Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Feb. 15

TAMPA, FL - APRIL 13: Brayden Point #21 of the Tampa Bay Lightning against the Detroit Red Wings during the first period at Amalie Arena on April 13, 2023 in Tampa, Florida.
Image Credit: Mark LoMoglio/NHLI via Getty Images

We have your Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Colorado Avalanche hit the road to face the Tampa Bay Lightning.

The Colorado Avalanche (33-17-4) are set to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (29-20-5) in a high-stakes matchup at Amalie Arena. With both teams in the thick of the playoff race, this game could have significant implications for postseason positioning.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Odds Info

Moneyline: Colorado Avalanche -105 (Bet365) / Tampa Bay Lightning -110 (BetMGM)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Colorado Avalanche -250 (BetMGM) / Tampa Bay Lightning +205 (BetRivers)

Total: 6.5 – +115 (PointsBet) / -134 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Feb. 15

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Amalie Arena – Tampa, FL

TV: ESPN+

Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 16 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Colorado Avalanche have 3 wins and 5 losses.
  • This season, the Colorado Avalanche have hit 33 overs and 21 unders.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 17 wins and 8 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 19 wins and 11 losses.
  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 26 overs and 28 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning have faced each other three times, with the Lightning winning two of those matchups and the Avalanche claiming victory once. These games occurred between February 9, 2023, and November 27, 2023. In terms of betting statistics, the Avalanche have covered the spread twice, while the Lightning have done so once. The over/under betting results show that the total score went over the predicted line once and stayed under twice. When looking at the home and away dynamics, the home team emerged victorious in two games, and the visiting team won once. The Lightning have shown a strong offensive presence with a total of 10 goals across the three games, compared to the Avalanche’s 7 goals. The goaltending performance was notable as well, with Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy and Colorado’s Alexandar Georgiev both having games with high save percentages of 1.000 and 0.974, respectively.

The most recent encounter between the two teams took place on November 27, 2023, where the Colorado Avalanche secured a 4-1 win over the Tampa Bay Lightning. In this game, the Avalanche were the favorites with a closing moneyline of -137, and they managed to cover the spread of -1.5. The game concluded with a total score of 5, which was under the closing over/under line of 6.5. The Avalanche’s goaltender, Alexandar Georgiev, had an impressive performance with a save percentage of 0.974, stopping 37 out of 38 shots on goal. Despite the Lightning outshooting the Avalanche with 38 shots on goal to their 23, they were unable to capitalize on their opportunities, with only Anthony Cirelli managing to score, assisted by Victor Hedman and Nikita Kucherov. Ryan Johansen led the Avalanche with two goals, contributing to their solid win at home.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

The Avalanche are coming into this game with a solid road record and a recent victory that has them looking to build momentum. Led by the dynamic Nathan MacKinnon, who has been a force offensively with 32 goals and 55 assists, Colorado boasts a potent attack that can challenge any opponent. However, their performance on the road has been less consistent, and they’ll need to shore up their play away from home to secure a win against a strong Lightning squad.

Tampa Bay, on the other hand, has been formidable at Amalie Arena, with a home record that speaks to their comfort on familiar ice. Nikita Kucherov has been the linchpin of the Lightning’s offense, contributing an impressive 34 goals and 56 assists. The Lightning’s recent form, including a two-game winning streak, suggests they are finding their stride at the right time. However, they’ll need to be wary of the Avalanche’s offensive threats and look to their own defensive capabilities, which have been a key factor in their success this season.

This game is not just a battle of two playoff contenders, but also a showcase of some of the league’s top talent. The goaltending matchup, potentially featuring Colorado’s Alexandar Georgiev against Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy, could be a deciding factor. Both teams have the firepower to light up the scoreboard, but it may come down to which team can make the critical defensive stops. With the Avalanche looking to improve their road record and the Lightning aiming to protect their home ice advantage, fans can expect an intense and competitive game.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Pick

Given the current form and statistics, the Colorado Avalanche moneyline bet presents a compelling choice. The Avalanche have shown resilience on the road, and with a win percentage of 0.611, they have demonstrated the ability to perform under pressure. Nathan MacKinnon’s exceptional scoring ability, coupled with Alexandar Georgiev’s recent goaltending prowess, gives Colorado the edge they need to overcome the Lightning’s home advantage. Additionally, the Avalanche’s recent head-to-head victory against the Lightning, where they managed to cover the spread and win comfortably with a strong defensive showing, suggests they have the blueprint to succeed in this matchup.

While the Lightning’s home record and offensive strength through Nikita Kucherov are notable, the Avalanche’s recent uptick in performance, including a solid win in their last game, indicates a team hitting their stride at the right time. The Avalanche’s ability to cover the spread in recent matchups and their higher overall win percentage this season suggest they have the upper hand. Considering these factors, along with the favorable moneyline odds for Colorado, backing the Avalanche in this encounter seems to be the prudent wager.

The Pick: Colorado Avalanche -105 (Bet365)

Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Brandon Hagel Points 0.5 9/10 -140 +110 1.4 1.20
Anthony Cirelli Assists 0.5 8/10 +175 -230 0.9 0.89
Anthony Cirelli Points 0.5 8/10 +100 -130 1.2 1.15
Nikita Kucherov Assists 0.5 7/10 -210 +160 1.2 1.18
Victor Hedman Points 0.5 7/10 -200 +154 1.2 1.08