Are you in need of Broncos vs. Patriots player props and predictions? Well, you’re in the right place as the Patriots are on the road to face the Broncos on Sunday, Dec 24 at 8:15 ET. The current total is 34.5, and the Broncos are favored by 7.
Broncos VS. Patriots Odds
- Spread: Broncos -7
- Total 34.5
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Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec 24
- Time: 8:15 ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver CO
- TV: NFLN
Patriots Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Patriots have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-3-1 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, New England has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 15 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Patriots have a straight-up record of 1-4. But their mark vs the spread was just 1-3-1.
Broncos Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Broncos have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- In their last three games at home, the Broncos have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 19 points per game in this stretch.
- Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Broncos struggled vs the spread, going just 2-2-1. However, they still had a straight-up mark of 4-1.
Can the Patriots Pull the Upset on the Road?
This week will be the Patriots’ 7th road game of the season. So far, they have put together a record of 2-4 on the road and 1-7 at home. Their overall mark of 3-11 has them sitting 4th in the AFC-East. When it comes to the spread, the Patriots come in at 3-10-1. Going into week 16, their scoring margin per game is -8.1.
In their last game, the Patriots welcomed the Chiefs. The game finished in a 27-17 loss for the Patriots. With their 10-point loss, the Patriots ended with a push vs. the spread. Going into the game, they were 10-point underdogs. The over hit in their most recent game, as the Chiefs and Patriots combined for 44 points. The over/under line was 39.5.
New England’s offense finished with 206 yards of total offense vs. the Chiefs. On third down, the Patriots converted at a rate of 16.7%. Kevin Harris was the Patriots’ top rusher with 25 yards, while Bailey Zappe threw for 180 yards.
On defense, the Patriots are giving up an average of 223.4 passing yards per game and 84.9. In terms of sacks, New England is 16th among other defenses, and they are giving up 21.4 points per game and 308.3 yards.
Pressure Builds for Denver as Home Favorites
Coming into their game against the Patriots, the Broncos are trying to improve on a 7-7 record. This mark has them at 2nd in the AFC-West and 11th in the AFC. With a scoring margin of -3.4, the Broncos’ have achieved an ATS record of 5-8-1 so far.
The Broncos are coming off a 42-17 loss to the Lions. Alongside their 25-point loss, the Broncos also suffered an ATS defeat. They were 5.5-point underdogs before the game. The game’s over/under line was 49 points, leading to the over hitting with a combined 59 points.
In terms of offensive production, Russell Wilson finished with 223 passing yards with a completion rate of 56%. The Broncos ran the ball 28 times for 83 yards. The team’s third-down conversion rate was 5/13.
The Broncos’ defense, so far, has an average of 382.4 yards given up per game and 25.1 points per contest (28th). Leading up to the game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 66.7% and 25 passing touchdowns. In terms of stopping the run, they are 31st in the NFL.
Broncos vs. Patriots Player Props
The passing yards prop for New England quarterback Bailey Zappe is at 188.5. Based on the odds, he carries a 54% likelihood of exceeding this mark, while the under payout is -116. Thus far, Zappe has thrown for 719 yards while making 123 attempts. His completion rate for the season is 60.2%, and he holds a passer rating of 73.9. Look for the Patriots to rely heavily on their running game as they try to control the clock and keep this game within reach. I like the under for his prop of 188.5.
- The Prop: Bailey Zappe Under 188.5 Passing Yards (-116)
Broncos VS. Patriots Predictions
The Broncos opened as 5.5 favorites at home and since then, the oddsmakers have shifted the lines to -7 in their favor.
Even though the Broncos are favored to pick up the win, I don’t like how their defense looked in their last game. I see the Patriots covering the spread as seven-point underdogs.
The Pick: Patriots +7 | -112 at Fanduel Sportsbook