns have given up 121.4 passing yards and 79.0 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Cleveland ranks 8th among other defenses. Coming into week 7, they have allowed 15.4 points per game and 200.4 yards.
Can Indianapolis Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?
The Colts’ week 7 matchup vs. Cleveland will be their 4th home game of the season. On the road, they have gone 1-2 and are 3-3 overall. In the AFC-South, Indianapolis is 2nd and 8th in the AFC. The current scoring margin for the Colts’ is -2, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 3-3.
The Colts are coming off a game where they were defeated by the Jaguars with a final score of 37-20. With a 17-point loss, the Colts added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 4-point underdogs prior to the game. The game’s over/under line was 44 points, leading to the over-hitting with a combined 57 points.
On offense, the Colts finished with 354 yards against the Jaguars. On third-down situations, the Colts had a 35.3% conversion rate. Zack Moss led the rushing attack with 21 yards, while Gardner Minshew passed for 329 yards.
In terms of yards allowed, the Colts are 26th in the league while giving up 357.2 yards per contest. Indianapolis’ defense has allowed 25.3 points per game, placing them 22nd in the NFL.
Colts vs. Browns Player Prop
In this week’s matchup, Jerome Ford has a rushing yards prop of 55.5.
Ford faces the Colts as the 20th-ranked running back in rushing attempts for the season, amassing 270 yards. Coming into the game, his average yards per carry stands at 4. I’d suggest going with the over on Ford’s prop of 55.5 yards. Indianapolis’ run defense has been just average so far, and I anticipate the Browns running the ball effectively, led by Ford.
The Prop: Jerome Ford Over 55.5 Rushing Yards | -110 at Bet365
Colts VS. Browns Predictions
Since the lines were initially set, Cleveland has moved from -2.5 point favorites to their current line of -3.
Recent reports indicate that Browns QB Deshaun Watson, who has missed the last two games, could start on Sunday. This could serve as a nice spark for the Browns’ offense. Pairing that with Cleveland’s seemingly elite defense, there’s a very good chance the Browns take care of business and cover the spread on the road.
The Pick: Browns -3 | -109 at Fanduel Sportsbook