WNBA Props Today – Free Player Picks & Strategy Guide

Player props and DFS picks in the WNBA offer one of the most beatable areas in all of sports, so in this free article series, we’ll be breaking down the best WNBA props today.

While NBA props are subject to sharp numbers and massive volume, WNBA props often lag behind in pricing accuracy, especially early in the season and during weekday slates. The operators sometimes simply don’t dedicate the same algorithmic or human resources to these projections, which gives informed players a rare edge.

Best WNBA Props Today – Free Player Picks & Analysis

Looking for the best WNBA player props today? Our Props team breaks down their top WNBA prop picks every day throughout the season.

Sunday, June 29

Every day during the regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite WNBA player props. We also provide a comprehensive guide to the world of WNBA props.

Kelsey Plum Player Props

Kelsey Plum is averaging 20.5 points, 5.5 assists, 2.9 rebounds, and 1.5 steals in 36.1 minutes over 15 games this season. She hits 2.5 3-pointers per game in 7.3 attempts (34.5%).

Plum had 21 points (6-of-11 FG, 3-of-6 3Pt, 6-of-8 FT), six assists, three rebounds, and one steal in 34 minutes on Thursday’s 85-75 road win against the Fever.

The star guard recorded a game-high six assists on Thursday while scoring an efficient 21 points. She’s now hit double figures in scoring in each of her 15 games this season.

Plum is averaging 24 points, 6.5 assists, and two rebounds in 35.7 minutes over two games against the Sky this season. She hits three 3-pointers per game in eight attempts (37.5%).

The two-time WNBA champion thrives as a shot creator with a high-level handle, quick acceleration off the dribble, and a fearless mentality when attacking defenders. She excels in both half-court and transition settings, using strong footwork and timing to create separation for her jumper. 

Plum’s 3-point shooting—particularly off the catch and off screens—keeps defenders honest and stretches opposing defenses vertically. In addition to scoring, she’s become increasingly efficient as a passer, able to operate as a secondary playmaker who reads help-side rotations and punishes mismatches with smart kick-outs and pocket passes.

Plum is projected to remain a dynamic scoring threat and active facilitator. Expect her to maintain consistent usage while generating high-efficiency looks from deep. Plum is projected to remain a high-volume scoring guard with elite range. Expect her to stretch defenses with off-ball movement and maintain efficient assist totals while playing heavy minutes.

Pick: Kelsey Plum Over 23.5 Points + Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook

A’ja Wilson Player Props

A’ja Wilson is averaging 21.3 points, 9.3 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 2.8 blocks, and two steals in 32 minutes over 12 games this season. She hits 0.3 3-pointers per game in 1.7 attempts (20%).

Wilson had 22 points (8-of-18 FG, 0-of-2 3Pt, 6-of-7 FT), five rebounds, four blocks, two assists, and one steal over 32 minutes on Thursday’s 94-83 home loss against the Mystics.

The star center made her presence felt on both sides of the ball. She’s scored at least 20 points in each of her four games since returning from a concussion and is averaging 22 points, 8.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, three blocks, and two steals in those contests.

The reigning WNBA MVP averaged 31 points, 14.5 rebounds, 2.8 assists, and 2.3 blocks in 33.8 minutes over four games against the Mercury last season. She hit 0.8 3-pointers per game in 2.3 attempts (33.3%).

Wilson’s game is defined by elite two-way dominance. Offensively, she combines polished footwork with a soft midrange touch and low-post physicality, giving her a versatile scoring profile that adapts to any matchup. Her face-up ability, high-level free-throw drawing, and growing passing instincts allow her to create offense both for herself and others. 

Defensively, she’s one of the league’s most imposing interior presences, providing consistent rim protection and altering shots with her timing and length. Her mobility allows her to hedge and recover on pick-and-rolls, disrupting opposing sets without compromising help-side integrity.

Expect her to control the interior while expanding her range slightly against a familiar opponent. Wilson is projected to remain a dominant two-way force with elite rebounding and shot-blocking. She could anchor the paint while mixing in timely midrange scoring and occasional perimeter looks.

Pick: A’ja Wilson to Score 20+ Points | FanDuel Sportsbook

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WNBA Player Props: What To Know

Before diving into numbers, you need to understand how the WNBA’s format and roster structure impact props. Fewer teams, a shorter season, and heavier reliance on starters all shape how props are set—and how you should attack them.

• 13 teams, 44 games per season (in 2025): Smaller sample sizes make trends easier to spot but also demand quick adaptation.
• Star-dominant rotations: Unlike the NBA’s frequent load management, WNBA stars often play heavy minutes—35+ MPG is normal for top-tier players.
• Condensed rotations: Most teams use 7–8 players consistently. That means injury news creates bigger swings in usage rates and prop outcomes than in deeper leagues.
• Fewer back-to-backs: Game scheduling allows stars to play more regularly without rest days, which boosts reliability when betting overs.

Key Stats to Track for Successful WNBA Betting

Raw stat averages won’t give you the full edge. To consistently beat prop lines, you need to understand not just what a player produces—but how, why, and against whom. These are the core metrics that actually matter in 2025 WNBA betting.

Usage Percentage 

This is your cornerstone stat for scoring props. Players with high usage dominate possessions, touch the ball frequently, and are the first scoring option. In 2024, Kahleah Copper, A’ja Wilson, and Chennedy Carter led the league in usage percentage.

Tip: Compare usage percentage with minutes per game. A player with a 31.1% usage rate playing 32.4 minutes (like Kahleah Copper in 2024) is far more likely to cash a scoring prop than someone with similar usage but fewer minutes.

Rebounds Per Game and Opponent FG%

With no access to rebound chances or rebounding rate data in the WNBA, your best angles are actual rebounds per game, opponent field goal percentage, and team rebounding volume.

• Angel Reese led the league with 13.1 RPG in 2024.
• A’ja Wilson ranked second with 11.9 RPG.
• Chicago Sky and New York Liberty led the league in team rebounding with 36.6 RPG.

Low opponent FG% creates more missed shots, which means more rebound chances. That gives rebound props value when a strong rebounder faces an inefficient offense.

Assists Per Game and Ball-Handling Role

Actual assist numbers and role clarity offer plenty of betting value.

• Caitlin Clark led the league with 8.4 assists per game last season.
• Alyssa Thomas (7.9 APG) and Natasha Cloud (6.9 APG) followed close behind.
• Sabrina Ionescu rounded out the top five with 6.2 APG.

Look for high-assist players who dominate possessions and initiate plays. You can also gain value by fading secondary ballhandlers in games where usage is shared.

Team and Opponent Pace

More possessions = more opportunities for points, rebounds, assists, and made threes. Pace stats tell you how many trips up the court teams average per 40 minutes.

Target overs in games involving teams like the Las Vegas Aces, Los Angeles Sparks, and Seattle Storm, all of which played at a top-five pace in 2024. Slower matchups (like Minnesota vs. Atlanta or Connecticut) are better for unders on volume stats.

Opponent Positional Matchups

Some teams are consistently bad against specific positions. For example:

• Guards feasted against the Indiana Fever backcourt in 2024.
• Bigs routinely put up strong rebounding and scoring numbers against Dallas and Phoenix.

Use recent box scores, player logs, and betting performance histories to identify teams that allow strong production from players in certain positions. 

Timing Matters: When to Bet WNBA Props

Prop betting isn’t just about what you bet—it’s when you bet it. Knowing the optimal windows for attacking the market can be the difference between grabbing a soft line and chasing a stale number.

Opening Lines (Early Value)

Books often release WNBA props the morning of a game. That’s when the lines are softest. Jump on overs for role players stepping into new minutes before news gets baked into the line.

After Injury News Impacts

WNBA depth charts are shallow. If a starter is ruled out, the ripple effects are immediate and measurable. The sixth player suddenly becomes the second scoring option, and books are often slow to adjust.

Example: If Sabrina Ionescu is ruled out for the Liberty, Natasha Cloud and Marine Johannes both see significant upticks in usage and assist opportunities.

Late Market Steam (Fade or Follow Carefully)

Once a line moves significantly—say, a points line jumps from 14.5 to 16.5—be cautious. Don’t chase steam blindly. Sometimes you’re better off passing than betting into a line that’s lost its edge.

WNBA Prop Types and Strategy By Category

Each stat category behaves differently in the WNBA. Understanding how to approach each type of prop lets you build a sharper and more efficient betting card.

Points Props

Most straightforward, but often inflated for stars. Look for inefficiencies in mid-tier players with increased roles or favorable matchups.

• Target high-usage, high-minute players in pace-up matchups.
• Bet overs for players facing poor perimeter or interior defenses.
• Unders are valuable when a player’s role shrinks due to rotation changes or tough matchups (e.g., facing Breanna Stewart or Ezi Magbegor inside).

Rebounds Props

Look beyond averages. Use:

• Opponent FG%
• Shot volume
• Low shooting percentages = more rebound chances.

Assists Props

Unlike the NBA, WNBA assist tracking is limited — but assist props are still beatable if you focus on who actually handles the ball and creates offense. Use:

• Assists Per Game – In 2024, Caitlin Clark (8.4), Alyssa Thomas (7.9), and Natasha Cloud (6.9) led the league. These are primary facilitators playing heavy minutes.
• Minutes + Role – Look for players who run the offense and stay on the floor 30+ minutes per night. For example, Alyssa Thomas initiates most of Connecticut’s offense despite being a forward. (She is now with the Mercury and will likely do the same).
• Game Pace and Matchup – Fast-paced matchups (like vs. Indiana or Vegas) lead to more possessions and assist chances. Also look for teams with weak on-ball defense that allow a high number of assists.
• Recent Trends – Did a player just shift to a new lineup spot (e.g., starting PG due to injury)? That usage jump might not be baked into the lines yet.

3-Pointers Made Props

Only a few players consistently attempt 6+ 3-pointers per game. Look for:

• Teams Opponent Shooting Percentage 
• Matchups where defenders sag off
• Players who get extended run due to blowouts or injury absences

Situational Angles For WNBA

Sometimes it’s not just stats that tell the story—certain matchups, emotional edges, or game formats can produce unique betting opportunities.

Blowout Games

In lopsided spreads (10+ points), starters might sit early in the fourth. Look to fade points props for stars and take overs for bench players whose minutes spike in garbage time.

Revenge or Narrative Games

WNBA players, like their NBA peers, rise to the occasion in certain matchups. If a player is returning to face a former team or rival, motivation may lead to increased usage and shot attempts.

Second Leg of Home-and-Home

When teams play each other twice in a row, adjustments are key. Defensive schemes tighten, and scoring often drops. Consider unders on volume shooters or assist props if passing lanes get clogged.

Tools and Resources For WNBA Picks

You don’t need to handicap everything manually. These tools save time and bring consistency to your research so you can act quickly when markets shift.

• WNBA Stats Site (stats.wnba.com): For advanced data, including usage, shooting zones, and play-type frequencies.
• ESPN WNBA Box Scores: For historical context and player trends.
• Beat reporters and team X accounts: For lineup changes and late-breaking injury news.

Bankroll Strategy for WNBA Props

Your betting edge means nothing without discipline. If you don’t manage your units, variance will catch up no matter how sharp your picks are.

• Flat betting: Bet the same unit size on each prop to avoid volatility.
• Limit overs: Don’t blindly bet overs just because it’s fun. The best value is often in unders that the public avoids.
• Track CLV (closing line value): If you consistently beat the closing number, you’re on the right path—even if the early results are volatile.

Final Thoughts

Betting on WNBA props is all about information, timing, and niche awareness. You’re not trying to outsmart the sharpest NBA lines—you’re navigating a market that often reacts slower and offers more value to those who dig deep.

If you learn how to interpret advanced metrics, follow team-specific trends, monitor injury impact, and apply strict bankroll discipline, WNBA props can become a profitable long-term betting angle—especially during the summer when many bettors shift their attention elsewhere.