Looking for the top Sunday Night Football player props? You’ve come to the right place.
We’ve asked our Props.com analyst Josh Shepardson to search through all the best daily fantasy sports picks for every week of the NFL season so he can bring two of his best Sunday Night Football player picks to the table.
Top NFL Prop Sites in Ohio
Sunday Night Football Props: Week 16 NFL Picks
MORE PROPS: NFL | NBA | NHL | PGA | CFB
Let’s dive right into the action below.
Bucky Irving More Than 56.5 Rushing Yards
Bucky Irving has been nursing hip and back injuries for a few weeks. According to Pro Football Reference, he had only a 16% snap share, four rush attempts, and three rushing yards in Week 14. Fortunately, while the electrifying rookie was limited in practice with the same ailments in Week 15, he bounced back for a 44% snap share, 15 rush attempts, and 117 rushing yards at a blistering 7.80 yards per carry.
Irving has been a hyper-efficient jitterbug, gashing defenses left and right. According to the data suite at Fantasy Points, among 61 running backs with at least 50 rush attempts this year, Irving is 20th in rushing yards per game (60.9), fourth in yards per carry (5.61), 13th in yards before contact per attempt (2.34), third yards after contact per attempt (3.26), fourth in explosive run percentage (7.2%), 11th-lowest stuff percentage (41.4%), fifth in missed tackles forced per attempt (0.26), and tied for sixth in success rate (56.5%) on man/gap concepts.
Irving’s efficiency is eye-popping, and his 60.9 rushing yards per game likely would be more if he wasn’t used sparingly for the first few weeks and didn’t exit Week 14 early with his injuries. Irving has a median of 55.5 rushing yards, exceeding 56.5 seven times. Again, Irving had to earn more touches, falling short of 10 rush attempts in his first three games and seven of his first nine. From Week 10 through Week 15, Irving has had 13, 12, 25, 4, and 15 rush attempts. Irving can realistically eclipse 56.5 rushing yards on as few as a dozen carries against Dallas’s soft run defense, and I’ll elaborate on how bad the run defense is in the next player prop.
Where to play: Bucky Irving More Than 56.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog
Rachaad White More Than 48.5 Rushing Yards
There is enough meat on the bone for Irving to surpass 56.5 rushing yards and Rachaad White to eclipse 48.5. According to RotoViz’s pace app, in four games since Tampa Bay’s Week 11 bye, the Buccaneers have had the sixth-highest situation-neutral rush rate (52%).
While Sean Tucker was a minor nuisance for a short spell, the Bucs have whittled the backfield workload to mostly Irving and White. In White has reached double-digit rush attempts in five consecutive games. Since the club’s bye, he’s had 12, 11, 17, and 15 rush attempts for 37, 76, 90, and 64 rushing yards. In that four-game period, White had 55 rush attempts for 267 rushing yards (66.8 per game), 4.85 yards per carry, 2.36 yards before contact per attempt, 2.49 yards after contact per attempt, a 36.4% stuff percentage, 65.2% success rate on zone runs, and 48.4% success rate on man/gap concepts.
White has thrived, and the Cowboys are dreadful against the run. The Cowboys have coughed up 95.1 rushing yards per game to running backs at 4.41 yards per carry. Moreover, since Week 12, the Cowboys have allowed 98.8 rushing yards per game at a blistering 4.88 yards per carry.
The Bucs are 4.0-point favorites on Sunday Night Football. Therefore, the game script should be neutral or favorable for the Bucs, allowing them to hammer the ball down Dallas’s weak run defense’s throat. Like Irving, White should surpass his rushing prop.
Where to play: Rachaad White More Than 48.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog