Looking for all the best Thursday Night Football props? You have come to the right place. Every week, we ask our analysts to sift through all the best daily fantasy sports sites to find you their best TNF player props for every week of the NFL season.
Make sure to check back weekly as this page will be updated a few days prior to each week’s matchup so you can get your bets in early to grab the most value.
So let’s dive into our best plays for this week’s matchup.
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Thursday Night Football Props: Week 17 Picks
Josh Shepardson breaks down his top Week 17 TNF picks for tonight:
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D’Andre Swift Less Than 56.5 Rushing Yards
It was head-scratching when the Bears prioritized signing D’Andre Swift at the beginning of free agency. In fact, he was the first announced signing when the legal tampering period flipped to the official signing period.
It’s unsurprising Swift has had a mediocre season after a career year behind Philadephia’s elite offensive line. According to Pro Football Reference, Swift has averaged only 56.1 rushing yards per game, with a median of 51. He’s fallen short of 56.5 rushing yards in eight of 15 games.
Moreover, Swift’s advanced stats are also unimpressive. According to the data suite at Fantasy Points, among 64 running backs with at least 50 rush attempts this year, Swift is 48th in yards per carry (3.81), 40th in yards before contact per attempt (1.65), 44th in yards after contact per attempt (2.15), tied for 32nd in explosive run percentage (4.1%), 58th in stuff percentage (54.3%), tied for 38th in missed tackles forced per attempt (0.13), 55th in success rate (36.1%) in zone concepts, and 35th in success rate (48.4%) in man/gap concepts.
Swift is unlikely to buck his season average and median against the Seahawks on Thursday Night Football. The Seahawks have permitted a ho-hum 4.23 yards per carry on 102 rush attempts since Week 13. Finally, the Bears are underdogs and likely need to throw the football to keep up or catch up.
Where to play: D’Andre Swift Less Than 56.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog
D’Andre Swift More Than 14.5 Receiving Yards
A negative game script for Swift’s rushing outlook would be positive for his receiving potential. The Bears are 3.5-point underdogs on Thursday Night Football against the visiting Seahawks. When Caleb Williams takes to the air, Swift should be on the receiving end of some of his rookie signal-caller’s pass attempts.
Swift has averaged 2.5 receptions per game and 23.9 receiving yards per game in 15 contests this year. However, it’s also important to note the Bears fired offensive coordinator Matt Waldron and replaced him with Thomas Brown as the club’s play-caller. In five games without Waldron, Swift has had a 43.4% route participation rate, 1.6-yard average depth of target, 6.6% target share, 0.13 targets per route run, 10 receptions (2.0 per game), 115 receiving yards (23.0 per game), and 5.0% first-read percentage.
Justifiably, Brown has funneled more passes through Chicago’s trio of wide receivers, and Swift has lost some receiving work. Still, the veteran running back has chipped in receiving production. He also has a favorable matchup.
According to Pro Football Reference, the Seahawks have yielded 4.53 receptions per game and 36.3 receiving yards per game to running backs. Furthermore, 18.2% of targets against the Seahawks since Week 13 went to running backs. Swift can take advantage of the matchup and exceed 14.5 receiving yards for the second game in a row and fourth time in the past six.
Where to play: D’Andre Swift More Than 14.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog
Where To Place Thursday Night Football NFL Prop Bets
The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your NFL player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NFL player props.
NFL Fantasy Player Props
We love the NFL player props available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog, PrizePicks, Betr Picks, Vivid Picks and Sleeper. These fantasy player props aren’t technically sports betting picks, but they offer a very similar experience to prop-betting parlays.
You’ll often find the juiciest lines and payout odds for NFL props available at legal DFS sites. These apps are available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.
NFL Betting Sites
You can’t go wrong with DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if DraftKings and FanDuel are legal in your state:
More Sports Betting Resources
Check out the Props.com NFL Betting Guide and Guide To Prop Betting for more on how to bet NFL props.
For more on the available sports betting bonuses in your state, take a look at some of these Props.com resources:
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PrizePicks and other DFS apps offer fantasy prop contests that are very similar to prop betting. Check out our Apps Like PrizePicks guide, which outlines some of the best sports gaming options available in most U.S. states (even the ones that haven’t legalized sports betting).
Wondering if the PrizePicks daily fantasy app is legal in California? Check out the Is PrizePicks Legal in California? Guide.