Browns vs. Steelers Player Props & Predictions – Week 11

Nov 12, 2023; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers running back Najee Harris (22) reacts after scoring a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers during the first quarter at Acrisure Stadium.
Image Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Looking for Browns vs. Steelers player props and predictions? We have you covered as the Steelers travel to take on the Browns on Sunday, Nov 19, at 1:00 ET. Currently, the total sits at 33, with the Browns favored by 1 at home.

Browns VS. Steelers Odds

  • Spread: Browns -1
  • Total 33

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Nov 19
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland OH
  • TV: CBS

Steelers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Steelers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games away from home, the Steelers have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 16 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting underdog, the Steelers have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Pittsburgh posted a straight-up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Browns Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Browns have an over/under record of 0-4-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • In their last five games at home, the Browns have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-3-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 25 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Browns have a strong straight-up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Are Pittsburgh Ready for a Road Win?

So far this season, the Steelers are an above .500 team on the road at 2-1. Heading into week 11, they are 2nd in the AFC-North on an overall record of 6-3. At home, Pittsburgh has gone 4-2 thus far. Taking a look at the Steelers’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -2.9. This has resulted in an ATS record of 6-3.

The last time Pittsburgh played, the Steelers beat the Packers with a final score of 23-19. As 3-point favorites against the Packers, the Steelers picked up an ATS win. With an over/under line of 38.5 points, the game saw a total of 42 points, going over the set line.

Offensively, Kenny Pickett finished with 126 passing yards while completing 60% of his passes. On the ground, the Steelers ran the ball 36 times for 205 yards. The team went 4/13 on third down.

Thus far, the Steelers’ defense has given up an average of 379.7 yards per game and 20.2 points per contest (10th). Going into this game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 58.7% and have surrendered 12 passing touchdowns. When it comes to run defense, they rank 25th in the NFL.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Cleveland?

This season, the Browns currently hold an overall record of 6-3, placing them 3rd in the AFC-North. They’ve achieved this record with a 2-2 record as underdogs and 4-1 when favored. The Browns’ current scoring margin for the season stands at +4.9, contributing to their ATS record of 5-3-1.

This week, the Browns will be looking to string together another win after taking down the Ravens by a score of 33-31. While picking up the win, the Browns also covered the spread as 5.5-point underdogs. Heading into the game, the over/under line was 38.5 points. As they combined for 64 points, the over hit.

Facing the Ravens defense, Cleveland’s offense amassed 373 yards in total. On third downs, the Browns converted at a rate of 50%. Jerome Ford led the rushing game with 107 yards, while Deshaun Watson threw for 213 yards.

The Browns’ defense has, on average, allowed 242.7 yards and 18.9 points per contest (5th). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 55.5% completion rate and yielded nine passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 7th in the NFL.

Browns vs. Steelers Player Prop

As Dorian Thompson-Robinson prepares for the upcoming matchup against Pittsburgh, the passing yards over/under is currently set at 166.5. Presently, the payout for surpassing this threshold stands at -119, while it’s -116 for staying below it. So far, Thompson-Robinson has thrown for 130 yards on 37 attempts. Overall, he has completed 54.1% of his passes for a passer rating of 28.0. Considering that Pittsburgh’s defense features a good pass rush, look for Thompson-Robinson to struggle with less time in the pocket. My pick is to go with the under at 166.5 passing yards.

  • The Prop: Dorian Thompson-Robinson Under 166.5 Passing Yards (-116)

Browns VS. Steelers Predictions

When looking at the point-spread line movements, the Browns have come down slightly after opening as 5.5-point favorites. The Browns now sit at -1.

Even though the Browns picked up a win in their previous game, they got off to a slow start on offense. Despite being favored vs. the Steelers, I like the Steelers to cover the spread (+1).

The Pick: Steelers +1 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook