The Tampa Bay Lightning were one period away from falling into a 3-0 series hole against the New York Rangers on Sunday afternoon. Now the two-time defending Stanley Cup champs are one victory away from evening the best-of-7 Eastern Conference Final — and oddsmakers like their chances to do just that.
After Tampa’s stunning come-from-behind Game 3 victory, Rangers vs Lightning odds are back on the betting board for Tuesday’s pivotal Game 4. For the fourth straight time in the series and seventh straight time this season, Tampa Bay is favored to beat New York. However, the Lightning remain a slight underdog to take the series.
Props.com has the full breakdown of Rangers vs Lightning odds and action with a Game 4 betting preview.
NHL Eastern Conference Final: Game 4 Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline | Puckline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | -130 | +200 (-1.5 goals) | 5 (Over -140) |
| New York Rangers | +110 | -250 (+1.5 goals) | 5 (Under +120) |
Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 4:30 p.m. ET on June 7.
N.Y. Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning (8 p.m. ET/ESPN)
Best-of-7 series: New York leads, 2-1. The Rangers are 5-1 against Tampa Bay this season with a +10 goal differential (21-11). The Lightning have been favored in every game.
Playoff results to date: New York 10-7 overall (2-6 road); Tampa Bay 9-5 overall (5-1 home).
Game 3 recap: New York scored two power-play goals in 2:05 midway through the second period to take a 2-0 lead. However, the Lightning answered with two of their own power-play goals, the second coming 82 seconds into the third period. Then with 42 seconds remaining in the game, Tampa’s Ondrej Palat delivered the game-winning goal and 3-2 victory.å
Game 3 betting recap: Tampa Bay closed as a consensus -190 home favorite, and the game stayed Under the 5.5-goal consensus total for the second straight time. The Under is 2-1 in the series.
Key stat: The Rangers have trailed for exactly 4 minutes in the series. They’ve outscored their opponents (Carolina and Tampa Bay) 22-11 in the last five games, going 4-1.
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Slap Shots
Rangers: New York is still 6-2 in its last eight, but only one of those victories came on the road. In fact, the team’s only two postseason road wins were in elimination games (Game 6 at Pittsburgh, Game 7 at Carolina). … Game 3 marked just the fifth time in 17 playoff contests that the Rangers failed to score at least three goals. Four of the five instances occurred on the road. … The home team is now 14-3 in New York’s playoff games, including 10-1 in the last 11. … The Rangers have held 13 straight opponents to three goals or fewer since a 7-2 loss at Pittsburgh in Game 4 of Round 1. That includes surrendering two goals or fewer in eight of the last 10. … New York netminder Igor Shesterkin had 49 saves on 52 shots Sunday. This year’s presumptive Vezina Trophy winner has turned aside 115 of 122 shots in the series and 436 of 464 shots (.940 save percentage) in his last 13 games.
Lightning: With Sunday’s victory, Tampa Bay avoided its first three-game losing skid since getting swept out of the first round by Columbus in 2019. … The Lightning are 11-2 in their last 13 home games dating to the regular season. They’ve won the last five in a row in their barn, outscoring visitors 21-9. … Prior to Game 4, Tampa had tallied exactly two goals in three straight contests and four of five. The Lightning have scored more than four goals just three times in 14 playoff contests. … After giving up nine goals on 62 shots in the first two games at New York, goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy thwarted 28 of 30 shots in Game 3. He now has a .880 save percentage for the series.
From the Penalty Box
The first four goals in Game 3 came on the power play, as the teams combined to go 4-for-9 with a man advantage. Tampa Bay is 3-for-8 on the power play in the series, while New York is 3-for-11.
For the playoffs, the Lightning are 14-for-56 (25.0%) on the power play; the Rangers are 16-for-51 (31.4%, No. 1 in the league). Tampa Bay has killed 44 of 52 penalties (84.6%); New York has killed 38 of 49 (77.6%).
Betting Nuggets
- NY is 22-6 in its last 28 vs the Atlantic Division
- NY is 1-6 in its last six as a road underdog
- TB is on positive runs of 7-2 overall and 10-4 as a playoff favorite (1-2 in this series)
- Under for NY is on runs of 7-3 overall, 4-1 on the road and 8-2 as a road underdog
- Under is 7-1 in TB’s last eight overall
- Home team is 6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings
- Under is 4-1 in the last five series clashes
Rangers vs Lightning Odds and Action
UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: The moneyline at DraftKings has stayed at Lightning -180/Rangers +155 with action about as two-way as it comes. 46% of tickets and 45% of money are on the two-time champs.
The puckline returned to its openers with Tampa (-1.5) at +150 and the Rangers (+1.5) at -170 on the comeback. New York is drawing 68% of tickets and 57% of the money catching points. The total has seen the biggest shift, winnowing down to 5 flat with the juice dripping from the Over (-140). That’s despite 72% of tickets on the Over, backed up by 59% of the money.
UPDATE 2:50 P.M. ET MONDAY: DraftKings opened Rangers vs Lightning odds for Game 4 at Tampa Bay -165/New York +145, but within minutes jumped to Tampa Bay -170/New York -150. That moneyline price, which was the same as the Game 3 opener, is now out to -180/+155. Contrary to that adjustments, moneyline action at DraftKings is backing the road underdog, as 55% of the tickets and 61% of the dollars are on the Rangers.
The puckline opened at Rangers (+1.5) -170/Lightning (-1.5) +150 but has since dipped to Rangers -165/Lightning +145. Ticket count (78%) and money (78%) favor New York in the early going.
As was the case in the first three games of this series, the total opened at 5.5, this time at Under -125. After a juice shift to Under -130, the total is back at the opening number, as 76% of early bets and 68% of early cash are on the Over.
Check back prior to puck drop of Game 4 for additional Rangers vs Lightning odds and action updates.
