It’s the Boca Raton Bowl in Florida, and Liberty is set to face Toledo on Tuesday, Dec. 20. The game is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET while airing on ESPN. Toledo enters this game as 4.5-point favorites with the total set at 53.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Liberty vs. Toledo predictions while looking at the Boca Rotan Bowl odds below.
Boca Rotan Bowl Odds: Liberty vs. Toledo
- Spread: Toledo -4.5
- Total: 53.5
Odds via Betfred. Click here to redeem our exclusive Betfred Promo Code for $250 in free bets!
Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, Dec. 20
- Time: 7:30 pm ET
- Location: FAU Stadium – Boca Raton, Florida
- TV: ESPN
Liberty Betting Trends
- Flames are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
- Flames are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Flames last 5 non-conference games.
Toledo Betting Trends
- Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in December.
- Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Over is 10-1 in Rockets last 11 games following a straight up win.
Liberty vs. Toledo Predictions
Liberty’s head coach, Hugh Freeze, left for Auburn — leaving assistant Josh Aldridge as the interim coach for this game. Meanwhile, Toledo won the MAC Championship earlier this month, and it is seeking to keep that momentum in order to win its first bowl game since 2015.
The winning recipe for Toledo is pretty simple: run the ball well, play steady defense, and don’t turn the ball over. The Rockets have a decent matchup on the ground, as Liberty ranks 58th in rush defense while allowing nearly 150 yards per game. Both teams have turnover problems, giving the ball away nearly twice per game, which ranks 119th and beyond in the nation. That’s likely where this contest will be decided.
For Liberty, it all comes down to motivation. Will the Flames show up for their interim coach? Remember, this is a solid group that beat Arkansas and BYU earlier in the season. The Flames also lost by one to Wake Forest and Virginia Tech before getting beat 14-49 vs. New Mexico State in the last game of the season.
Looking at the body of work from both sides, you could argue that Liberty is the better team overall. Which version of the Flames will show up: the side that beat power five opponents, or the version that got trounced against New Mexico State? There’s no way to know for sure, but there’s betting value on Liberty +4.5, as the Flames could win this contest outright if they play up to their potential.
The Pick: Liberty +4.5| -110 at Betfred Sportsbook