Dolphins vs. Raiders Player Props & Predictions – Week 11

Nov 12, 2023; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Raiders running back Josh Jacobs (8) gestures after making a first down against the New York Jets during the third quarter at Allegiant Stadium.
Image Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re on the hunt for predictions regarding Dolphins vs. Raiders, look no further. The Raiders are hitting the road to challenge the Dolphins on Sunday, Nov 19 at 1:00 ET. Currently, the total is 46.5, with the Dolphins being favored by 13.5.

Dolphins VS. Raiders Odds

  • Spread: Dolphins -13.5
  • Total 46.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Nov 19
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
  • TV: CBS

Raiders Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Raiders have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Raiders last three road games, the team averaged 14 points per game while allowing 26. Their record vs. the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Raiders have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Las Vegas posted a straight-up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.

Dolphins Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Dolphins have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 5-0 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • As the betting favorite, the Dolphins have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight-up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Do the Raiders Have a Shot at a Win at Miami Gardens?

Taking a glance at the AFC-West standings, the Raiders are 2nd with a record of 5-5. Within the AFC, Las Vegas is currently in 11th place as they enter week 11. Against the spread, the Raiders have a record of 5-5. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -3.3.

After a 16-12 victory over the Jets, the Raiders are looking for another win in week 11. Heading into the game, the Raiders were 0.5-point underdogs. With the straight-up win, they also covered the spread. The over/under line for their most recent game against New York was 35.5. Finishing with a combined total of 28 points, the under hit in this matchup.

Las Vegas’ offense generated 274 total yards against the Jets. On third downs, the Raiders managed a conversion rate of 33.3%. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing with 116 yards, while Aidan O’Connell passed for 153 yards.

Defensively, the Raiders come into the game allowing an average of 198.7 passing yards per game and 135.6 rushing yards. When it comes to sacks, Las Vegas ranks 8th among other defenses. Overall, they are giving up 20.5 points on 334.3 yards.

Will Miami Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

In the current season, the Dolphins hold an overall record of 6-3, placing them at 1st in the AFC-East. Their performance consists of a 1-2 record as underdogs and 5-1 when they are favored. Taking a look at the Dolphins’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +6.7. This has resulted in an ATS record of 6-3.

In week 11, the Dolphins will be looking to recover from the 21-14 loss they suffered against the Chiefs. In addition to losing straight-up, the Dolphins also lost vs. the spread as 0.5-point favorites. In the Dolphins’ latest game, the under bettors were correct as the teams totaled 35 points, below the line of 51.5 points.

Against the Chiefs, the Dolphins ran the ball 21 times, with Raheem Mostert as the primary rusher, accumulating 85 yards. Tua Tagovailoa attempted 34 passes, amassing 193 yards and a passer rating of 87.

The Dolphins’ defense has, on average, allowed 322.4 yards and 25 points per contest (23rd). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 69.2% completion rate and yielded 14 passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 13th in the NFL.

Dolphins vs. Raiders Player Prop

For this week’s matchup, Josh Jacobs has a rushing yards prop set at 62.5. The over is offering a payout of -115, which implies odds of 53%, while the under is paying out at -118 (54%). So far this season, Josh Jacobs ranks 1st among running backs in rushing attempts and has rushed for 622 yards. As he gears up for this week’s game, his average yards per carry is 3. I’d suggest going with the over on Jacobs’ prop of 62.5 yards. Miami’s run defense has been just average so far, and I anticipate the Raiders running the ball effectively, led by Jacobs.

  • The Prop: Josh Jacobs Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Dolphins VS. Raiders Predictions

The Dolphins opened as 8.5 favorites at home and since then, the oddsmakers have shifted the lines to -13.5 in their favor.

Even though we have the Dolphins winning the game, look for the Raiders to hang around and recommend taking them as the heavy underdogs vs. the spread.

The Pick: Raiders +13.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook