76ers vs. Heat Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Monday, Mar 18

Nov 30, 2023; Miami, Florida, USA; Miami Heat forward Jimmy Butler (22) looks on against the Indiana Pacers during the third quarter at Kaseya Center.
Image Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Need a 76ers vs. Heat prediction? We’ve got what you need, as the Heat hit the road to face the 76ers on Monday, Mar 18 at 7:30 ET. The current total stands at 209, with the 76ers being favored by 2.5 at home. Keep reading to get our 76ers vs. Heat player props and predictions.

76ers vs. Heat Odds

  • Spread: 76ers -2.5
  • Total 209

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Mar 18
  • Time: 7:30 ET
  • Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia PA
  • TV: ESPN

Heat Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games away from home, the Heat have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 108 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 1-2.

76ers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the 76ers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-3-1 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Philadelphia has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 98 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • As the betting favorite, the 76ers have an ATS mark of just 2-8 in their last ten games. Philadelphia posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.

Does Miami Stand a Chance on the Road?

Miami is currently 37-30 on the season and is 7th in the Eastern Conference. In the Southeast Division, they are 2nd.

As the underdog, Miami has gone 10-19 this season and is looking to end a four-game ATS losing streak as the underdog. The average scoring margin for them as the underdog is -2.3 points per game.

On the road, the Heat are 20-15 straight up and 19-13 ATS. Their ATS record on the road is better than their record at home (12-20).

In their last game, Miami defeated the Pistons by a score of 104-101. The Heat were favored by 5.5 points in that game. The O/U line for the game was 213.5.

Miami’s O/U record for the season is 24-43, and the under has hit in their last six games. This season, their games have averaged 219.5 points per game.

The Heat are one of the NBA’s worst offenses this season, ranking 27th in scoring at 110 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 107.6 points per game.

In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the league, averaging 96 possessions per game. This season, they have scored less than the NBA scoring average in 62.7% of their games.

From beyond the arc, the Heat are 11th in three-point shooting at 37%. In terms of overall field goal percentage, they are 22nd at 46%.

Miami’s defense has been playing well, ranking 4th in the NBA with 109.4 points allowed per game. Most recently, the Heat’s defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 101 points to the Pistons.

Will the Philadelphia Defense Show Up at Home?

Today’s over/under line of 209 is lower than all of the 76ers’ previous games this season. The team’s games have averaged 227.7 points per game, and their O/U record for the season is 34-33.

Philadelphia has hit the under in five straight games, and their most recent game vs. the Hornets finished with a combined score of 207 points, going under the O/U line of 209.5.

In the Eastern Conference, the 76ers are currently in 8th place with a record of 37-30. Within the Atlantic Division, they are in 3rd place.

At home, the 76ers have an average scoring margin of +4.0 points per game. Against the spread at home, they are 18-16 compared to 18-14 on the road.

Against the spread, the 76ers are 36-30 for the season and have been favored in 26 of their games at home (26-17 ATS) and 7-17 as the favorite on the road. The team has covered the spread in two straight games on the road and is 10-13 ATS as the underdog.

In their last game, the 76ers beat the Hornets by a score of 109-98, covering the spread as 10-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 209.5.

At home, the 76ers are averaging 116.2 points per game, which is 14th in the NBA. Overall, they are 14th in scoring at 115.1 points per game. In terms of pace, Philadelphia is 22nd in the league.

So far this season, the 76ers have outscored the NBA average in 49.3% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 21st in the league at 46%. When it comes to two-point shooting, Philadelphia is 24th in the NBA at 52%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the 76ers are 23rd in the league at 35%. In terms of three-point attempts, they are 23rd in the NBA. In terms of free throws, Philadelphia leads the league in free throws made at 20.5 per game.

Coming into today’s game, the 76ers’ defense is giving up an average of 112.6 points per contest. In terms of takeaways, the 76ers are causing 11.2 turnovers per game, ranking 1st in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 9th in rejections, averaging 5.7 blocked shots each game.

76ers vs. Heat Player Prop

When looking at a player prop for this game, Tyrese Maxey has a points prop of 26.5 with both the over and under paying out at -113. Our model predicts that Tyrese Maxey will finish with 25 points, 4 rebounds, and 6. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 26.5.

  • The Prop: Tyrese Maxey Under 26.5 Points (-113)

76ers vs. Heat Predictions

Coming in as the underdogs at +2.5, we have the Heat as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the line is currently at 209, and our model projects the Heat and 76ers to reach a combined total of 213 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

The Pick: Heat +2.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook