Let’s talk about some of the best early NFL player props on the board this week based on information that the market hasn’t adjusted to. Early in the week, these props are not as sharp as of late, and we want to take advantage of the NFL player props that could get steamed up or down late in the week.
Justin Fields OVER 207.5 Passing Yards
This is a play on many different things coming together to be a breakout spot for Justin Fields. Fields were announced as a starter moving forward, and I think this should lean the Bears even more into suiting Fields’ strengths. We saw last week, Fields only threw 17 times in an easy win, but he was taking shots downfield.
The other thing with this prop is that I expect the Raiders offense to move the ball at home, and the Raiders lost their two starting cornerbacks last week. Against the Lions, we saw the Bears attack downfield with Darnell Mooney and Allen Robinson, two players that will be tough to defend for backups. I think we see more explosive plays and more passes in general here vs. a banged-up Raiders secondary.
Ezekiel Elliott OVER 75.5 Rushing Yards
The Giants are anything but great defensively up front, yielding 120 yards on the ground to Alvin Kamara, 101 yards to Melvin Gordon on just 11 carries, and they really haven’t held any back to below their average YPC. The Cowboys are favored here, and they should be able to ground the clock out with Zeke in the second half.
Zeke started the year off a bit slow, but he has flashed as a top-20 fastest ball carrier in 2 of the first four weeks, and he is someone that usually gets better throughout the season. The offensive line is good, and the offense is elite, which means Zeke eats here.
Odell Beckham Jr. OVER 63.5 Receiving Yards
Last week, I loved Odell, and he did nothing. If you go back and watch that game, Odell was wide-open downfield last week on multiple occasions, and Baker Mayfield had maybe the worst raw passing game of his NFL career. They will try to get back on track early and often here against the Chargers, who let Henry Ruggs get loose a few times downfield on Monday night.
