Take a look at the Giants offense this weekend? The 0-2 Giants, led by Daniel Jones? Yep, that’s the one! Let me explain why in this NFL Prop Angle.
A Bet Built On Who They’re Playing
I find the quality of defense much more important when planning my player prop bets, and there aren’t many playing as poorly as the Atlanta Falcons right now. New York will face off against the Falcons at home this Sunday in a highly favorable matchup for the offense.
Few teams have let up the yards and points that Atlanta has in two games. The Falcons have let up an average of 40 points in the two games this season (32 to the Eagles and 48 to the Buccaneers).
Keep in mind that Tampa Bay had two defensive touchdowns last week, but even taking away those 14 points, the Falcons defense is still allowing 34 points per game, which would be good for second-worst in the NFL.
In particular, Atlanta’s secondary has been a serious liability, allowing a league-worst 8 passing touchdowns.
No matter what sites you gather your intel on, the Falcons defense is one of the five worst units in the NFL through two games, picking up right where they left off last season.
Who To Consider On The Giants
Now that we’ve established the Falcons to be one of the worst defensive units in the league, we can start building out who is the right target on this New York Giants offense.
I’d favor the passing game in this contest, partially due to the weak Falcons secondary and partially because the Giants have shown a preference for the passing game – throwing on nearly 61% of their offensive plays.
I don’t expect this game to be a blowout, so the pass should remain a pivotal part of New York’s attack for the entirety. Here’s what I’m looking for within that:
— Sterling Shepard has been Daniel Jones’s favorite target thus far, hauling in 16 catches on 19 targets for 207 yards and 1 TD. Shepard’s 19 targets are good for sixth-best among pass-catchers, so the volume is there for a big game on Sunday.
— The other receivers to consider would be Darius Slayton and Kenny Golladay, though their catch rate is at or below 50%, not displaying any type of reliability so far.
— Still, the two secondaries the Giants have played, Denver and Washington, are two of the best in the NFL.
— A big game could be expected from the entire trip, and that success will revert back to Daniel Jones.
— Jones has averaged 258 passing yards and 1 TD per game, and his over/under should be reasonable come Sunday.
— Consider betting on the Giants quarterback and any of his receivers in what should be a soft matchup this weekend.
— More than just yards, this is shaping up to be a strong opportunity to bet touchdown props. Atlanta has allowed a touchdown in the red zone on 87.50% of trips in two weeks, the second-worst mark in the league.
For more on NFL betting, be sure to follow me on Twitter, @griffybets.
