Celtics vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Picks For Game 1

Boston Celtics guard Marcus Smart (36) talks to teammates during a break in the action against the Sacramento Kings in the fourth quarter at the Golden 1 Center.
Image Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

The Eastern Conference Finals are here, as the Boston Celtics will host the Miami Heat for Game 1 on Wednesday, May 17. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 pm ET while airing on TNT.

The Celtics enter this game as 8.5-point favorites with the total set at 210.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Celtics vs. Heat predictions, odds, and picks for Game 1 below.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds

  • Spread: Celtics -8.5
  • Total: 210.5

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Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, May 17
  • Time: 8:30 pm ET
  • Location: TD Garden – Boston, MA
  • TV: TNT

Our top NBA props. Everyday. Matt LaMarca runs through his Best NBA Player Props Today for this pair of playoff games.

Heat Betting Trends

  • Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • Over is 8-1 in Heat last 9 road games.

Celtics Betting Trends

  • Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Over is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 overall.

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Celtics vs. Heat Predictions

With an impressive 7-2 ATS record in their last nine games, the Heat have been outperforming expectations and consistently covering the spread. There’s a good chance that continues in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Let’s take a look at why.

First and foremost, the Miami Heat have proven their resilience in dogfights on the road during the playoffs. As the league’s best team ATS in the playoffs, they’ve shown a penchant for stepping up in high-pressure situations.

On the other hand, the Boston Celtics hold a subpar 5-8 ATS record since the All-Star break when favored by at least 8 points. Also, the Celtics dropped the first game of the Eastern Conference semifinals by a score of 115-119 despite stepping in as 10.5 point home favorites over the Philadelphia 76ers.

Moreover, it’s important to consider the impact of rest on both teams. With the extra time to recuperate and strategize, the Miami Heat are well-positioned to bring their A-game against the Celtics. Given their track record in high-stakes situations, it’s reasonable to believe that the Heat will be able to utilize this additional rest to their advantage.

Celtics vs. Heat Pick

The Miami Heat’s impressive ATS record, combined with their history of stepping up in playoff dogfights, makes them a compelling pick to cover the 8.5 point spread against the Boston Celtics.

With extra rest, a strong roster, and a proven ability to perform under pressure, don’t be surprised if the Heat make a run at the outright win.

The Pick: Heat +8.5 | -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook