Check out our expert Week 5 NFL props for this weekend! This cheat sheet is your go-to quick stop to fire in some picks!
The madness of the NFL hasn’t stopped!
There have been dozens of injuries and personnel changes that are certain to shake things up this coming weekend.
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Week 5 NFL Sunday Props: Pick’em Cheat Sheet
Here’s our cheat sheet that highlights our favorite Week 5 NFL Sunday props in every matchup!
NFL Week 5 Highest Implied Team Totals
Lions at Bengals (30)
Bills at Patriots (29)
Colts vs. Raiders (27)
Chargers vs. Commanders (25.25)
Cowboys at Jets (24.75)
NFL Week 5 Lowest Implied Team Totals
Browns vs. Vikings (16.25)
Titans at Cardinals (17)
Broncos at Eagles (19.5)
Ravens vs. Texans (19.5)
Bengals vs. Lions (19.5)
Be sure to read through our NFL Week 5 Key Injury Report to get a better feel for the slate.
9:30 AM – Minnesota @ Cleveland
Pick: Jordan Mason < 67.5 Rushing Yards – The Browns are allowing a borderline historic 0.51 yards before contact per attempt via Fantasy Points through the first month of football. They’ve been stuffing everyone at the line of scrimmage.
1:00 PM – Las Vegas @ Indianapolis
Pick: Ashton Jeanty > 13.75 Fantasy Points – The Raiders’ OL is very bad, so we need to use Jeanty against bad D-lines. Via Fantasy Points, the Colts have allowed the fifth-most rushing yards before contact per attempt. Digging deeper, Indy has been bad against zone-run (scheme) teams, and the Raiders have the fourth-highest zone-run rate in the NFL.
1:00 PM – New York Giants @ New Orleans
Pick: Alvin Kamara > 58.5 Rushing Yards – The Giants have a very low stuff rate and are toward the bottom of the league in yielding rushing yards before contact per attempt. Kamara should not be game-scripted out of rushing attempts in this one.
1:00 PM – Dallas @ New York Jets
Pick: Justin Fields > 186.5 Passing Yards – Even with DaRon Bland back, Dallas is allowing the highest deep throw percentage in the league at 15% according to Fantasy Points. They only have five sacks through four games, which ranks third-worst in the NFL, and they’re surrendering the second-highest quarterback rating.
1:00 PM – Denver @ Philadelphia
Pick: Jalen Hurts > 40.5 Rushing Yards – Denver has an elite pass defense, plus, Philly receivers (cough, cough A.J. Brown) have not been getting open. Look for Hurts to be forced to call his own number.
1:00 PM – Miami @ Carolina
Pick: Tet McMillan > 56.5 Receiving Yards – Miami is allowing the third-highest catchable target rate and the fourth-most yards after catch per reception. Tet is the alpha in Carolina.
1:00 PM – Houston @ Baltimore
Pick: Nico Collins >72.5 Receiving Yards – Collins has a chance to torch a depleted Ravens’ defense. He has quietly posted a 46% air yard share over the last two weeks (via Fantasy Points). The big one is coming, eventually.
4:05 PM – Tennessee @ Arizona
Pick: Elic Ayomanor > 36.5 Receiving Yards – Calvin Ridley was on a bit of a pitch count last week, which led to the rookie playing a season-high in snaps. Ridley finally practiced limited late this week. I expect the same scenario. Ayomanor hit this number in three consecutive games.
4:05 PM – Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Pick: Sean Tucker > 25.5 Rushing Yards – Simply, Tucker might have a much larger role than the public is anticipating without Bucky Irving.
4:25 PM – Detroit @ Cincinnati
Pick: David Montgomery > 0.5 Rushing TDs – I’m expecting Detroit to roll, which means a heavy dose of the bulldozer with positive game-script.
4:25 PM – Washington @ LA Chargers
Pick: Quentin Johnston > 59.5 Receiving Yards – Washington plays a decent amount of single-high coverage, and Johnston’s got a team-leading 26% target share, 38% air yard share, and a very nice 12.28 aDOT (via Fantasy Points).
8:20 PM – New England @ Buffalo
Pick: Stefon Diggs > 45.5 Receiving Yards – Diggs finally played his highest snap count of the season and was rewarded with a team-leading 38% target share and 63% air-yard share.
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