The Patriots are all set to face off against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, Nov 12. This week 10 game is slated to kick off at 9:30 ET and will be shown on NFLN. Indianapolis enters this contest as a 2-point favorite, and the over/under total stands at 43. Can the Colts come out on top as the favorite? Our Patriots vs. Colts player props and predictions await you below.
Patriots VS. Colts Odds
- Spread: Colts -2
- Total 43
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Nov 12
- Time: 9:30 ET
- Location: Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt None
- TV: NFLN
Colts Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Colts have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- The Colts are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Colts have a straight-up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
Patriots Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Patriots have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten home games, New England has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 21 points per game.
- The last five games that New England was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
Can the Indianapolis Offense Score Enough on the Road?
Having played nine games, the Colts have a record of 4-5. This puts them at 3rd in the AFC-South and 12th in the AFC. Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Colts are above .500 at 5-4. Their average scoring margin is -1.1.
In their previous game, the Colts defeated the Panthers with a final score of 27-13. Since they were favored by 1.5 against the Panthers, the Colts secured an ATS victory. In the Colts’ latest game, the under bettors were correct as the teams totaled 40 points, below the line of 44.5 points.
Facing the Panthers defense, Indianapolis’ offense amassed 198 yards in total. On third downs, the Colts converted at a rate of 30.8%. Jonathan Taylor led the rushing game with 47 yards, while Gardner Minshew threw for 127 yards.
The Colts are 26th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 360.6 yards per contest. Indianapolis’ defense comes in with an average of 26.9 points per game allowed, which is 26th in the NFL.
Can New England Lock in a Home Win?
In their game against the Colts, the Patriots will aim to improve their 2-7 record. This positions them 4th in the AFC-East and 16th in the AFC. Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Patriots are above .500 at 2-7. Their average scoring margin is -10.3.
The Patriots are coming off a game where they were defeated by the Commanders with a final score of 20-17. Given that the Patriots were favored by 2.5, they were also handed a loss vs. the spread. In their most recent game against Washington, the pre-game over/under line was set at 40.5, leading the under to hit with a combined total of 37 points.
Facing the Commanders, the Patriots rushed the ball 19 times, with Rhamondre Stevenson leading the team with 87 yards. Mac Jones attempted 44 passes, accumulating 220 yards and a passer rating of 66.
Defensively, the Patriots are currently ranked 13th in tackles for loss and 13th in sacks. Their opponents have been putting up an average of 25.3 points per game against them and accumulating 333.4 yards per contest.
Patriots vs. Colts Player Prop
Currently, Michael Pittman Jr. has a player prop for receiving yards with a value of 63.5 yards. On the over, his payout is -118, and the under is at -114. In terms of receiving yards, Michael Pittman Jr. is 15th among other receivers with 593 yards. Through nine games he has been targeted 9.6 times per contest and is 11th in fantasy points at his position. Facing a struggling New England defense, I’m expecting a big game out of Michael Pittman Jr. and the Colts passing game. My bet is on the over at 63.5 yards.
- The Prop: Michael Pittman Jr. Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Patriots VS. Colts Predictions
Since the lines were initially posted, New England has shifted from -5 point favorites to their current line of +2 (-110). Indianapolis, on the other hand, currently stands as -2 (-110) point underdogs on the road.
Despite being favored by 2 vs. the Patriots, I don’t see the Colts offense holding up well against New England’s defense. Our recommendation is to take the Patriots +2.
The Pick: Patriots +2 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook