For each week of the NFL season, we provide the best Patrick Mahomes prop bets. Mahomes’ next game is Sunday, February 11 against the San Francisco 49ers.
Best Patrick Mahomes Player Props Bets vs. 49ers
Super Bowl LVIII is set to be a thrilling showdown with Patrick Mahomes leading the Kansas City Chiefs against the San Francisco 49ers. Mahomes, known for his dynamic playmaking ability and clutch performances, is eyeing his third Super Bowl title. His ability to extend plays and deliver deep throws under pressure will be critical against a formidable 49ers defense. As Mahomes goes, so will the Chiefs’ chances of securing another championship in their burgeoning dynasty.
NFL Player Props Special: Super Bowl 58
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Patrick Mahomes Over 36.5 Passing – Attempts (-115)
Patrick Mahomes is known for his high-volume passing, which is a key component of the Chiefs’ offensive strategy. The line for his passing attempts is set at 36.5, and the over is a compelling pick here. Statistically, Mahomes has averaged 36.84 passing attempts per game this season, slightly above the line. Moreover, in the last 10 games, he’s averaged 36.6 attempts, showing a consistent trend of high passing volume. In high-stakes games, especially in the Super Bowl, Andy Reid’s reliance on Mahomes’ arm is likely to increase, as evidenced by a 70% hit rate for over 36.5 attempts in home games. Given the Chiefs’ offensive style and Mahomes’ role, it’s reasonable to expect him to exceed this number as he attempts to navigate through the 49ers’ defense.
Patrick Mahomes Over 4.5 Rushing – Attempts (-130)
Choosing the over on Patrick Mahomes’ rushing attempts, set at 4.5, is supported by both his recent performance and the game’s context. Mahomes has been more inclined to take off with the ball himself in critical situations, as shown by his average of 4.7 attempts over the last 10 games. In the last five games, this tendency has increased, with an average of 5.6 attempts, indicating a growing confidence in using his mobility to extend plays. Considering the Super Bowl’s high-pressure environment and the 49ers’ strong pass rush, Mahomes may be forced to scramble more often, either to evade defenders or to exploit gaps when passing options are covered. His improvisational skills and the game’s magnitude make it likely that he will exceed the 4.5 rushing attempts as he seeks to keep drives alive and maintain offensive momentum.
All Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Picks for Super Bowl 58
| Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection | Our Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | Passing Attempts | 36.5 | 6/10 | -115 | -115 | 36.6 | 37.60 | Over |
| Patrick Mahomes | Interceptions | 0.5 | 5/10 | -115 | -115 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Under |
| Patrick Mahomes | Longest Pass | 36.5 | 5/10 | -115 | -115 | 36.9 | 37.83 | Over |
| Patrick Mahomes | Passing Touchdowns | 1.5 | 4/10 | -160 | +124 | 1.4 | 1.20 | Under |
| Patrick Mahomes | Passing Yards | 261.5 | 4/10 | -115 | -115 | 245.9 | 244.70 | Under |
| Patrick Mahomes | Passing And Russhing Yards | 291.5 | 3/10 | -115 | -115 | 266.5 | 265.16 | Under |
| Patrick Mahomes | Rushing Attempts | 4.5 | 5/10 | -130 | +100 | 4.7 | 4.75 | Over |
| Patrick Mahomes | Rushing Yards | 26.5 | 3/10 | -115 | -115 | 20.6 | 19.94 | Under |
Super Bowl Deal: $50 Protected Pick
This is a fantastic promotion for ALL USERS of Sleeper Fantasy for Super Bowl weekend.
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- New user exclusive pick: Patrick Mahomes over 0.5 yards.
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Patrick Mahomes Stats for the 2023/24 NFL Season
- Passing Attempts Per Game
- Season: 36.84
- Home: 38.4
- Passing Longest Pass Per Game
- Season: 37.79
- Home: 38.0
- Rushing Attempts Per Game
- Season: 4.68
- Home: 4.8
- Passing Touchdowns Per Game
- Season: 1.63
- Home: 1.8
- Passing Interceptions Per Game
- Season: 0.74
- Home: 0.6
- Passing Yards Per Game
- Season: 257.95
- Home: 260.3
- Rushing Yards Per Game
- Season: 24.42
- Home: 29.9
- Passing and Rushing Yards Per Game
- Season: 282.37
- Home: 290.2
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 11
- Time: 06:30 PM
- Location: Allegiant Stadium – Las Vegas, NV
- TV: CBS
