Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Jan. 16

Nov 15, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Avalanche defenseman Cale Makar (8) during the second period against the Anaheim Ducks at Ball Arena.
Image Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Colorado Avalanche hit the road to face the Ottawa Senators.

The Colorado Avalanche (28-13-3) are set to face off against the Ottawa Senators (15-23) in a dynamic clash at the Canadian Tire Centre. With the Avalanche looking to rebound from a recent loss and the Senators aiming to build on a victory, this matchup promises to be a battle of resilience and determination.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators Odds Info

Moneyline: Colorado Avalanche -118 (DraftKings) / Ottawa Senators +104 (BetRivers)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Colorado Avalanche +195 (DraftKings) / Ottawa Senators -235 (FanDuel)

Total: 7.0 – -122 (DraftKings) / +102 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Jan. 16

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Canadian Tire Centre – Ottawa, ON

TV: ESPN+

Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends

  • This season, the Colorado Avalanche have hit 26 overs and 18 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Colorado Avalanche have hit 12 overs and 9 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Colorado Avalanche have hit 22 overs and 17 unders.

Ottawa Senators Betting Trends

  • This season, the Ottawa Senators have hit 24 overs and 14 unders.
  • At home this season, the Ottawa Senators have hit 14 overs and 7 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the Ottawa Senators have hit 13 overs and 9 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Colorado Avalanche and Ottawa Senators have faced off three times, with the Avalanche emerging victorious in each encounter. These matchups occurred on January 14, 2023, March 16, 2023, and December 21, 2023. In terms of betting statistics, the Avalanche covered the spread in two of these games, while the Senators covered it once. The over/under betting results show a consistent trend, with the total score going over the set line in all three games. The Avalanche, as the favorite, won twice at home and once as the visitor, indicating their dominance in this fixture regardless of the venue. Key statistics from these games reveal that the Avalanche’s offense was particularly potent, scoring a total of 18 goals across the three games, while the Senators managed to score only 8. The Avalanche also capitalized on power plays more effectively, scoring 5 power play goals to the Senators’ 3. The Senators struggled in the faceoff circle, winning fewer faceoffs in two of the three games. The goaltending performance was notably stronger for the Avalanche, with their goalies posting higher save percentages in each game compared to their Senators counterparts.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on December 21, 2023, with the Avalanche defeating the Senators 6-4. Nathan MacKinnon led the charge for Colorado with a hat trick, contributing significantly to the team’s victory. The Avalanche’s power play was a decisive factor, as they converted 4 out of 5 opportunities. Despite the Senators’ effort, which included 45 shots on goal and goals from Josh Norris and Ridly Greig, they were unable to overcome the Avalanche’s offensive onslaught. The Senators’ goaltender, Joonas Korpisalo, faced 38 shots and made 33 saves, ending the game with a save percentage of 0.868. In contrast, the Avalanche’s Alexandar Georgiev faced 45 shots, making 41 saves for a save percentage of 0.911. The game’s final score exceeded the closing over-under of 6.5, continuing the trend of high-scoring games between these teams.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators Predictions

The Colorado Avalanche enter the game with one of the league’s most formidable offenses, ranking second in goals scored. Despite a recent 4-3 setback against the Montreal Canadiens, the Avalanche have been consistent performers this season, sitting comfortably near the top of the Central Division. Nathan MacKinnon has been a standout player, leading the team with 70 points and on pace for a career-best season. However, they will be looking to tighten their defense, which showed vulnerabilities in their last outing.

The Ottawa Senators, on the other hand, have struggled defensively, ranking 30th in the league for goals against. They will be relying on the offensive prowess of players like Tim St tzle and Brady Tkachuk to challenge the Avalanche’s defense. The Senators are coming off a thrilling 5-4 win over the San Jose Sharks, with Claude Giroux continuing to impress despite his age, and they will be hoping to carry that momentum into this game against a top-tier opponent.

This game will also feature key matchups, including the Senators’ efforts to contain MacKinnon and the Avalanche’s high-powered power play unit. With both teams having their own strengths and weaknesses, it will be interesting to see which side can capitalize on their opportunities and claim victory. The Avalanche will need to shake off their recent loss quickly, while the Senators have a chance to prove that their last win was more than just a fluke.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators Pick

The decision to pick ‘Over’ for the upcoming game between the Colorado Avalanche and the Ottawa Senators is supported by a combination of both teams’ offensive capabilities and recent trends. The Avalanche boast the league’s second-best offense, and with a player like Nathan MacKinnon leading the charge, they are likely to contribute significantly to the total score. Additionally, the Senators have shown they can score goals as well, especially in their recent victory over the San Jose Sharks. Both teams have a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games, as evidenced by the fact that the total score has gone over the set line in all three of their last head-to-head matchups. Furthermore, the Senators’ defensive struggles, being 30th in the league for goals against, suggest that the Avalanche’s potent offense could have a field day, which aligns with the ‘Over’ pick.

While the historic head-to-head data indicates a trend of high-scoring games between these two teams, it’s also important to consider the current context. The Avalanche are coming off a loss where they scored three goals, and they will be eager to bounce back with a strong offensive showing. The Senators, riding the momentum of a win, will be looking to exploit any defensive weaknesses shown by the Avalanche. Given these factors, along with the offensive talents on display, it seems likely that this game will continue the trend of surpassing the total line, making ‘Over’ the justified pick for this matchup.

The Pick: Over 7.0 +102 (DraftKings)

Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Colorado Avalanche

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Mikko Rantanen Shots On Goal 3.5 7/10 -150 +120 3.9 3.93
Jonathan Drouin Points 0.5 8/10 -160 +124 1.1 1.11
Cale Makar Shots On Goal 3.5 7/10 +110 -140 4.0 4.06
Nathan MacKinnon Power Play Points 0.5 7/10 -125 -105 0.9 0.93

Ottawa Senators

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Brady Tkachuk Shots On Goal 3.5 7/10 -145 +114 3.6 3.57
Claude Giroux Points 0.5 7/10 -175 +135 1.0 0.98
Brady Tkachuk Points 0.5 7/10 -180 +140 1.0 0.96