The Chicago Bears and Justin Fields are fresh off a bye while the Ravens get the mini-bye after a Thursday night loss to the Dolphins last week. Both teams are trying to piece together wins in different ways, and I think that this should be a good game on Sunday afternoon.
All odds courtesy of BetPrep.
Chicago Bears: Justin Fields
The Prop: Justin Fields Interceptions vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Odds: Over 1.5 (+123)/Under 1.5 (-156)
Justin Fields has thrown eight interceptions this season, but only one game resulted in multiple picks. I think that this has to do with some of the randomnesses of the interceptions that have happened. Fields is a rookie, and he has made some bad decisions, but he has been incredibly unlucky if you were to simply just look into the number of picks thrown and how they occurred.
Multiple linemen tipped, three off of the hands of receivers, and the bad throw to interception rate for Fields is off the charts. I think that this is important when looking into the future because I don’t really think that Fields’ interception count is a bit misleading, simply because if we had played these games out thousands of times, I think that he’d be closer to five picks than eight.
1. Justin Fields…
– Went into a hostile stadium
– In prime time
– Against one of the best defenses in the NFLAnd compiled 336 total yards and a TD pass to give his team the lead with under 2 minutes to play.
Bad quarterbacks don't do that. #Bears pic.twitter.com/24dJm7FHmi
— Erik Lambert (@ErikLambert1) November 9, 2021
The Matchup
The Ravens have a great secondary, but a lot of the talent shows up in coverage and not in interceptions. The Ravens have just five interceptions, and I think that they will not change much defensively for this game. A lot of these interception stats are schematic, along with a lot of luck.
The Pick
Either way, Fields has been far from careless with the ball, and I think that we have to take the under here, even with the juice.
