The Raiders are set to face the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, Nov 26. The game is scheduled for 4:25 ET while airing on CBS. Kansas City enters this game as 9-point favorites, with the total set at 42.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Raiders vs Chiefs player props and predictions below.
Raiders VS. Chiefs Odds
- Spread: Chiefs -9
- Total 42.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Nov 26
- Time: 4:25 ET
- Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas NV
- TV: CBS
Chiefs Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Chiefs have an over/under record of 0-4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous road games, Kansas City has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 26 points per game.
- The last ten games that Kansas City was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 7-3 straight up.
Raiders Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Raiders have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Although Las Vegas has a straight-up record of 3-7 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 4-6. The team averaged 17 points per game in these games.
- Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Las Vegas has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
Will the Chiefs Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?
In the AFC-West standings, the Chiefs are placed 1st with a record of 7-3. Within the AFC, Kansas City holds the 2nd spot as they approach week 12. The Chiefs’ current scoring margin for the season stands at +6.1, contributing to their ATS record of 6-4.
The Chiefs are coming off a game where they were defeated by the Eagles with a final score of 21-17. Along with their outright defeat, the Chiefs couldn’t cover the spread despite being favored by 3. In their most recent game against Philadelphia, the pre-game over/under line was set at 46 leading the under to hit with a combined total of 38 points.
Looking at their performance on offense, Patrick Mahomes threw for 177 yards while completing 55% of his passes. On the ground, the Chiefs rushed the ball 30 times for 168 yards. The team’s third-down performance stood at 8/17.
In terms of yards allowed, the Chiefs are 4th in the league while giving up 283.2 yards per contest. Kansas City’s defense has allowed 16.4 points per game, placing them 3rd in the NFL.
Does Las Vegas Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?
This week will be the Raiders’ 8th game against an AFC opponent. Their overall record is 5-6 while going 3-4 against other teams in the AFC. In the standings, Las Vegas is 3rd in the division and 12th in the AFC. Taking a look at the Raiders’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -3.6. This has resulted in an ATS record of 6-5.
In week 12, the Raiders will be looking to recover from the 20-13 loss they suffered against the Dolphins. Despite their defeat against Miami, the Raiders managed to cover the spread as 14-point underdogs in that game. The over/under line for their most recent game against Miami was 44. Finishing with a combined total of 33 points, the under hit in this matchup.
Facing the Dolphins, the Raiders rushed the ball 16 times, with Josh Jacobs leading the team with 39 yards. Aidan O’Connell attempted 41 passes, accumulating 271 yards and a passer rating of 56.
The Raiders’ defense has, on average, allowed 342.3 yards and 20.5 points per contest (12th). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 67.8% completion rate and yielded 13 passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 27th in the NFL.
Raiders vs. Chiefs Player Prop
Looking at the prop market for this matchup, Aidan O’Connell has a passing yards prop of 199.5. The odds indicate a 53% chance of him surpassing this total, with an under payout of -117. Up to this point, O’Connell has 946 passing yards on 145 attempts. His overall completion rate stands at 62.1%, resulting in a passer rating of 70.6. With O’Connell up against a Chiefs defense that has been good at applying pressure on the quarterback, I’m leaning towards betting on the under for his prop of 199.5 passing yards.
- The Prop: Aidan O’Connell Under 199.5 Passing Yards (-117)
Raiders VS. Chiefs Predictions
Since the lines were initially set, Kansas City has moved from -8 point favorites to their current line of -9.
Look for Kansas City to pick up the win, but for Las Vegas to hang around and cover as 9-point underdogs.
The Pick: Raiders +9 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook