Best Tennis Props Today – Top Player Picks & Analysis

In this free recurring feature, we will post the best tennis props today on the top DFS pick’em and betting sites, along with the reasons why.

Tennis has become a popular sport for DFS and betting, so let’s see if we can make some money and pick some winners. We will be posting frequent plays with well-reasoned analysis for the biggest events, so keep checking back!

Best tennis props today – DFS pick’em & betting analysis

Tennis takes place throughout the day. In order to maintain consistency and expectations, these tennis player props will be posted when there are major events taking place. Join FanDuel today to make picks for the French Open!

Sunday, June 8 Preview

Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Jannik Sinner will battle Carlos Alcaraz in the French Open Final. Sinner beat Novak Djokovic 6-4, 7-5, 7-6 (7-3) in the semifinals while Alcaraz reached his second consecutive French Open Final after Lorenzo Musetti was forced to retire with a left thigh injury while Alcaraz led 4-6, 7-6 (3), 6-0, 2-0.

Alcaraz is 7-4 in 11 career matches against Sinner, winning the last four matches. The defending French Open champion beat Sinner 2-6, 6-3, 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 in the French Open semifinals last year before winning the Final against Alexander Zverev. He then prevailed 6-7 (6-8), 6-4, 7-6 (7-3) against Sinner in the 2024 China Open Final and 7-6 (7-5), 6-1 in the Italian Open Final last month.

This match will test Sinner’s recent mental fortitude against Alcaraz’s clay-court creativity and momentum. Sinner’s win over Djokovic in the semifinals was a masterclass in first-strike tennis. His flat groundstrokes, particularly off the backhand wing, allow him to control rallies early and take time away from even the best movers. His serve has also improved significantly, providing more free points and helping him dictate from the first shot.

Sinner’s biggest strengths are his consistency, calm under pressure, and precise baseline hitting. His linear power challenges Alcaraz’s defensive skills and can break down rhythm. The question remains whether he can sustain that level in a five-set match on clay against a player who can physically and tactically drag him into uncomfortable zones.

Alcaraz thrives on clay, and his multidimensional skillset makes him an overwhelming challenge for any opponent. He mixes topspin-heavy baseline rallies with deft drop shots, wide-kick serves, and explosive movement in all directions. His ability to change pace mid-rally or pull opponents forward disrupts rhythm constantly — especially valuable against Sinner’s baseline-based game.

In his win over Sinner in Rome, Alcaraz showcased how well he absorbs and redirects pace. His defensive instincts, combined with elite anticipation and fitness, allow him to outlast opponents in physically grueling matches. However, his sometimes-aggressive shot selection can lead to patches of unforced errors, especially under scoreboard pressure. Managing those lapses will be key against Sinner’s sustained power.

This match has all the ingredients of another epic in their growing rivalry. Sinner’s level is high enough to push Alcaraz deep into the fifth set, especially if he serves well and keeps points short. But over the long haul, Alcaraz’s variety, court craft, and ability to raise his level in key moments give him the edge.

Expect a tightly contested battle with momentum swings, but Alcaraz’s clay-court instincts and experience in Grand Slam finals should make the difference late in the match.

Pick: Over 40.5 Total Match Games | FanDuel

Pick: Jannik Sinner Over 20.5 Total Games | FanDuel

Pick: Carlos Alcaraz Over 20.5 Total Games | FanDuel

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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff

Sabalenka and Gauff meet in a blockbuster French Open Final. Both players will arrive in peak form: Sabalenka prevented Iga Swiatek from winning her fourth straight French Open by beating her 7-6 (7-1), 4-6, 6-0 in the semifinals while Gauff dominated rising French star Lois Boisson 6-1, 6-2 in the semifinals.

Sabalenka and Gauff have split their 10 matches. Gauff beat Sabalenka 7-6 (7-4), 6-3 in the 2024 WTA Finals semifinals, but Sabalenka won their last match, 6-3, 7-6 (7-3) in the Madrid Open Final last month.

This is a clash between power and pace. Sabalenka’s first-strike aggression and elite shotmaking face off against Gauff’s elite defense, athleticism, and improving offensive structure from the baseline.

Sabalenka’s win over Swiatek is arguably the biggest clay-court result of her career. Her serve was dialed in, she struck her forehand with conviction, and she imposed herself from the baseline—even when extended into rallies. When she’s landing her first serve and keeping her unforced errors in check, Sabalenka is the most dangerous first-strike player in the world.

Her weakness remains managing momentum within matches, as emotional swings can lead to double faults or rushed errors. However, her third-set bagel of Swiatek in the semifinals was a clear sign of maturity and ruthless finishing ability. Her ability to flatten out balls will be key in taking time away from Gauff, especially off the backhand wing.

Gauff enters her second career French Open Final with a more complete game than she had three years ago. Her forehand, previously a liability under pressure, has become more compact and consistent. Against Boisson, she struck with purpose and dictated off the return, generating plenty of short balls. Her speed and court coverage are unmatched on the women’s tour, and she’s also become more efficient at closing out points at the net.

However, against a power player like Sabalenka, Gauff can’t afford a passive stretch, especially on second serves. If her first-serve percentage dips or her forehand placement falters, Sabalenka will pounce. Still, her ability to defend and counterpunch, particularly on clay, gives her a real path to flip rallies and wear Sabalenka down over time.

This match will be decided by who controls the middle of the court. Gauff’s ability to stretch points and turn defense into offense will earn her a set, but Sabalenka’s confidence from beating Swiatek—and her ability to take the initiative early in rallies—gives her the slight edge in a high-stakes, three-set battle. Expect Sabalenka’s firepower and mentality to carry her to her first French Open title.

Pick: Over 21.5 Total Match Games | FanDuel

Pick: Aryna Sabalenka Over 12.5 Total Games | FanDuel

Pick: Coco Gauff Over 11.5 Total Games | FanDuel

Friday, June 6 Preview

Looking for the best ATP and WTA Tennis props today? Check out our FREE picks for the upcoming action at the French Open at Roland Garros:

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Musetti will clash with Alcaraz in the French Open semifinals. Musetti is coming off a 6-2, 4-6, 7-5, 6-2 win against Frances Tiafoe in the quarterfinals, showcasing his resilience and flair, while Alcaraz was dominant in his 6-0, 6-1, 6-4 win against Tommy Paul in the quarterfinals.

Alcaraz is 5-1 in six career matches against Musetti. The reigning French Open champion has won the last five matches in his head-to-head with Musetti, including a 6-3, 7-6 (7-4) victory in the Italian Open semifinals on his way to winning the event last month.

Musetti has shown improvement on clay and more consistency under pressure, but he’ll need his most complete match yet to threaten an Alcaraz this sharp.

Alcaraz continues to assert himself as the most explosive all-surface player in the game. His main strength is tempo control, as he can turn up the aggression instantly and pounce on short balls. If there’s a weakness, it’s that his high-risk style occasionally produces loose service games. But he’s shown improved discipline in this tournament, and with confidence sky-high, he’s the clear favorite.

Musetti plays one of the most visually elegant games on tour, with a one-handed backhand, touch volleys, and smart point construction. His biggest weapon is his backhand, particularly cross-court angles and slices that open the court. However, his forehand can break down under pressure, and his second serve remains attackable.

Against a player like Alcaraz, who thrives on punishing second serves and exploiting short balls, Musetti will need to serve bigger and play far more aggressively than usual to stand a chance.

While Musetti’s form and shot-making on clay make him a tricky opponent, Alcaraz’s dominance in their head-to-head and current level suggest a straight-sets win.

Musetti may have moments of brilliance and can challenge in individual games, but throughout three sets, Alcaraz’s firepower, speed, and tactical depth are likely to be too much. Expect the defending champion to book his place in the Final with another commanding performance.

Pick: Under 33.5 Total Match Games | FanDuel

Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic

Sinner battles Djokovic in the French Open semifinals. Sinner dominated Alexander Bublik, 6-1, 7-5, 6-0 in the quarterfinals, while Djokovic fought back and beat Alexander Zverev, 4-6, 6-3, 6-2, 6-4 in his quarterfinal match.

Sinner and Djokovic have split their eight matches, but Sinner has won the last three, including a 7-6 (7-4), 6-3 in the 2024 Rolex Shanghai Masters Final.

This showdown marks a clash of generations and playing styles: Sinner’s baseline precision and explosive acceleration versus Djokovic’s strategic depth, court coverage, and unmatched Grand Slam experience.

Sinner continues to elevate his game on clay, combining his trademark clean ball-striking with improved patience and physicality.

Sinner’s biggest strength is his ability to take the initiative early in rallies, but he’s also become more resilient in long exchanges. His serve placement has grown more reliable, and he’s comfortable finishing points at the net when needed. If there’s a weakness, it’s still his occasional lapses in focus during return games, especially if the match becomes extended.

