For each game of the NBA season, we provide the best Luka Doncic prop bets. Doncic’s next game is Friday, March 29 against the Sacramento Kings.
Best Luka Doncic Player Props Bets vs. the Sacramento Kings
As the Dallas Mavericks prepare to face the Sacramento Kings, all eyes are on Luka Doncic, who has been pivotal for the Mavericks’ success this season. Despite being listed as day-to-day with an Achilles issue, Doncic is expected to play and could be a deciding factor in this high-stakes matchup. His performance will be crucial as the Mavericks seek to maintain their position and avoid the play-in tournament, especially after a recent blowout win against the same Kings team.
Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Assists (-130)
Luka Doncic has been a consistent playmaker for the Mavericks, and his assists numbers have been impressive throughout the season. With a season average of 9.79 assists per game and a hit rate of 52.38%, Doncic has demonstrated his ability to distribute the ball effectively. Moreover, his performance in the last 10 games shows an average of 10.1 assists, with a hit rate of 60% for going over the 9.5 assists line. Given the importance of this game and Doncic’s role as the primary ball-handler, it’s likely he will be actively looking to create scoring opportunities for his teammates. The Kings’ defense has struggled against playmakers, and Doncic’s vision and passing accuracy should allow him to exploit this weakness, making the over on assists a compelling pick.
Luka Doncic Over 3.5 Three Pointers (-150)
Luka Doncic’s shooting from beyond the arc has been a key component of the Mavericks’ offensive strategy. His season mean for three-pointers stands at 3.87, with a hit rate of 57.14% for going over the 3.5 line. In the last 10 games, Doncic has been even more prolific, averaging 3.9 three-pointers per game and hitting the over 70% of the time. The Kings have shown vulnerabilities in defending the perimeter, and Doncic’s ability to pull up from deep or step back for a three-pointer makes him a constant threat. With the Mavericks’ offense often running through Doncic, he will have ample opportunities to shoot from distance. His recent form and the matchup dynamics suggest that taking the over on Doncic’s three-pointers is a sound bet.
All Luka Doncic Player Prop Picks for Friday, Mar 29
| Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection | Our Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | Points | 33.5 | 5/10 | -105 | -125 | 30.7 | 31.59 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Rebounds | 10.5 | 4/10 | +100 | -130 | 9.8 | 9.64 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Assists | 9.5 | 6/10 | -130 | +100 | 10.1 | 10.19 | Over |
| Luka Doncic | Three Pointers | 3.5 | 7/10 | -150 | +120 | 3.9 | 4.06 | Over |
| Luka Doncic | Points, Rebounds & Assists | 53.5 | 4/10 | -110 | -120 | 50.6 | 51.40 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Points & Rebounds | 43.5 | 4/10 | -115 | -115 | 40.5 | 41.32 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Points & Assists | 43.5 | 3/10 | -105 | -125 | 40.8 | 41.59 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | Rebounds & Assists | 20.5 | 5/10 | +105 | -135 | 19.9 | 19.82 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | NaN | 1.5 | 5/10 | -160 | +124 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Over |
| Luka Doncic | NaN | 1.5 | 4/10 | +105 | -135 | 1.5 | 1.20 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | NaN | 4.5 | 3/10 | -115 | -115 | 4.2 | 4.24 | Under |
| Luka Doncic | NaN | 0.5 | 2/10 | +154 | -200 | 0.3 | 0.26 | Under |
Luka Doncic Stats for the 2023/24 NBA Season
- Points Per Game
- Season: 33.92
- Away: 33.42
- vs. Sacramento Kings: 27.0
- Rebounds Per Game
- Season: 9.06
- Away: 9.1
- vs. Sacramento Kings: 10.33
- Assists Per Game
- Season: 9.79
- Away: 9.58
- vs. Sacramento Kings: 10.0
Game Info
- Date: Friday, Mar. 29
- Time: 09:00 PM
- Location: Golden 1 Center – Sacramento, CA
- TV: NBA TV