Looking for the top Sunday Night Football player props? You’ve come to the right place.
We’ve asked our Props.com analyst Josh Shepardson to search through all the best daily fantasy sports picks for every week of the NFL season so he can bring two of his best Sunday Night Football player picks to the table.
Sunday Night Football Props: Week 6 NFL Picks
Let’s dive right into the action below.
Joe Burrow “Higher” Than 262.5 Passing Yards
Joe Burrow is spinning it. According to Pro Football Reference, he’s averaged 274.0 passing yards per game. Among qualified quarterbacks, Burrow is second in completion percentage (72.3%), seventh in passing yards per game (274.0), and second in adjusted net yards per pass attempt (7.96 ANY/A).
Burrow’s numbers are even more impressive in three games with his entire complement of stud wide receivers. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), since Week 3, Burrow has passed for 948 yards at 8.8 yards per attempt, completing 75.0% of his passes with a 79.8% adjusted completion percentage. Thus, Burrow has averaged 316.0 passing yards per game in his previous three games.
Zac Taylor has leaned on Burrow’s arm this year. According to RotoViz’s pace app, the Bengals are tied for the seventh-highest situation-neutral pass rate (58%) this year. Conversely, the Giants have faced the sixth-highest situation-neutral pass rate (62%).
While teams have attacked Big Blue through the air, it’s not a perfect matchup for Burrow. The G-Men haven’t allowed a quarterback to eclipse Burrow’s prop line of 262.5 passing yards in any games this season.
Still, the Giants have shown some offensive competency, and Cincinnati’s defense has proven incompetent this year. The Bengals are tied for the eight-most yards allowed per play (5.6) and have coughed up the second-most points per game (29.0). As a result, the Bengals are a shootout team with a talented offense and leaky defense, forcing Burrow to keep his foot on the accelerator weekly. Burrow should be the first quarterback to exceed 262.5 passing yards against the Giants this season on Sunday Night Football.
Where to play: Joe Burrow Higher Than 262.5 Passing Yards | Underdog
Tee Higgins “Higher” Than 53.5 Receiving Yards
Ja’Marr Chase is unquestionably an elite wide receiver. Cincinnati’s No. 1 wide receiver erupted for 10 receptions, 193 receiving yards, and two receiving touchdowns last week after tallying six, 118, and two in Week 3 and three, 85, and one in Week 4. Chase will often get his, but Tee Higgins isn’t a slouch.
After a quiet line of three receptions and 39 receiving yards in his season debut in Week 3, Higgins had six and 60 in Week 4 and nine and 83 in Week 5. Moreover, while Chase has exploded in the box scores, Higgins has shockingly had more eye-catching underlying data.
According to the data suite at Fantasy Points, since Week 3, Higgins is second on the Bengals in route participation (87.1%) but first in air yards (309), air-yard share (39.4%), target share (25.9%), and first-read percentage (34.3%). Cincinnati’s No. 2 wideout’s underlying data in the previous three weeks was drool-inducing.
Higgins’s usage on the perimeter is also ideal for this matchup. Per Fantasy Points, Higgins has a 76.2% wide alignment rate, and the Giants have a 42.9% target rate wide versus 27.2% to the slot, 18.4% to running backs, and 10.9% to players inline. Finally, it’s appealing to stack Burrow’s over for passing yards with Higgins’s over for receiving yards because they correlate, and making correlated selections is always a sharp decision.
Where to play: Tee Higgins Higher Than 53.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog