College Basketball Betting: Michigan-North Carolina Leads Final Night Of ACC/Big Ten Challenge

Michigan Wolverines center Hunter Dickinson (1) looks on during the Roman Main Event tournament college basketball game between the Michigan Wolverines and the UNLV Rebels on November 19, 2021, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.
Image Credit: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The annual ACC/Big Ten Challenge headlines another robust week of college basketball betting action, with the super-sized conferences battling 14 times over a three-night span (Monday-Wednesday).

Props.com will profile each night’s marquee matchup. Wednesday’s most intriguing clash features NCAA national champions from the last four decades.

No. 24 Michigan At North Carolina

Dawson Garcia #13 of the North Carolina Tar Heels reacts after a three-point basket against the Elizabeth City State Vikings during their game at the Dean E. Smith Center on November 05, 2021 in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. The Tar Heels won 83-55.
Image Credit: Grant Halverson/Getty Images

Tipoff Time: 9:15 p.m. EST
TV: ESPN
Michigan: 4-2 SU / 2-4 ATS
North Carolina: 4-2 SU / 0-6 ATS

Odds: Side & Total

Sportsbook Spread Total
BetMGM Michigan -2.5 (-110) 150.5
Caesars Michigan -2.5 (-110) 151.5
DraftKings Michigan -2.5 (-110) 151
PointsBet USA Michigan -2.5 (-110) 151.5
The SuperBook Michigan -2.5 (-110) 151.5

Odds updated as of 1 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Dec. 1.

Betting Trends

Michigan Betting Trends

  • The Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games versus teams with winning home records.
  • Michigan is 9-2 ATS from its previous 11 games as the road favorite.
  • The Over is 1-4 with Michigan’s last five games as an overall favorite.

North Carolina Betting Trends

  • The Tar Heels are 0-7-1 ATS from their last eight games.
  • North Carolina is 0-3-1 ATS from its last four times of coming off a straight-up victory.
  • The Over is 4-0 in the Tar Heels’ last four Wednesday games.

Final Thoughts

Caleb Love #2 of the University of North Carolina Tar Heels reacts after scoring a basket during the second half of a game against the Tennessee Volunteers at Mohegan Sun Arena on November 21, 2021 in Uncasville, Connecticut.
Image Credit: Dustin Satloff/Getty Images

— The Big Ten currently leads this year’s challenge, 6-2. The conference victors to date: Iowa (road), Illinois (home), Minnesota (road), Rutgers (home), Purdue (home), and Ohio State, which rallied to beat No. 1 Duke at home Tuesday night (71-66).

— The ACC owns a lifetime mark of 140-121 in this event (launched in 1999), along with a 12-7-3 series record. However, the Big Ten has won four of the last seven challenges (including one series tie in 2018).

— According to BetPrep.com, Michigan has toppled the Over in just nine of its last 29 games, dating back to last season. Conversely, North Carolina is 17-15 to the Over since the onset of the 2019-20 campaign.

— Straight up, Michigan has a 2-3 record in ACC/Big Ten Challenge play since the 2015-16 season. The Wolverines averaged 66.9 points per game during this stretch. North Carolina is 2-4 with the ACC/Big Ten Challenge over the past six seasons. For that period, the Tar Heels cleanly averaged 73 points per outing. Within this same timeline, North Carolina and Michigan split a pair of head-to-head encounters in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge, with the Heels winning 86-71 in 2017, and the Wolverines prevailing a year later, 84-67.

— Michigan and its opponents are averaging a combined 136.3 points per game this season. In fact, the Wolverines’ last five contests have fallen below tonight’s total of 150.5 points (via BetMGM). The per-game breakdown: 126, 132, 135, 142, and 119 points.

— North Carolina has eclipsed tonight’s total in four of its last five games, including a win over Charleston (94-83), and losses to No. 2 Purdue (93-84) and No. 13 Tennessee (89-72). For the season, the Tar Heels and their opposition are averaging 164.9 combined points per contest.

— Player To Watch: North Carolina guard Caleb Love has been a stat-sheet-stuffer this season, averaging 15.2 points, 4.2 assists, and 3.7 rebounds, while shooting 43.1 percent from the field. For the Tar Heels’ recent run of formidable opponents (Charleston, Purdue, and Tennessee), the sophomore averaged 17.1 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 4.3 assists. Love also has four games of two or more made three-pointers.