Djokovic showed why he’s the greatest Grand Slam competitor of all time by recovering from a set down to dispatch Zverev. His return game remains elite, and his baseline consistency (especially from the backhand side) still wears down most opponents. On clay, his movement and sliding technique remain a blueprint for younger players.

That said, Djokovic has looked more vulnerable as of late. His second serve has been more attackable, and he’s struggled at times to shorten points when needed. Against an aggressive baseliner like Sinner, the danger is that longer rallies could still end on Sinner’s terms if Djokovic isn’t dictating with depth and variety.

While Djokovic’s history at Roland Garros makes him a threat in any match, Sinner’s recent form, combined with his confidence from three straight wins in this rivalry, gives him the edge.

If Sinner serves well and continues to take time away from Djokovic with early strikes, he has the tools to control the tempo. Expect a high-quality encounter, but the Italian’s momentum and tactical growth should carry him into the French Open Final.

Pick: Over 36.5 Total Match Games | FanDuel

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Tennis DFS & Betting – Tips For Picking Player Props

Tennis player props can offer sharp bettors a profitable edge — if they know where to look. Unlike traditional match odds, props let you isolate specific outcomes like total aces, double faults, number of sets won, or even individual set winners. But without the right approach, it’s easy to get burned.

Here’s how to improve your tennis props strategy and make sharper bets.

Know the Surface, Know the Player

Not all courts are created equal — and that matters a lot when betting tennis props. Surface speed plays a huge role in player performance. Here’s what to watch:

Grass: Fastest surface, favors big servers (think: Alexander Zverev).
Hard Court: Balanced conditions, but bounce varies between venues.
Clay: Slows the game down, rewards grinders and defensive baseliners.

If you’re betting on props like total aces or service games won, the surface has to be part of your model. Someone like Aryna Sabalenka might average 12 aces on grass but just 6 on clay.

Head-to-Head Matchups Tell a Story

Past results between two players aren’t just trivia — they’re data points. When two players have history, check these:

Who wins more service games?
Are matches going the distance?
Is there a pattern in break points converted?

If a matchup regularly produces long three-setters, there’s value in overs on total games, sets played, or player to win a set props.

Serve and Return Metrics Are Gold

If you’re betting tennis props, serve/return stats should be your bread and butter. Focus on:

First Serve %
Service points won %
Break points saved
Return games won

Aces and double faults are the obvious outputs, but don’t overlook the deeper numbers. For example, a player with a strong second serve win percentage can survive high-pressure moments — making them more reliable for overs on games won.

Watch for Fatigue and Injury Trends

Tennis players grind through long seasons, and fatigue is real. That’s where sharp bettors thrive:

Back unders if a player has gone deep in consecutive tournaments.
Fade players coming off five-set marathons, especially in humid/hard conditions.
Track players with nagging injuries — especially those affecting serve motion.

These physical factors are rarely priced into prop markets early enough. Use them to your advantage.

Track Line Movement and Market Sentiment

Props are often softer than moneyline markets, but they do move — especially around majors. Look at:

Opening lines vs. closing lines
Movement correlated with weather changes (like wind, which kills serve props)
Public vs. sharp action (some sportsbooks release prop bet splits)

When totals move a full game or ace props tick a few serves up or down, that tells you where the smart money is leaning.

Target Lesser-Known Players and Early Rounds

Books aren’t as sharp when it comes to Challenger-level guys or lesser-known WTA matchups. If you’ve done your homework, there’s more value betting:

Props in first-round matches, especially when talent is lopsided.
Up-and-comers with elite junior stats who haven’t hit the mainstream yet.
Niche markets during smaller ATP 250 and WTA International events.

You won’t get the same prop depth as Grand Slams, but the lines will often be beatable.

Weather, Altitude and Conditions Matter

Fast courts in Mexico City? Slower ones in Miami humidity? Props like service holds and aces are tied to conditions:

High altitude = faster conditions = more aces, shorter rallies.
Windy conditions = fewer clean service games = more breaks.

Always factor in the external conditions. They don’t show up on the stat sheet — but they impact everything.

Props Are About Context, Not Just Stats

Tennis props aren’t about blindly riding numbers. It’s about context — surfaces, opponents, mental game, fitness, and even the crowd. When you understand the full picture, your edge increases exponentially.

So stop chasing volume plays on name-brand players and start handicapping props like a pro. The next time you see a “Player A Over 8.5 Aces” market? You’ll know how to break it down.