It’s the last game of the First Four, as Arizona State is set to face Nevada on Wednesday, Mar. 15. The game is scheduled for 9:10 pm ET while airing on truTV. Arizona State enters this game as 2.5-point favorites with the total set at 132.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Arizona State vs. Nevada predictions below.
Arizona State vs. Nevada Odds
- Spread: Arizona State -2.5
- Total: 132.5
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. New to FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to bet $20 to win $200 in free bets!
Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Mar. 15
- Time: 9:10 pm ET
- Location: UD Arena, Dayton, OH
- TV: truTV
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Arizona State Betting Trends
- Sun Devils are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Sun Devils last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Nevada Betting Trends
- Wolf Pack are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games.
- Wolf Pack are 18-8-2 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 9-3 in Wolf Pack last 12 neutral site games.
Arizona State vs. Nevada Predictions
The public seems to be leaning towards Arizona State in this game, as the Sun Devils are the Power 5 option. However, most advantages in this matchup go to the Wolfpack as the underdog. Let’s take a look at some of those per KenPom.com. Nevada ranks:
- 25th in offensive turnover rate
- 6th in free throw percentage
- 44th in defensive rebound rate
Also, the Wolfpack rank 61st in offensive efficiency compared to 133rd for Arizona State.
Let’s compare those numbers against Arizona State, which ranks 313th in defensive rebound rate, 288th in free throw percentage, and 308th in effective field goal percentage.
Yes, the Sun Devils have a solid defense that ranks 29th overall, but the Wolfpack should be able to outscore ASU down the stretch and win in the margins like rebounding, free throws, and turnovers. Take Nevada to win it.
Prediction: Nevada wins 68-64
Best Bet: Nevada moneyline | +120 at DraftKings Sportsbook
