Check out our expert Week 3 NFL props for this weekend! This cheat sheet is your go-to quick stop to fire in some picks!
It’s been an absolutely wild two weeks of football, and there are a ton of compelling matchups to get excited for this weekend.
The early-season trends are starting to crystallize, and we’re finding some legitimate edges where the market hasn’t fully caught up to what we’re seeing on the field.
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Week 3 NFL Props: Pick’em Cheat Sheet
Here’s our cheat sheet that highlights our favorite Week 3 NFL props in every matchup!
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Falcons (1-1) @ Panthers (0-2)
Pick: Tyler Allgeier More Than 41.5 Rushing Yards – Carried on 10 of 19 snaps in Week 1 and was the late-game hammer last week. Should be positive script.
Packers (2-0) @ Browns (0-2)
Pick: Josh Jacobs Less Than 75.5 Rushing Yards – CLE has been historically good vs. the run through two weeks. Jacobs priced normally.
Texans (0-2) @ Jaguars (1-1)
Pick: Nico Collins Higher Than 68.5 Receiving Yards – I don’t think CJ Stroud is very good, nor is the HOU line doing him any favors – but we’ll go back to Collins as the alpha against a ton of man coverage.
Bengals (2-0) @ Vikings (1-1)
Pick: Jordan Mason Higher Than 15.45 Fantasy Points – Should be the bell-cow back without Aaron Jones. Not sold on Cinci being any good on D.
Steelers (1-1) @ Patriots (1-1)
Pick: Drake Maye Higher than 220.5 Passing Yards – Steelers D has been atrocious through two weeks against bottom-half opponents. Pats have been throwing the pill much more than anyone anticipated.
Rams (2-0) @ Eagles (2-0)
Pick: Jalen Hurts Less Than 187.5 Passing Yards – The stats don’t lie – Philly isn’t throwing the ball, passing just 50% of the time in neutral situations this year (third-lowest via Fantasy Points).
Jets (0-2) @ Buccaneers (2-0)
Pick: Mike Evans Higher Than 13.55 Fantasy Points – All the hype about Emeka Egbuka, but Evans is still the clear No. 1 – 44% air yard share, 27% target share (via Fantasy Points) through two weeks. Jets do not look good.
Colts (2-0) @ Titans (0-2)
Pick: Elic Ayomanor More Than 32.5 Receiving Yards – Ayomanor is commanding a robust 41% air yard share along with a solid 21% target share through Week 2. Too low of a number, market still catching up.
Raiders (1-1) @ Commanders (1-1)
Pick: Ashton Jeanty Higher Than 56.5 Rushing Yards – Eventually, they’re going to get the ground attack going. His snap count dipped to 56%, but it was a very negative game-script in Week 2. Assuming he lands at about 70%, volume should get him there against a run D I’m not sold on.
Broncos (1-1) @ Chargers (2-0)
Pick: Keenan Allen More Than 48.5 Receiving Yards – The Chargers have struggled to run the ball (3.4 yards per carry) and now face a defense that ranked 5th in rushing yards allowed last season.
Jim Harbaugh has shown he’ll lean on Herbert when needed, with the Chargers leading the league in pass rate over expected in Week 1 against the Chiefs. Even in a comfortable win over the Raiders, they still finished above average in PROE.
Saints (0-2) @ Seahawks (1-1)
Pick: Juwan Johnson Higher Than 39.5 Receiving Yards – Johnson ranks 2nd on New Orleans with a healthy 25% target share. Via Fantasy Points, Seattle is playing nearly 70% of two-high coverage, and that’s screaming Juwan between the safeties.
Cowboys (1-1) @ Bears (0-2)
Pick: Rome Odunze Longest Reception Higher Than 24.5 Yards – Odunze has a 29% target share with two catches greater than 24.5 yards last week. Dallas can’t stop a nosebleed.
Cardinals (2-0) @ 49ers (2-0)
Pick: Trey McBride Higher Than 62.5 Receiving Yards – It’s only two weeks, but the 49ers are allowing the seventh-highest number of targets to players lined up in-line (via Fantasy Points). Time and time again in this offense, Kyler Murray chooses to be glued to McBride instead of Marvin Harrison Jr.
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