Cavaliers vs. Heat Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Wednesday, Mar 20

Nov 15, 2023; Portland, Oregon, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers guard Max Strus (1) drives to the basket during the second half against the Portland Trail Blazers at Moda Center.
Image Credit: Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

Looking for Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions? We have you covered as the Heat travel to take on the Cavaliers on Wednesday, Mar 20 at 7:00 ET. Currently, the total sits at 204 with the Cavaliers favored by 1.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Cavaliers vs. Heat player props and predictions.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers -1.5
  • Total 204

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Mar 20
  • Time: 7:00 ET
  • Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland OH
  • TV: BSOH

Heat Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten road games, Miami has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 105 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 0-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.

Cavaliers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Cavaliers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Cleveland has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 109 points per game while allowing 105. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.

Can Miami Grab a Win on the Road?

Miami is 37-31 this season and is currently in 8th place in the Eastern Conference. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 25-18 and 11-3 against teams in their division.

On the road, the Heat are 20-16 this season and have an average scoring margin of +.9 points per game. In terms of their ATS record on the road, they are 19-14 and have gone 31-34 overall.

As the underdog, Miami has gone 10-20 this season and is 15-15 ATS. They have lost their last five games as the underdog and are 2-2 straight-up as the underdog. Today, they are getting 1.5 points against the Cavs.

In their most recent game, the Heat lost to the 76ers by a score of 98-91. The O/U line for that game was 205.5, and Miami was getting 2.5 points as the underdog. This dropped their ATS record to 31-34 for the season.

Miami has gone under the O/U line in seven straight games, and their games have averaged 219 points per game this season. Today’s O/U line is set at 204, and the Heat have an O/U record of 24-44 for the season.

The Miami Heat are currently ranked 27th in the NBA in scoring at 109.8 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 107.1 points per game.

So far this season, Miami has scored below the NBA scoring average in 63.2% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, the Heat are 23rd in the league at 46%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Miami is 11th in the NBA at 37%. Overall, they are 29th in pace at 96 possessions per game.

Not only do the Heat’s overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 4th in the league in points allowed. Miami has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 4th in the league over their last three games at 98 PPG allowed. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.1% and 36.2% from three-point territory.

Can the Cavaliers Pull Off a Home Win?

In their last game, the Cavaliers defeated the Pacers by a score of 108-103. Cleveland was also able to cover the spread as 6.5-point underdogs.

Cleveland’s O/U record for the season is 31-36-1, and their games have averaged 223 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 204.

Against the spread, the Cavaliers are 34-32 for the season, going 17-14 ATS on the road and 17-18 ATS at home. As the favorite, they are 21-23 ATS compared to 13-9 ATS as the underdog. The team has lost two straight games ATS as the favorite.

Their win over the Pacers improved the Cavaliers’ overall record to 43-25. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 3rd place and 2nd in the Central Division. In non-conference games, Cleveland is 15-8 and 28-17 against the East.

So far this season, the Cavaliers have been a below-average offensive team, ranking 19th in the league with 113.5 points per game. In terms of pace, they are 20th at 97.4 possessions per game.

When playing at home, Cleveland has averaged 114.5 points per game, which is 17th in the NBA. Overall, they have outscored the league average in just 44.1% of their games.

One area where the Cavaliers have excelled is three-point shooting. They are 6th in the league in made threes per game at 13.6. However, their overall field goal percentage is just 13th in the NBA.

On average, the Cleveland defense is giving up 109.5 points per game (6th). Right now, they are on a 4 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. Inside the arc, the Cavaliers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.0% and 35.8% from three-point territory.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Jimmy Butler and his points prop of 22.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -113 while the under is at -121. With his prop at 22.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 23. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.7% and knocking down one three.

  • The Prop: Jimmy Butler Over 22.5 Points (-113)

Cavaliers vs. Heat Predictions

Not only do we have the Cavaliers winning this one by a score of 114-107, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Cavaliers at -1.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 204, and our model predicts the Heat and Cavaliers to score a combined 221 points. We recommend betting on the over.

The Pick: Cavaliers -1.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook