Looking for the top Sunday Night Football player props? You’ve come to the right place.
We’ve asked our Props.com analyst Josh Shepardson to search through all the best daily fantasy sports picks for every week of the NFL season so he can bring two of his best Sunday Night Football player picks to the table.
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Let’s dive right into the action below.
Puka Nacua More Than 69.5 Receiving Yards (1.72x)
Puka Nacua had a historically great rookie season. According to Pro Football Reference, he averaged 6.2 receptions and 87.4 receiving yards per game last year. Sadly, Nacua was injured in Week 1 and spent time on the Injured Reserve (IR). Thankfully, he’s come on like gangbusters since he was activated from the IR.
In four games since Nacua returned, he’s had seven, one, nine, and seven receptions for 106, 11, 98, and 123 receiving yards. His dud was a game he was ejected from just before the half for throwing a punch against the Seahawks. Still, in that four-game stretch, he had 24 receptions (6.0 per game) for 338 receiving yards (84.5 per game).
Nacua’s underlying data was excellent, too. According to the data suite at Fantasy Points, since Week 8, Nacua has had a 31.9% air-yard share, 23.8% target share, 0.35 targets per route run, 30.4% first-read percentage, and 3.25 yards per route run. Nacua also had alignment rates of 75.0% wide and 25.0% in the slot since Week 8.
Meanwhile, 30.9% of targets against the Eagles since Week 8 have gone to the slot, and 35.0% have gone wide. So, Nacua should be busier than Cooper Kupp this week. Thus, I expect Nacua to clear 69.5 receiving yards in a potential Sunday Night Football shootout this week.
Where to play: Puka Nacua More Than 69.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper
A.J. Brown More Than 79.5 Receiving Yards (1.85x)
The Eagles have pounded the rock lately. However, while Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley can terrorize run defenses, their recent run-heavy tendencies might have been matchup-driven. They played the Jaguars in Week 9, the Cowboys in Week 10, and the Commanders in Week 11. According to Sumer Sports, the Jaguars have allowed the 10th-most Expected Points Added (EPA) per rush, the Commanders have allowed the 11th most, and the Cowboys have allowed the most. So, there’s a chicken or egg dilemma.
Meanwhile, the Rams have allowed the 14th-least EPA per rush but the 11th-most EPA per pass. According to RotoViz’s pace app, the Rams are tied for the 14th-highest situation-neutral pass rate (58%) faced since Week 8. Moreover, according to Pro Football Reference, the Rams have yielded the 14th-most receiving yards per game (148.4) to wide receivers.
The matchup is a plus for Philadelphia’s passing attack, and A.J. Brown is the alpha in the pass-catching corps. In seven games this season, Brown has had an 85.4% route participation rate, 14.3-yard average depth of target (aDOT), 48.7% air-yard share, 28.6% target share, 0.27 targets per route run, a 35.5% first-read percentage, 33 receptions (4.7 per game), 618 receiving yards (88.3 per game), and 3.51 yards per route run. Brown has exceeded 79.5 receiving yards in five of seven games this year and should do so again this week against an exploitable secondary.
Where to play: A.J. Brown More Than 79.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper