Armed Forces Bowl: Baylor vs. Air Force Prediction, Odds & Picks (Thursday, Dec. 22)

Air Force Falcons running back Brad Roberts (20) carries the ball in the second quarter against the Nevada Wolf Pack at Falcon Stadium.
Image Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

It’s the Armed Forces Bowl, as Baylor is set to face Air Force on Thursday, Dec. 22. The game is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET while airing on ESPN. Baylor enters this game as 3.5-point favorites with the total set at 43.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Baylor vs. Air Force prediction for the Armed Forces Bowl below.

Baylor vs. Air Force Odds

  • Spread: Baylor -3.5
  • Total: 43.5

Odds via WynnBET. Check out our exclusive WynnBET Promo Code to redeem your $100 risk-free bet today!

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Dec. 22
  • Time: 7:30 pm ET
  • Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium – Fort Worth, TX
  • TV: ESPN

Baylor Betting Trends

  • Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
  • Bears are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in December.
  • Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games in December.

Air Force Betting Trends

  • Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games overall.

Baylor vs. Air Force Prediction

Both of these teams love to run the ball. We all know about Air Force’s triple-option offense, and the Falcons run the ball more than any other team in college football. Baylor isn’t quite that extreme, but the Bears rank 32nd in the country for rush play percentage. 

In other words, this could be a classic game of keep-away with both sides doing their best to sustain long drives. This is a dream scenario for the under, as the clock should keep running throughout most of this contest. Those ticks are an Under bettors best friend, and this sets up as a 20-17 type of game that could be even lower scoring if these sides stumble in the red-zone.

Both defenses are capable of getting stops too, as Air Force ranks 18th and Baylor is 41st in opponent yards per carry. Let’s take Under 43.5 for the Armed Forces Bowl!

The Pick: Under 43.5 | -110 at WynnBET