Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals Player Props, Picks and Predictions

We have your Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Maple Leafs hit the road to face the Washington Capitals.

The Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-9) are gearing up for a clash with the Washington Capitals (33-25-9) at Capital One Arena. With both teams eager to secure a win, the Maple Leafs aim to rebound from a recent skid, while the Capitals look to extend their winning streak in this Eastern Conference showdown.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals Odds Info

Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs -135 (DraftKings) / Washington Capitals +122 (FanDuel)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Toronto Maple Leafs +175 (BetRivers) / Washington Capitals -200 (FanDuel)

Total: 6.0 – +100 (BetMGM) / -120 (BetMGM)

Game Info

Date: Wednesday, Mar. 20

Time: 06:30 PM

Location: Capital One Arena – Washington, DC

TV: TNT

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

On the road this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 20 wins and 14 losses.
As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 33 wins and 24 losses.
This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 38 overs and 29 unders.

Washington Capitals Betting Trends

At home this season, the Washington Capitals have 17 wins and 15 losses.
As the underdog this season, the Washington Capitals have 20 wins and 30 losses.
This season, the Washington Capitals have hit 32 overs and 35 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Washington Capitals have faced off four times, with the Maple Leafs emerging victorious in three of those encounters. The games, which span from October 2022 to October 2023, have seen the home team win three times, indicating a slight home-ice advantage. When it comes to betting statistics, both teams have split the outcomes against the spread, with each team covering twice. In terms of totals betting, the under has been the more frequent outcome, hitting three times compared to the over, which has only occurred once. The Maple Leafs have shown a strong offensive presence in these matchups, outscoring the Capitals with a combined total score of 14-9 across the four games. The Capitals, on the other hand, have struggled to keep pace, only managing to outscore the Maple Leafs in their single victory. The goaltending performances have also been noteworthy, with the Maple Leafs’ goalies consistently posting higher save percentages in three out of the four games, contributing to their series dominance.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on October 24, 2023, and saw the Toronto Maple Leafs defeat the Washington Capitals with a decisive 4-1 victory. The Maple Leafs were the favorites going into the game, as indicated by their -170 closing moneyline compared to the Capitals’ +139. Toronto’s victory was built on a strong first period lead with a goal from Morgan Rielly and was further solidified with a three-goal burst in the second period, including contributions from John Tavares, William Nylander, and Auston Matthews. The Capitals’ sole response came from a goal by Alex Ovechkin, which was not enough to mount a comeback. The Maple Leafs’ power play was effective, converting two out of three opportunities, while their defensive efforts were highlighted by blocking 13 shots and limiting the Capitals to just one power play goal. The game ultimately fell under the total score line of 6.5, with a combined total of 5 goals scored. Toronto’s goaltender Joseph Woll had an impressive night, saving 36 out of 37 shots for a save percentage of 0.973, outperforming the Capitals’ Darcy Kuemper, who managed a save percentage of 0.765.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals Predictions

The Maple Leafs, currently sitting third in the Atlantic Division, have hit a bit of a rough patch with a two-game losing streak. Despite this, they remain a formidable force, led by the offensive prowess of Auston Matthews and William Nylander, who have been key contributors to the team’s success. Toronto’s offense ranks among the top in the league, but they’ll need to tighten up defensively, having allowed an average of 3.7 goals per game in their last three outings.

On the other side, the Capitals are riding a wave of momentum with a three-game winning streak, placing them just outside the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference. Washington’s recent success can be attributed to the resurgence of Alex Ovechkin and the steady play of center Dylan Strome. However, the Capitals will need to maintain their defensive game, which has been a challenge throughout the season, ranking in the bottom half of the league in goals allowed per game.

This matchup will feature a battle between the Maple Leafs’ high-octane offense and the Capitals’ quest to continue their upward trend. Key player matchups, such as the duel between goaltenders Joseph Woll and Charlie Lindgren, could tip the scales. With both teams having much to play for, this game could be a critical turning point as the regular season winds down and playoff positioning becomes increasingly important.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals Pick

Given the current form of both teams and the historic head-to-head matchups, the Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline bet is the more compelling choice. Despite their recent two-game skid, the Maple Leafs have dominated the Capitals in their past encounters, winning three out of the last four meetings. The offensive firepower of Auston Matthews and William Nylander has been a consistent threat, and their ability to capitalize on power plays could be a decisive factor against the Capitals’ weaker penalty kill. Furthermore, Toronto’s goaltending has been superior in these matchups, with Joseph Woll outperforming his Washington counterparts, which could give the Maple Leafs the edge they need to secure a victory.

While the Capitals are on a three-game winning streak, their overall inconsistency throughout the season, particularly on the defensive end, raises concerns about their ability to contain Toronto’s potent offense. The Maple Leafs’ need to bounce back and solidify their playoff positioning, combined with their historical success against Washington, suggests that they are likely to overcome their recent struggles and emerge victorious. The Maple Leafs’ ability to score in high-pressure situations, coupled with their tendency to perform well against the Capitals, makes the Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline bet a sound choice for this game.

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -135 (DraftKings)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.