Celtics vs. Pacers Player Props & Predictions – Tuesday, May 21

Indiana Pacers forward Pascal Siakam (43) celebrates a made basket in the second half against the Philadelphia 76ers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Image Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

For your Celtics vs. Pacers predictions needs, we’ve got you covered as the Pacers hit the road to face the Celtics on Tuesday, May 21 at 8:00 ET. Currently, the total sits at 221.5, with the Celtics favored by 10 at home. Keep reading to get our Celtics vs. Pacers player props and predictions.

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Celtics vs. Pacers Odds

  • Spread: Celtics -10
  • Total 221.5

Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, May 21
  • Time: 8:00 ET
  • Location: TD Garden, Boston MA
  • TV: ESPN

Pacers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three road games, Indiana has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 114 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Pacers have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Celtics Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Celtics have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Celtics last ten home games, the team averaged 109 points per game while allowing 102. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 7-3 straight-up.
  • Against the spread, the Celtics have put together of 2-3 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 4-1 straight up.

The Pacers are coming off a 130-109 win over the Knicks in their last game. This win helped them close out their series vs. New York, as they won the series 4-3. Indiana picked up the win on the road and hit the over in terms of the over/under line of 206.5 points for the game.

Offensively, the Pacers were led by Tyrese Haliburton, who had 26 points and six assists. He also hit six threes on 50% shooting from beyond the arc. Andrew Nembhard also added 20 points for the Pacers and shot 80% from the field.

The Celtics are coming off a 113-98 win over the Cavaliers in their previous series. This win allowed them to close out the series in five games, as they took the series 4-1. Boston was able to close out the series at home. The over/under line for the game was 205 points, and the teams combined for 211 points, which was six points above the line.

Offensively, the Celtics were able to put up 113 points. They shot 52.5% from the field and hit 19 threes. Jayson Tatum led the team with 25 points, and he also added nine rebounds and 10 rebounds. Al Horford also had a big game, finishing with 22 points and 15 rebounds.

Can the Pacers Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

Indiana has an O/U record of 51-44-0 this season, and the over has hit in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 238.2 points per game compared to today’s line of 221.5.

The Pacers’ ATS record for the season is 51-42, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 25-22 ATS, while going 26-20 ATS at home.

Indiana’s last game finished with a combined score of 239 points, easily surpassing the O/U line of 206.5. The Pacers won the game by a score of 130-109 and were 2.5-point underdogs heading into the game.

This season, Indiana has an average scoring differential of -1.5 points per game on the road. They are 23-25 on the road, which is 16th in the Eastern Conference.

Overall, the Pacers are 47-35 this season, which puts them in 6th place in the East. Against the Eastern Conference, they are 32-20 and 11-6 against teams in their division.

This season, the Pacers are the NBA’s top-scoring team, at 123.3 points per game. They have been even better on the road, with an average of 119.4 points per contest. Indiana’s high-scoring offense has come while playing at the 5th highest pace in the league.

Looking at Tyrese Haliburton’s last five games, he is averaging 21.8 points per game on 54.4% shooting. In these games, he hit 4 threes per game. Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.4 points per game over his last five games and 21.7 for the season. Myles Turner has been scoring the ball well of late, with an average of 16.8 points per game on 60.8% shooting.

On the season, the Pacers are 26th in the league in points allowed per game at 118.9. They have been especially bad at home, where they are giving up 116.9 points per contest (25th). On the road, Indiana is 27th in the NBA, allowing 121.0 points per game.

Over their last five games, the Pacers have been much better on the defensive end, ranking 8th in points allowed at 105.6. In terms of three-point shooting, Indiana is the best in the league at defending the three, allowing opponents to shoot just 36.6% from deep.

One area where the Pacers have struggled is at the free-throw line, where they are 30th in the league in made free-throws allowed per game at 25.6.

Can the Celtics Offense Score Enough at Home?

Today, the Celtics will look to improve their ATS record of 47-41 as they are favored by 10 points against the Pacers. At home, Boston is 25-20 ATS and has an average scoring differential of +14.6 points per game.

Boston’s O/U record for the season is 48-43-1, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have seen a combined scoring total of 227.1 points, compared to today’s line of 221.5.

In their most recent game, the Celtics defeated the Cavaliers by a score of 113-98. The O/U line for that game was 205, and Boston was favored by 15.5 points.

Overall, the Celtics finished the regular season with a record of 64-18, which is the best in the Eastern Conference. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they went 41-11 and 23-7 in non-conference games.

In the Eastern Conference, the Celtics are currently the top seed. They have won three straight games and are 5-5 in their last 10.

This season, the Celtics are averaging 120.6 points per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, with an average of 121.5 points per contest. Boston is also the league leader in three-point shooting percentage, at 38%, and are averaging 16.5 made threes per game.

Jayson Tatum is averaging 26.8 points per game over his last five games, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 23.4 points in that same stretch. Brown has hit 59.2% of his shots in his last five games, while Tatum’s field goal percentage is 44.1%. Derrick White is averaging 14 points per game on 38.1% shooting and a three-point shooting percentage of 39.6%.

When it comes to defense, the Boston Celtics have been one of the best teams in the league this season. They are currently 3rd in the NBA in points allowed per game at 107.9. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, they are 2nd in the league at 45.3%. Their two-point defense has been particularly strong, ranking 3rd in the NBA in that category.

One area where the Celtics have been able to limit their opponents is at the free-throw line. They are currently 1st in the league in made free-throws allowed per game at just 16.7.

Over their last five games, the Celtics have been even better defensively, allowing just 101.2 points per game. During this stretch, their field goal percentage allowed has been 46.1%.

Celtics vs. Pacers Player Props

A player prop we are looking at is Pascal Siakam and his points prop of 20.5.

Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -108 while the under is at -118. With his prop at 20.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 21. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 56.2% and knocking down one three.

  • The Prop: Pascal Siakam Over 20.5 Points (-108)

Celtics vs. Pacers Predictions

For a point-spread bet in this Pacers vs. Celtics matchup, we’re leaning towards the Pacers at +10. Although our projections show the Celtics winning 116-115, we suggest placing your bet on the Pacers for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 221.5 and our model has the Pacers and Celtics finishing with a combined 231 points. Our pick is to take the over.

The Pick: Pacers +10 | at Fanduel Sportsbook