We are looking at the best MLB player props for Tuesday, June 14. Projections are provided by the Betprep.com database. These projections are compared against MLB prop bet odds at sportsbooks to find the highest expected value of the day.
These lists serve as a preview for BetPrep’s MLB prop bet analysis. You can get complete access to BetPrep’s database and prop betting tools by registering for a free account here.
What Are MLB Player Props?
In short, MLB player props are wagers on aspects of a player’s performance in a given game or season. For example, you could bet on whether a certain player will go over/under a certain stat in a game. When looking at MLB player props, this could be hits, home runs, total bases, or strikeouts for pitchers. This article will look at the best MLB player props for games played on Tuesday, June 14.
Check out our full MLB Prop Betting Guide for more information on baseball prop bets.
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook as of 10 a.m. ET and are subject to change.
Top 5 MLB Strikeout Props
The following list displays the top MLB strikeout props for Tuesday, June 14. To sort by expected value, click the corresponding header.
Player | Prop | Odds | EV |
---|---|---|---|
T. Gonsolin (SP - LAD) | Under 5.5 K | +120 | 58.72% |
L. Gilbert (SP- BAL) | Under 5.5 K | +115 | 30.50% |
Z. Eflin (SP - PHI) | Under 5.5 K | -150 | 16.45% |
L. Webb (SP - SF) | Over 4.5 K | -160 | 14.82% |
C. Bassitt (SP - NYM) | Over 5.5 K | -140 | 10.48% |
To view the full list (and analyze all MLB prop bets), sign-up for a free BetPrep account here.
MLB Strikeout Props Notes
Tony Gonsolin (P – LAD) Under 5.5 K: This prop checks in at solid value with plus-money. Gonsolin has gone Under 5.5 strikeouts in 8 of his last 11 starts. He has not pitched beyond six innings this season either.
Logan Gilbert (P – SEA) Under 5.5 K: This is another line that pops thanks to plus-money on the Under. Gilbert is facing a Minnesota team that ranks middle-of-the-pack in strikeout rate, and they have chased several quality starters off the mound early in the last week (ask G. Cole and N. Cortes). Gilbert hasn’t topped 5.5 K in 3 of his last 4 starts.
Zach Eflin (P – PHI) Under 5.5 K: This one comes with some juice, but Eflin has gone Under 5.5 K in 8-of-10 starts this season. He averages 5.2 innings per start with only a 7.53 K/9 rate. That translates to a baseline of 4.6 strikeouts per contest, which creates value to the Under.
Logan Webb (P – SF) Over 4.5 K: Webb has racked up 5-plus strikeouts in 4 of his last 5 games. He’s a durable tosser who almost always flirts with 100 pitches. That will give him plenty of chances to find a handful of strikeouts.
Chris Bassitt (P – NYM) Over 5.5 K: His opponent, Milwaukee, is neutral in strikeout rate. However, Bassitt has cleared this mark in 9 of his last 12 starts, including 6 K’s in just 3.1 innings last time out. He should get to at least six strikeouts with a full workload on Tuesday.
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Top 5 HR Props
The following list displays the top HR props for today – Tuesday, June 14. To sort by expected value, click the corresponding header.
Player | Prop | Odds | EV |
---|---|---|---|
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B - TOR) | Over 0.5 HR | +320 | 26.67% |
R. Mountcastle (1B - BAL) | Over 0.5 HR | +475 | 18.83% |
P. Goldschmidt (1B - STL) | Over 0.5 HR | +310 | 11.78% |
B. Bichette (SS - TOR) | Over 0.5 HR | +450 | 8.50% |
J. Choi (1B - NYY) | Over 0.5 HR | +400 | 4.96% |
To view the full list (and analyze all MLB prop bets), sign-up for a free BetPrep account here.
Top HR Props Notes
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B – TOR): Do you really need an excuse to take Vlad Jr? Well, here’s one: Baltimore RHP Jordan Lyles held an inflated 1.90 HR/9 rate across 130 innings last season.
Ryan Mountcastle (1B – BAL): This game could feature plenty of round-trippers from both sides. Toronto LHP Yusei Kikuchi has had problems recently, and he coughed up three homers in a game earlier this month vs. Minnesota. Mountcastle has capable power with three homers in 11 games this month.
Paul Goldschmidt (1B – STL): Goldschmidt has it all: reliability, hotstreak, matchup, etc. Fresh off a homer yesterday, Goldy now turns his attention to Pittsburgh RHP JT Brubaker, who has a generous 1.64 HR/9 in his career.
Bo Bichette (SS – TOR): Bichette is seeing the ball extremely well with two hits in 5 of his last 6 games. He failed to come through for us as a top HR prop on Monday, but the Toronto infielder is in another fine spot on Tuesday.
Ji-Man Choi (1B – TB): Here’s your batter vs pitcher special. Choi is 8-16 with three homers lifetime off Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole. In his last start, Cole gave up 5 HR at Minnesota. Yankee Stadium’s short right-field porch could help Choi as well.
Where To Place MLB Prop Bets
You can find MLB props at almost every sportsbook. DraftKings typically has the best selection on a day-to-day basis, but FanDuel and BetMGM aren’t far behind. In the space below, we rank our top sports betting apps for MLB prop bets.
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