The 76ers are set to face the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday, Jan 16. The game is scheduled for 7:30 ET while airing on TNT. Philadelphia enters this game as 3-point favorites with the total set at 229. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the 76ers vs Nuggets player props and predictions below.
76ers vs. Nuggets Odds
- Spread: 76ers -3
- Total 229
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Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, Jan 16
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia PA
- TV: TNT
Nuggets Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- The last three games that Denver was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
76ers Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the 76ers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous home games, Philadelphia has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 118 points per game.
- Philadelphia has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
Are the Nuggets Ready for a Win at Philadelphia?
With an overall record of 28-13, the Nuggets are 3rd in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Northwest division. Heading into today’s game, the Nuggets are looking to build on their two game winning streak.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets scored 117 points, which is very similar to their season average of 116.2 PPG. Nikola Jokic is the team’s leading scorer, averaging 25.5 PPG. Michael Porter Jr. is also a key contributor, coming into the game with an average of 16.3 PPG.
The Denver Nuggets defense has been one of the best units in the NBA this season, ranking 4th in the league in points allowed per game at 111.0. On the road, they have been even better, giving up just 111.4 points per contest, which is 3rd in the NBA.
Opposing teams have struggled to score against the Nuggets, with opponents scoring less than their season average in 70.7% of games vs. Denver. Additionally, the Nuggets have done a good job of defending the three-point line, ranking 3rd in three-point shooting percentage allowed.
Overall, the Nuggets have been solid defensively, ranking 9th in field goal percentage allowed and 5th in two-point shooting percentage allowed. They are also 15th in made free throws allowed per game.
Can the 76ers Live Up to the Hype at Home?
With their 25-13 overall record, the 76ers are 3rd in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Atlantic division. They have won their last two games and will look to extend their winning streak today.
When looking at the 76ers offense, they are 6th in scoring with 119.8 points per game. In 63.2% of their games, they have outscored their opponent’s defensive average. Over the last three games, the 76ers have an effective field goal percentage of 53.5% compared to their season-long EFG of 54% (17th). In their five most recent games, Philadelphia is 6th in three-point shooting at 34.2%.
Coming into tonight’s game, the 76ers are 8th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 111.6. They are also 8th in points allowed per game at home at 110.0. Over their last five games, they have given up 119 points per game.
Philadelphia is 1st in the league in steals per game at 9.1 and 5th in personal fouls. They are 5th in the NBA in blocked shots per game at 6.2. Opponents are shooting 33.5% from three against the 76ers, which is 2nd in the NBA. Overall, opposing teams are shooting 46.3% from the field vs. Philadelphia.
So far this season, the 76ers have held opponents under their season average 63.2% of the time. Opposing teams are also making fewer threes than their season average vs. Philadelphia 76.3% of the time.
76ers vs. Nuggets Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Nikola Jokic and his points prop of 25.5.
Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -123 while the under is at -111. Our model predicts that Nikola Jokic will finish with 25 points, 12 rebounds, and 9. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 25.5.
- The Prop: Nikola Jokic Under 25.5 Points (-111)
76ers vs. Nuggets Predictions
For a point-spread bet in this Nuggets vs. 76ers matchup, we’re leaning towards the Nuggets at +3. Although our projections show the 76ers winning 119-118, we suggest placing your bet on the Nuggets for the point-spread.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 229, and our model predicts the Nuggets and 76ers to score a combined 237 points. We recommend betting on the over.
The Pick: Nuggets +3 | at Fanduel Sportsbook