The Suns are set to face the Houston Rockets on Thursday, Feb 29. The game is scheduled for 9:00 ET while airing on AZFa. Phoenix enters this game as 8.5-point favorites with the total set at 233.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Suns vs Rockets predictions below.
Suns vs. Rockets Odds
- Spread: Suns -8.5
- Total 233.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Feb 29
- Time: 9:00 ET
- Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix AZ
- TV: AZFa
Rockets Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Rockets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 104 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Rockets have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.
Suns Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 5-0 vs. the spread.
- Across the Suns last five home games, the team averaged 119 points per game while allowing 118. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 1-4 straight-up.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Phoenix has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 7-3 straight up.
Will the Rockets Come Through as Road Underdogs?
This season, Houston has an O/U record of 26-32 and the under has hit in their last three games. Today’s O/U line is set at 233.5 points.
The Rockets have gone 17-21 ATS as the underdog this season and are 9-18 ATS on the road. As the underdog, they have an ATS scoring differential of -4.3 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Rockets lost to the Thunder by a score of 112-95. They were 10-point underdogs going into the game and are now 11-28 as the underdog this season.
Houston is currently 12th in the Western Conference with a record of 25-33. In non-conference games, they are 8-16 compared to 17-17 against the West.
The Rockets have lost their last two games and are 5-23 on the road this season. In their games on the road, they have an average scoring differential of -6.6 points per game.
So far this season, the average O/U line in Rockets games is 224.8 points, which is lower than today’s line of 233.5. On average, their games have finished with 225.9 points.
On the season, the Rockets are scoring 112.8 points per game, which is 21st in the NBA. However, they have been better at home, averaging 115.0 points per game compared to 110.5 on the road.
So far, the Rockets have outscored the NBA average in just 36.2% of their games. They are 26th in field goal percentage at 45% and have made 52% of their two-point attempts.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Rockets are 26th in three-point shooting percentage at 35%. Overall, they are 13th in pace at 99.4 possessions per game.
On defense, the Rockets come into the game ranked 12th in the league in points allowed at 113.1 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 115 points per contest (8th). Opponents are hitting 53.9% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 34.6% of their three-point attempts.
Can the Suns Deliver Being Favored at Home?
The Suns have won eight straight games at home and are favored by 8.5 points today. In their last game, they defeated the Lakers by a score of 123-113, covering the spread as 3.5-point favorites.
Phoenix’s O/U record for the season is 27-31, and the under has hit in their last four games. This year, their games have averaged 231.9 points per game.
In Western Conference play, the Suns are 20-17 and are currently in 5th place. Against the Western Conference, they are 14-7 compared to 7-8 against the Pacific Division.
On the season, the Suns are 34-24 and have gone 24-33 against the spread. At home, they are 12-17 ATS, and their average scoring margin at home is +3.4 points per game.
In non-conference games, the Suns are 14-7 this season. Today’s O/U line of 233.5 is just below their season average of 232.9.
So far this season, the Phoenix Suns are averaging 117.5 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. At home, they are scoring slightly more at 117.8 points per game.
Overall, the Suns have outscored the NBA scoring average in 55.2% of their games. In terms of pace, Phoenix is 15th in the league at 98.5 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Suns are 3rd in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 22nd in three-pointers made per game and 26th in three-point attempts.
Currently, the Suns’ defense holds the 15th rank in the NBA, allowing 114.5 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Suns defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.3% while allowing 36.6% from downtown.
Suns vs. Rockets Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Alperen Sengun and his points prop of 20.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -113 while the under is at -121. In this game against the Suns, we suggest betting on the under for Alperen Sengun and his points prop set at 20.5. Our player projection model anticipates him not reaching his prop, with a projected total of 20.
- The Prop: Alperen Sengun Under 20.5 Points (-121)
Suns vs. Rockets Predictions
For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Suns to secure the win, with an expected final score of 143-118. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -8.5.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 233.5, and our model predicts the Rockets and Suns to score a combined 261 points. We recommend betting on the over.
The Pick: Suns -8.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook