The Nuggets host the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday, Nov 26. Today’s game is set for 8:00 ET and will be shown on ALT. Denver comes into this game as 11.5-point favorites with the total set at 228.5. Keep reading to get our Nuggets vs. Spurs predictions.
Nuggets vs. Spurs Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -11.5
- Total 228.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Nov 26
- Time: 8:00 ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
- TV: ALT
Spurs Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, San Antonio has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 109 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 0-10 and an ATS mark of 3-7.
Nuggets Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous home games, Denver has an ATS mark of 2-8. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 106 points per game.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-8.
Can the Spurs Lock in a Road Win?
So far this season, the Spurs have a record of just 3-13, as they look to pick up a win over the Nuggets. The Western Conference sees the Spurs currently at 15th, and in the Southwest division, they are 5th.
In their recent game, the Spurs’ offense concluded with 112 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 109.9 points per contest. Offensively, the Spurs hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 25th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 26th in terms of percentage and 16th in three-pointers made.
Coming into the game, the Spurs will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 122.8 points per game (28th).
In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Spurs defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 56.5% while allowing 39.4% from downtown.
Do the Nuggets Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?
As they prepare to face off against the Spurs, the Nuggets are 10-6 overall and are looking to snap a two game losing streak. So far this season, Denver has excelled at home, achieving a 7-0 record, while their record on the road stands at 3-6.
The Nuggets’ offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 86 points against the Rockets. In that game, they made 7/30 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 34%. Nikola Jokic is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 28.2. Meanwhile, Michael Porter Jr. also brings a PPG average of 16.9 into the game.
This season, the Nuggets defense has been impressive, holding the 8th position in the league while permitting an average of 108.6 points per contest.
For the season, Denver is ranked 23rd in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 22.2 free-throws per game vs. the Nuggets and have an overall field goal percentage of 46.6%.
Nuggets vs. Spurs Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Victor Wembanyama and his points prop of 19.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -105 while the under is at -130. According to our projections, Victor Wembanyama is expected to record 16 points, 9 rebounds, and 3 assists. Regarding his points prop, we recommend taking the under at 19.5.
- The Prop: Victor Wembanyama Under 19.5 Points (-130)
Nuggets vs. Spurs Predictions
For a point-spread wager in this Nuggets vs. Nuggets game, we suggest taking the Spurs at +11.5. Even though our predictions have the Nuggets winning 111-101, we see the Spurs as the better choice on the point-spread.
As for the over/under, the line is currently at 228.5, and our model projects the Spurs and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 212 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
The Pick: Spurs +11.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook