Props Staff

49ers vs. Buccaneers Player Props & Predictions – Week 11

Nov 12, 2023; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; San Fransisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) getting ready to throw the ball against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the third quarter at EverBank Stadium.
Image Credit: Jeremy Reper-USA TODAY Sports

The 49ers are set to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, Nov 19. The game is scheduled for 4:05 ET while airing on FOX. San Francisco enters this game as 11.5-point favorites with the total set at 41.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the 49ers vs Buccaneers player props and predictions below.

49ers VS. Buccaneers Odds

  • Spread: 49ers -11.5
  • Total 41.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Nov 19
  • Time: 4:05 ET
  • Location: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara CA
  • TV: FOX

Buccaneers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Buccaneers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Tampa Bay has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.

49ers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the 49ers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, San Francisco has an ATS record of 5-4-1 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • As the betting favorite, the 49ers have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. San Francisco posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.

Can the Buccaneers Offense Score Enough in Santa Clara?

In their matchup against the 49ers, the Buccaneers aim to build on their 4-5 record. This places them 2nd in the NFC-South and 8th in the NFC. With a scoring margin of +0.6, the Buccaneers’ have achieved an ATS record of 6-3 so far.

Most recently, the Buccaneers hosted the Titans. The game ended in a 20-6 win for Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers were able to cover the spread vs. Tennessee, as they went into the game favored by 2.5. In the matchup with Tennessee, the pre-game over/under line was 39.5. The under hit, as they combined for 26 points.

Tampa Bay’s offense produced a total of 340 yards against the Titans. When it came to third downs, the Buccaneers had a conversion rate of 46.7%. The leading rusher for the Buccaneers was Rachaad White with 51 yards, and Baker Mayfield contributed 278 passing yards.

Tampa Bay’s defense has come up with 16 turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 3rd in the NFL. Heading into week 11, they are allowing 19.2 points per game and 354.1 yards.

Can the 49ers Lock in a Home Win?

With an overall record of 6-3, the 49ers are 1st in the NFC-West. This record also has them 3rd in the NFC. At home, San Francisco is 3-1 compared to a record of 3-2 on the road. The 49ers’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at +12.1, putting their ATS record at 5-3-1.

After their 34-3 win over the Jaguars, the 49ers will look to pick up another win in week 11. As 3-point favorites against the Jaguars, the 49ers picked up an ATS win. The pre-game over/under line in their most recent game vs. Jacksonville was 44.5. The teams fell short of this figure with 37 points.

Offensively, Brock Purdy finished with 296 passing yards while completing 73% of his passes. On the ground, the 49ers ran the ball 30 times for 144 yards. The team went 4/12 on third down.

Defensively, the 49ers are currently ranked 9th in tackles for loss and 11th in sacks. Their opponents have been putting up an average of 15.9 points per game against them and accumulating 304.6 yards per contest.

49ers vs. Buccaneers Player Prop

Looking ahead to his game against Tampa Bay, Brock Purdy is being given a passing yards prop of 258.5. At present, the payout for exceeding this number is -122, while it’s -111 for staying under it. Purdy has recorded 2329 passing yards on 250 throws thus far. His overall completion percentage stands at 68.8%, resulting in a passer rating of 109.9. Given that the Buccaneers defense has been struggling to get stops on third downs, I like the 49ers offense to have a big game and will be taking Purdy and his passing yards prop of 258.5.

  • The Prop: Brock Purdy Over 258.5 Passing Yards (-122)

49ers VS. Buccaneers Predictions

Since the lines were initially set, San Francisco has moved from -10.5 point favorites to their current line of -11.5.

I’m taking San Francisco at -11.5 in this one. The team’s defense is coming off a good performance and should put together another good performance this week. I see San Francisco not only picking up the win but covering the spread vs. Tampa Bay.

The Pick: 49ers -11.5 | -113 at Fanduel Sportsbook