The Celtics and Oklahoma City Thunder will matchup on Wednesday, Apr 3. Tip-off for the game is 7:30 ET and will be shown on ESPN. Boston is favored by 8.5 points in this game, and the total is 231.5. Who do we think will come out on top? Keep reading for our top Celtics vs. Thunder predictions.
Celtics vs. Thunder Odds
- Spread: Celtics -8.5
- Total 231.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
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Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Apr 3
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: TD Garden, Boston MA
- TV: ESPN
Thunder Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 3-7 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 113 points per game in these contests.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Thunder have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
Celtics Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Celtics have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous home games, Boston has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 120 points per game.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Celtics have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
Can Oklahoma City Pull Off A Win at TD Garden?
Today, the Thunder will look to bounce back from a 109-105 loss to the 76ers. Oklahoma City was getting 3 points as the underdog in that game, and the O/U line was 219.5.
For the season, the Thunder have an O/U record of 40-34-1. In their games, the average combined scoring is 233.2 points, and the average O/U line is 232.7.
Oklahoma City’s ATS record for the season is 43-32, and they have gone 20-18 vs. the spread on the road. Currently, they have lost two straight games ATS on the road.
In the Western Conference, the Thunder are in 3rd place with a record of 52-23. On the road, they are 23-15, and they are 33-16 against other Western Conference teams.
As the underdog this season, the Thunder are 10-9 straight-up and 12-7 vs. the spread. Today, they are getting 8.5 points as the underdog.
The Thunder are one of the top scoring teams in the league, averaging 120.2 points per game (4th). However, on the road, they are averaging 117.5 points per game (6th).
Oklahoma City is one of the best shooting teams in the NBA, ranking 2nd in field goal percentage (49%). They are also 1st in three-point shooting percentage at 39%.
In terms of pace, the Thunder are 10th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.3% of their games.
In terms of defense, Thunder is currently on par with the NBA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 113.0 points per game. Most recently, the Thunder’s defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 109 points to the 76ers.
Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Boston?
The Celtics are favored by 8.5 points today and have gone 36-33 ATS as the favorite this season. In their last two games, they have covered the spread and have an overall ATS record of 38-34.
In their most recent game, the Celtics defeated the Hornets by a score of 118-104. The O/U line for that game was 218.5, and the teams combined for 222 points.
For the season, Boston has an O/U record of 38-36-1, and 46 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 231.5. The Celtics’ games have averaged 230.3 points per game.
The Celtics are currently in 1st place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 59-16. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 39-9 and 20-7 against the West. At home, the Celtics are 32-3 compared to 27-13 on the road.
In the Eastern Conference, the Celtics have an average scoring differential of +15.3 points per game at home and +8.0 points per game on the road. Their ATS record at home is 19-15 and 19-19 on the road.
When it comes to scoring, the Celtics are one of the NBA’s most potent offenses, averaging 120.9 points per game (2nd). At home, they have been even better, putting up 123.3 points per game.
So far, the Celtics have scored more than the NBA scoring average in 74.7% of their games. They are also one of the league’s top three-point shooting teams, leading the NBA in three-point attempts and ranking 2nd in three-point shooting percentage (38%).
Overall, the Celtics are 10th in field goal percentage at 48% and have the 2nd-best true shooting percentage. In terms of pace, they are 19th in the NBA.
Not only do the Celtics’ overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 5th in the league in points allowed. Boston has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 24th in the league over their last three games at 106.3 PPG allowed. On two point field goal attempts, the Celtics’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.2% and allowing 34.8% from beyond the arc.
Celtics vs. Thunder Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and his points prop of 28.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -123 while the under is at -111. With his prop at 28.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 31. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 55.0% and knocking down one three.
- The Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 Points (-123)
Celtics vs. Thunder Predictions
When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Thunder vs. Celtics game, our recommendation is to take the Thunder at +8.5. Despite our model showing the Celtics winning 117-116, we like Thunder as our point-spread pick.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 231.5, and our model predicts the Thunder and Celtics to score a combined 233 points. We recommend betting on the over.
The Pick: Thunder +8.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook