Our top play last week, Logan Bonner, flew over his passing total, but we ended up 2-3 overall on our PrizePicks college football props. Things are still looking up with a 15-9 record over the past four. Let’s zoom out a little bit and keep that momentum going. As usual, we will turn to PrizePicks for these listings.
PrizePicks is technically a fantasy sports site, although they allow you to wager on a series of prop bets within their platform. They are legal in 30 states as well, including some places that don’t allow sports betting at the moment.
You can read more details on how and where to play Prizepicks by clicking here.
Another cool thing about PrizePicks is that they have college football props listed. I have perused those lines to find the best College Football Props for Week 10 – all of which can be found on the PrizePicks app.
With that, let’s get to the best props!
RB Tyler Goodson – Iowa: OVER 79.5 Rushing Yards
I really believe this line is too low. Something closer to 100 yards would probably be more accurate. In fact, there’s a chance I would take Goodson’s rushing total over 90 or so yards. The situation sets up that nicely.
Iowa wants to run the football. I don’t think I’m breaking any news with that statement. Game flow should allow them to enact that strategy on Saturday. Their opponent, Northwestern, ranks 127th in rushing defense this season. Let me remind you that there are 130 teams in FBS.
ICYMI from earlier this week: A huge opportunity for Iowa to get its run game going this week. Northwestern has the worst run D in the B1G and gave up 427 rush yards to the Huskers; Tyler Goodson has a history of big games in November. 👀https://t.co/Qyy1Z2viWe
— Chad Leistikow (@ChadLeistikow) November 4, 2021
Some may be concerned that Goodson has topped this rushing total in just one of his last five games. However, the deck was stacked against him with tough matchups and subpar game flow in most of those. That won’t be a concern on Saturday.
Take Goodson over this total with plenty of confidence.
RB Shamari Brooks – Tulsa: UNDER 72.5 Rushing Yards
Brooks has subscribed to the Jekyll/Hyde syndrome so far this season. In three wins, he has tallied 125+ yards in each of those contests. Okay, Dr. Jekyll. In five losses this season, Brooks is averaging just 32 yards per game. Oh hello, Mr. Hyde.
Like most running backs in college football, Brooks depends on game flow for rushing production. It probably won’t be on his side while facing Cincinnati this weekend, as Tulsa checks in as a 22-point underdog. Needless to say, the Golden Hurricanes will likely take to the air while trying to keep pace with the Bearcats. Brooks could be an afterthought.
My projections have him conservatively estimated for around 50 yards rushing, which seems plausible based on the factors outlined above. Go ahead and take the under with conviction.
RB Chez Mellusi – Wisconsin: OVER 79.5 Rushing Yards
Mellusi is essentially in the same boat as Goodson, who we touched on earlier. Both of these Big Ten running backs impressed early in the season, but they have stumbled at times down the stretch.
That shouldn’t be the case on Saturday, as Wisconsin checks in as a 13-point favorite against Rutgers. Mellusi should see plenty of rushing attempts with game flow on his side.
WHAT 👏 A 👏 RUN 👏@BadgerFootball's Chez Mellusi gives Wisconsin the lead 🙌 pic.twitter.com/xdzlMWX0Dz
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) October 23, 2021
Good things usually happen when Mellusi flirts with 20 carries, as he has eclipsed 120 yards in four outings this season. Rutgers has a decent ranking against the run this season, but they were bullied on the ground in recent contests against Michigan State and Northwestern.
Mellusi could push for 100 yards in this contest, and he’s a great play to exceed this rushing prop.
More PrizePicks College Football Props
Brad Roberts (RB – AF) OVER 72.5 Rushing Yards. Roberts has topped this number in seven of eight games this season. He should get 20-25+ carries against Army, and this is another instance of a guy who could push for 100 yards despite having a rushing prop in the 70’s.
Matt Corral (QB – MIS) UNDER 52.5 Rushing Yards. Corral is banged up. I’m not sure how much running he’ll be doing, and the Rebels want to limit his carries. The Heisman candidate has fallen under this total in two straight because of that, and I believe this line fails to take into account that he’s playing through injury.