More College Basketball Betting: ACC/Big Ten Challenge

Michigan State Spartans forward Marcus Bingham Jr. (30) listens to instruction from his head coach Tom Izzo during a college basketball game between the Michigan State Spartans and the Grand Valley State Lakers on November 4, 2021 at the Breslin Student Events Center in East Lansing, MI.
Image Credit: Adam Ruff/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Louisville (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) at No. 22 Michigan State (5-2 SU, 4-2-1 ATS): Michigan State owns a 3-0-1 ATS record from its last four games as the betting favorite. DraftKings lists the Spartans as 4-point favorites. The Under has flourished in recent games involving Michigan State. For its last six outings, MSU and its opponents went below the total five times. The Spartans are also 8-2 with the Under, when chronicling their last 10 games as the betting favorite. Louisville, winners of four straight games — including Power 5 wins over Mississippi State (72-58) and Maryland (63-55) — is 2-9 ATS from its last 11 games as an underdog. The Cardinals are also 3-12-1 ATS when tracking the last 16 times they followed up an ATS victory.

Nebraska (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) at NC State (5-1 SU, 1-5 ATS): From Nov. 12-21, Nebraska and its opponents went below tonight’s 147 total on all four occasions. The last two games, however, yielded combined totals of 152 and 153 points, respectively. Three of NC State’s six seasonal outings have exceeded Wednesday’s 147 total (via DraftKings). In other trends, the Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with winning percentages above .600. Along those lines, NC State has a 1-10 ATS record from its last 11 games as a home favorite. The Wolfpack are 6.5-point home favorites tonight.

Virginia Tech (5-2 SU/ATS) at Maryland (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS): The Hokies, currently riding a two-game losing slide, are 3-0-1 with the Over in their last four games. Virginia Tech also has a 1-10 ATS record from its last 11 road games against teams with winning records. Maryland has a recent 5-0 record with the Under, when following a straight-up defeat. What’s more, the Terrapins are 4-0 with the Under, when chronicling the team’s last four games as a home favorite. Maryland is a 1-point home favorite (via Caesars Sportsbook), and the total is 132.

Wisconsin (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) at Georgia Tech (5-1 SU, 2-4 ATS): Georgia Tech, winners of five straight, is a consensus 3.5-point underdog against Wisconsin. Charting their last six games as a home underdog, the Yellow Jackets have a 5-1 ATS mark. On the flip side, Tech is 1-4 ATS when following a straight-up victory. Wisconsin (last week’s Maui Invitational champions) boasts a 5-1 ATS record from its last six games as the road favorite. The Badgers are also 4-0-1 ATS from their last five Wednesday games. Within tonight’s total of 131.5 (via PointsBet USA), Wisconsin and its opponents have eclipsed that figure just once in six games, whereas Georgia Tech has participated in four games of 132-plus points.

Miami (4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS) at Penn State (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS): The Nittany Lions are 3-point favorites tonight (via The SuperBook). All four of Penn State’s seasonal victories have come by 10 or more points — 16 over Youngstown State (75-59), 15 over St. Francis (74-59), 11 over Cornell (85-74), and 15 over Oregon State (60-45). Each of Miami’s three defeats involved a final spread of six or more points (95-89 vs. UCF, 76-60 vs. Dayton, and 96-64 vs. Alabama). The Nittany Lions and their opponents have eclipsed tonight’s 133.5 total three times this season (out of six games). The Hurricanes have been more successful in surpassing the total, accomplishing the feat in six of seven outings.

Jay Clemons
Jay Clemons remains the only sports writer on the planet to capture Cynposis Media's national award for Sports Blog Of The Year (beating out NBA.com, MLB.com, PGATour.com, The Players' Tribune in 2015), along with the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's pre-eminent award for Best Football Writer (2008). Through the years, Mr. Clemons has been a key figure with numerous blue-chip sports/media brands, namely the Detroit Lions, Sports Illustrated, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report and now American Affiliate's Props.com. Clemons, a graduate of Michigan State University and Wayne State University, has been an on-camera Web-TV host for Sports Illustrated, Bleacher Report and FOX Sports. In 2015, he also became the first-ever sports journalism professor at Kennesaw State University in suburban Atlanta. And for the betting community, covering the last two years of the sports calendar (2019-20 / 2020-21), Clemons enjoyed a rock-solid winning rate of 59.6 percent with point-spread and over/under selections (NFL, college football and college basketball.)

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