Rockets vs. Nuggets Player Props & Predictions – Sunday, Nov 12

Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray (27) reacts in the fourth quarter against the Los Angeles Lakers during game three of the Western Conference Finals for the 2023 NBA playoffs at Crypto.com Arena.
Image Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Rockets are gearing up for a showdown against the Denver Nuggets on Sunday, Nov 12. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 7:00 ET and will be broadcast on Spac. Denver comes into this matchup as 4-point favorites, with the over/under set at 217.5. Will the Nuggets manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Rockets vs. Nuggets player props and predictions.

Rockets vs. Nuggets Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -4
  • Total 217.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Nov 12
  • Time: 7:00 ET
  • Location: Toyota Center, Houston TX
  • TV: Spac

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Although Denver has a straight up record of 7-3 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 113 points per game in these games.
  • As the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Rockets Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Rockets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 5-0 vs. the spread.
  • Although Houston has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 109 points per game in these games.
  • The last ten games that Houston was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.

Do the Nuggets Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Facing the Rockets today, the Nuggets look to maintain their record above .500, which currently stands at 8-1. In away games this season, the Nuggets have put together a 2-1 record, whereas they have a 6-0 record when playing at home.

In their latest game, the Nuggets offense put up 108 points against the Warriors. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 44.6% and made 11 threes. The team’s top scorer is Nikola Jokic, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 29.1, while Michael Porter Jr. also carries a PPG average of 16 into the game.

Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 3rd rank in the NBA, allowing 106.0 points per game.

Most recently, the Nuggets’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 105 points to the Warriors.

Can The Rockets Secure a Home Victory?

Coming into today’s matchup, the Rockets will be looking to build on their current five game winning streak and their overall record is currently 5-3. The team is currently 4th in the Western Conference, and they are also 2nd in the Southwest division.

The Rockets’ offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 104 points against the Pelicans. In that game, they made 10/35 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 40.9%. Jalen Green is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 20.2 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Alperen Sengün brings a PPG average of 19 into the game.

Houston’s defense has been playing well, ranking 4th in the NBA with 106.0 points allowed per game.

Inside the arc, the Rockets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.8% and 32.5% from three-point territory.

Rockets vs. Nuggets Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Jalen Green and his points prop of 21.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -110 while the under is at -115. Our projections have Jalen Green finishing with a stat line of 15 points, 3 and 3 assists. As for his points prop, we like the under at 21.5.

  • The Prop: Jalen Green Under 21.5 Points (-115)

Rockets vs. Nuggets Predictions

We’re calling a win for the Nuggets, with a final score of 112-107, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Nuggets at -4.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 217.5, and our model projects the Nuggets and Rockets to reach a combined total of 219 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

The Pick: Nuggets -4