Let’s take a look at some Kansas City Chiefs betting props for Week 3.
The Chiefs are playing host to the Los Angeles Chargers at 1:00 pm EST on Sunday afternoon in a divisional matchup between two teams that are supposed to be atop of the AFC West by the end of the year.
While each team already has a loss, they should be constantly competitive with the best teams in the league, and I expect a great game in this matchup.
Patrick Mahomes Over 309.5 Passing Yards
This number just straight up does not make any sense to me. Mahomes has the ability to get there in a number of different ways. Against the Ravens, we saw limited pass attempts but huge plays to easily get over this number. Against the Browns, the Chiefs were forced to play catchup, and Mahomes eclipsed this number again. In any competitive game, this number should be closer to 350 than to 300, and I just don’t get it.
In his last ten games, Mahomes has hit the over eight times, and I expect this rate to continue. That especially holds true when talking about close games. If we want to talk about the narrative side of things, Clyde Edwards-Helaire just lost the Chiefs the game with a horrible fumble in the last 2 minutes of a 1-point game. This should teach the Chiefs to give the ball to your 500 million dollar QB and let him win you the game. Smash the over here, and you could potentially look towards Justin Herbert going over his passing prop as well. Read more about that (and other QB prop bets) here.
Demarcus Robinson Over 27.5 Receiving Yards
While this one doesn’t feel as great as the Pat Mahomes number, but Robinson has proven to be a consistent player on this team. That holds true when looking at his BetPrep player page, which gives us insights into his past performance and projection for this game. It’s all good news here, as Robinson has exceeded 27.5 receiving yards in eight of his last 11 games. He has also gone over that threshold in both games vs. the Chargers last season.
Robinson only really needs one reception to get there, and I do think that the CEH fumble can create more snaps and targets for him in a situation where the over is the play in a neutral situation. Now, with the pass and play volume potentially increasing, you have to love Robinson here.
