TCU vs. Kansas State Predictions: Big 12 Championship Picks – Saturday, Dec. 3

Nov 26, 2022; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Max Duggan (15) points at his receiver after thrown a touchdown pass against the Iowa State Cyclones during second half at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
Image Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports

It’s the Big 12 Championship game, as TCU is set to face Kansas State on Saturday, Dec. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET while airing on ABC. The TCU Horned Frogs enter this game as 2.5-point favorites with the total set at 62. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the TCU vs. Kansas State predictions below.

TCU vs. Kansas State Odds

  • Spread: TCU -2.5
  • Total: 62

Odds via BetRivers. Check out our BetRivers Review to find out how to redeem a $500 risk-free bet.

Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, Dec. 3
  • Time: 12 pm
  • Location: AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX
  • TV: ABC

TCU Betting Trends

  • TCU is 8-2-1 ATS this season
  • The Over is 6-5 in TCU games this season
  • TCU is 1-0 ATS against Kansas State this season
  • TCU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
  • TCU is 1-4 ATS against Kansas State in their last 5 games
  • TCU is 4-1 ATS as favorites in their last 5 games

Kansas State Betting Trends

  • Kansas State is 8-3-1 ATS this season
  • The Over is 6-6 in Kansas State games this season
  • Kansas State is 0-1 ATS against TCU this season
  • Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Kansas State is 4-1 ATS against the TCU in their last 5 games
  • Kansas State is 4-11 as underdogs in their last 15 games

TCU vs. Kansas State Predictions

In order to make accurate TCU vs. Kansas State predictions, our sports betting model has sorted through thousands of historical college football games to find similar matchups. We can then draw comparisons and find value based on this analysis. 

The model found that the spread is lower than 73% of the 11 most historically similar matchups. That warrants a bet on TCU -2.5. 

TCU comes into this game with plenty on the line. The Horned Frogs are in the College Football Playoffs at the moment. There’s a chance they will stay in that spot even if they lose, but why take the chance?

These teams met earlier in the year (Oct. 22), and TCU won 38-28 at home. However, the Horned Frogs needed a wild second-half comeback to make that happen, as Kansas State led 28-17 at halftime. That epitomizes the TCU season, as this undefeated squad has been walking a tightrope throughout the year. However, the Horned Frogs know how to handle themselves in comeback and tense situations because of that.

Let’s take TCU -2.5 at Betrivers Sportsbook for this highly anticipated Big 12 Championship Game.

The Pick: TCU -2.5 | -110 at Betrivers Sportsbook