The Bills are set to face the Denver Broncos on Monday, Nov 13. The game is scheduled for 8:15 ET while airing on ABC. Buffalo enters this game as 7-point favorites, with the total set at 46.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Bills vs Broncos predictions below.
Bills VS. Broncos Odds
- Spread: Bills -7
- Total 46.5
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Game Info
- Date: Monday, Nov 13
- Time: 8:15 ET
- Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park NY
- TV: ABC
Broncos Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Broncos have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-2-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their five previous road games, Denver has an ATS mark of 1-3-1. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 19 points per game.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Denver has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 1-4 straight up.
Bills Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Bills have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous home games, Buffalo has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 26 points per game.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Bills have a straight-up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 3-7.
Can the Broncos Lock in a Win at Orchard Park?
In week 10, Denver is in 4th place in the AFC-West with a 3-5 record. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 15th place. The Broncos’ scoring margin for the season is currently -6.8. This has contributed to their ATS record of 2-5-1.
In their most recent matchup, the Broncos welcomed the Chiefs to their home turf. The game ended in a 24-9 win. While picking up the win, the Broncos also covered the spread as 7-point underdogs. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 45.5 points. By combining for 33 points, the under hit.
Against the Chiefs’ defense, Russell Wilson led the way with 114 passing yards and a completion rate of 63%. On the ground, the Broncos ran the ball 40 times for 153 yards. The team had 6 third-down conversions (42.9%).
Facing the Bills this week, the Broncos defense has allowed an average of 28.2 points per game. They currently rank 13th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 405.9 yards per contest.
Can The Bills Meet Expectations At Home?
As week 10 approaches, Buffalo is in 2nd place in the AFC-East, coming in with an overall record of 5-4. In the AFC, they currently reside in 8th place. Looking at the Bills’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at +8.9. This has led to an ATS record of 3-6.
In their most recent game, the Bills fell to the Bengals by a score of 24-18. In addition to their 6-point loss, the Bills also lost vs. the spread. They were 1.5-point underdogs heading into the game. In their most recent game against Cincinnati, the pre-game over/under line was set at 51, leading the under to hit with a combined total of 42 points.
Buffalo’s offense generated 317 total yards against the Bengals. On third downs, the Bills managed a conversion rate of 58.3%. Josh Allen led the team in rushing with 44 yards, while Josh Allen passed for 258 yards.
So far the Bills’ defense has given up an average of 334.0 yards per game and 17.8 points per contest (5th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 68.2% and have given up 10 passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 17th in the NFL.
Bills vs. Broncos Player Prop
Against Denver, Josh Allen’s passing yards prop is 274.5. Currently, the payout for going over this threshold is -116, while it’s -116 for staying under it. Up to this point, Allen has 2423 passing yards on 324 attempts. His overall completion rate stands at 71.3%, resulting in a passer rating of 99.6. Considering that Denver’s defense has been able to apply pressure up-front so far, I’m taking the under on Allen’s passing prop.
- The Prop: Josh Allen Under 274.5 Passing Yards (-116)
Bills VS. Broncos Predictions
When the lines opened Buffalo was the 8.5-point favorites on the road. Subsequently, the oddsmakers adjusted the lines to favor them at -7.
Buffalo’s passing offense is poised for another strong outing, given their recent success against Cincinnati. With a -7 spread in their favor at home, I’m backing Buffalo to cover.
The Pick: Bills -7 | -115 at Fanduel Sportsbook