Alabama vs. Ole Miss Picks and Predictions – Wednesday, Feb. 28

Feb 24, 2024; Oxford, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi Rebels forward Moussa Cisse (33) reacts with guard Matthew Murrell (11) after a dunk during the first half against the South Carolina Gamecocks at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss.
Image Credit: Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Alabama Crimson Tide hit the road to face the Ole Miss Rebels.

The Alabama Crimson Tide (19-8) are set to face off against the Ole Miss Rebels (19-8) in a high-stakes SEC showdown. With identical overall records but contrasting recent forms, this game is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their standings late in the season.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels Odds Info

Moneyline: Alabama Crimson Tide -230 (BetPARX) / Ole Miss Rebels +210 (DraftKings)

Spread: +6.0 – Alabama Crimson Tide -108 (BetPARX) / Ole Miss Rebels -110 (Bet365)

Total: 166.0 – -109 (BetPARX) / -108 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: Wednesday, Feb. 28

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: The Pavilion at Ole Miss – Oxford, MS


Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends

  • On the road, Alabama Crimson Tide are 4 and 4 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Alabama Crimson Tide are 16 and 10.
  • Against the spread on the road, Alabama Crimson Tide are 4 and 7.

Ole Miss Rebels Betting Trends

  • At home, Ole Miss Rebels are 14 and 2 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Ole Miss Rebels are 13 and 14.
  • Against the spread at home, Ole Miss Rebels are 9 and 8.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels Predictions

The Crimson Tide, coming off a two-game winning streak, are looking to extend their success on the road. Alabama boasts one of the most potent offenses in the nation, ranking 2nd in average points with 91.1 and 4th in three-point field goals made. Guard Mark Sears, averaging 20.4 points per game, alongside forward Grant Nelson, leading the team with 5.7 rebounds per game, are key players to watch. Their ability to maintain Alabama’s offensive firepower will be critical against Ole Miss.

Ole Miss, on the other hand, is in a slump with a five-game losing streak, desperately needing a win to turn their fortunes around. Despite their recent struggles, the Rebels have shown they can compete at a high level, especially at home where they have a 14-2 record. Guard Matthew Murrell, leading the team with an average of 17.1 points per game, and Allen Flanigan, with 6.5 rebounds per game, will be pivotal in Ole Miss’s attempt to upset the Crimson Tide. The Rebels’ 56th-ranked three-point field goal percentage could be a difference-maker if they get hot from beyond the arc.

Defensively, both teams have areas to exploit. Alabama’s defense has been less than stellar, ranking outside the top 245 in several key defensive metrics. Ole Miss, with the sixth-best block rate in the nation, could leverage their shot-blocking ability to disrupt Alabama’s interior scoring. This matchup presents a classic offense vs. defense scenario, with Alabama’s high-scoring attack going up against Ole Miss’s more resilient defensive front. The outcome may well hinge on which team can impose their style of play on the other.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels Pick

The pick for the Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels game is ‘Over’. Alabama’s offense is one of the most explosive in the country, averaging 91.1 points per game, which is second in the nation. They have consistently pushed the total over, with a 20-7 record on the over this season. The Crimson Tide’s last five games have all gone over, indicating their offensive prowess is not slowing down. Ole Miss, while not as offensively gifted, has the shooting ability to contribute to a high-scoring affair, especially from the three-point line where they rank 56th in the nation. With Alabama’s defense being a weak point, this could open the door for Ole Miss to exceed their scoring averages.

Historically, games involving these two teams have seen high scores, and the set total line of 166.0 seems attainable given Alabama’s scoring capabilities and Ole Miss’s home court advantage where they have been significantly better. The Rebels’ need to snap their losing streak could result in an aggressive offensive approach, further supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Despite Ole Miss’s recent slide, their ability to block shots and potentially force Alabama into a perimeter shooting game could paradoxically increase the total score if the Crimson Tide’s shooters perform to their season averages. Therefore, the trends and stats suggest that betting the over is the right move for this SEC matchup.

The Pick: Over 166.0 -108 (DraftKings)