Browns vs. Bengals Predictions, Odds & Props – Week 1

Jan 8, 2023; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb (24) before playing the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium.
Image Credit: Philip G. Pavely-USA TODAY Sports

The Browns are set to face the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday, Sep 10. The game is scheduled for 1:00 ET while airing on CBS. Cincinnati enters this game as 2.5-point favorites with the total set at 48.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Browns vs Bengals predictions below.

Browns VS. Bengals Odds

  • Spread: Bengals -2
  • Total 48.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Sep 10
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland OH
  • TV: CBS

Bengals Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Bengals have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games away from home, the Bengals have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 24 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Bengals have a straight up record of 9-1. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.

Browns Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Browns have an over/under record of 1-3-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Browns offense has averaged 16 points per game while allowing an average of 20. Cleveland posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • As the betting underdog, the Browns have an ATS mark of just 2-2-1 in their last five games. Cleveland posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.

Can the Bengals Offense Score Enough in Cleveland?

As they kick off a new season, the Bengals are coming off a 2022-2023 season in which they made it to the AFC-Championship game. However, they suffered a 23-20 loss to the Chiefs. In the regular season, the Bengals held a record of 12-4. Their performance against divisional rivals yielded a 4-3 mark, putting Cincinnati 1st in the AFC-North standings.

Recapping the Bengals’ 2022 offense, they wrapped up the season 7th in scoring, averaging 25.7 points per game. Cincinnati ranked 28th in rushing yards, with an average of 95.9 yards per contest. In terms of overall yardage, the Bengals finished 10th (353.8) and had a red-zone conversion rate of 7.0%, which placed them 27th in the NFL.

On the defensive end, the Bengals are coming off a season in which they gave up an average of 19.6 points per game, putting them 5th. Overall, opponents averaged 337.7 yards per game vs. Cincinnati. In terms of turnovers, the Bengals forced 24 takeaways, which was 5th in the NFL.

Can the Browns Pull Off a Home Win?

Following a season where they wrapped up with a total record of just 7-10, the Browns are gearing up for their season opener. In the AFC-North, Cleveland finished 4th and posted a 3-3 record against their division opponents. On their home field, the Browns concluded with a 4-4 record, and when away from home, they went 3-6.

Offensively, the Browns ended 13th in yards per game, on an average of 21.2 points per game (17th). Cleveland’s passing game was 20th in passing attempts and 22nd in passing yards. Their ground game ended the season with an average of 146.5 yards per contest (5th).

On defense, the Browns finished the season ranked 18th in points allowed at 22.4 points per contest. On the road, Cleveland gave up 23.9 points per game compared to 20.8 at home. In terms of yardage, the Browns gave up 331.2 yards per game and finished the season 9th in turnovers.

Browns vs. Bengals Player Prop

Against the Bengals, Nick Chubb has a ‘To Score A Touchdown’ payout of -160. This puts the implied odds at 62%. The prop bet I like for the Browns is to take Chubb to score. I’d recommend locking this in at -160.

The Prop: Nick Chubb to Score a Touchdown -160

Browns VS. Bengals Predictions

For my spread selection in this matchup, I’m going with the Browns at home. With the line currently at +2.5, I suggest taking the opportunity to place a bet on Cleveland.

The Pick: Browns +2.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook