Pistons vs. Heat Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Friday, Mar 15

Detroit Pistons guard Cade Cunningham (2) in action during the game against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center.
Image Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

For your Pistons vs. Heat predictions needs, we’ve got you covered as the Heat hit the road to face the Pistons on Friday, Mar 15 at 7:00 ET. Currently, the total sits at 215, with the Heat favored by 8 on the road. Check out our Pistons vs. Heat player props and predictions.

Pistons vs. Heat Odds

  • Spread: Heat -8
  • Total 215

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Friday, Mar 15
  • Time: 7:00 ET
  • Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit MI
  • TV: BSDE

Heat Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Miami has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 106 points per game while allowing 106. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Miami has an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 7-3 straight up.

Pistons Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Pistons have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last three home games, Detroit has averaged 102 points per game while allowing 108. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Pistons have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 2-3.

Will the Heat Defense Show Up in Detroit?

Miami is looking to snap a four-game losing streak today against the Pistons. The Heat are 8-point favorites and have gone 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as the favorite. This season, they are 15-18 ATS when favored and have an ATS record of 30-32 overall.

In their last game, the Heat lost to the Nuggets by a score of 100-88. Miami was a 3.5-point underdog in that game and went into the game with an O/U record of 24-41. The teams combined for 188 points, which was well below the O/U line of 217.

On average, Miami’s games have finished with 219.9 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 215. This season, 54 of their games have had higher O/U lines than 215.

In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are currently in 8th place with a record of 35-30. Within their division, they are in 2nd place. Against other Eastern Conference teams, Miami is 23-17 compared to 12-13 against the West.

The Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.2 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 107.7 points per game.

In terms of their pace, the Heat are 29th in the NBA at 96 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Miami is 8th in the league at 37%. They are also 7th in free throw attempts at 22.6 per game.

So far this season, the Heat defense has been performing well, ranking 6th in the NBA at 109.8 points allowed per contest. Most recently, the Heat’s defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 100 points to the Nuggets.

Can the Pistons Pull Off a Home Win?

Detroit has won two straight games and will look to keep that streak going as 8-point underdogs against the Heat. In their last game, the Pistons were 3.5-point favorites and beat the Raptors by a score of 113-104.

This season, the Pistons have an ATS record of 33-31 and have covered the spread in their last two games. At home, their ATS record is 16-16, while their straight-up record is 7-26.

In the Eastern Conference, the Pistons are in 14th place with a record of 12-53. Against other teams in the East, they are 9-31 compared to 3-22 in non-conference games.

Detroit’s O/U record for the season is 34-30-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s line of 215 is lower than all but one of their games this season.

In their win over the Raptors, the teams combined for 217 points, which was well below the O/U line of 233. On average, Detroit’s games have seen 232.9 points scored.

The Pistons are a team that likes to play at a fast pace, ranking 7th in the NBA at 100.3 possessions per game. So far this season, they have outscored their scoring average in 32.3% of their games. At home, they are averaging 112.1 points per game, which is 23rd in the league.

When it comes to shooting, the Pistons are 18th in field goal percentage at 47%. They are also 20th in two-point shooting at 53%. From beyond the arc, Detroit is 21st in three-point shooting at 35% and 29th in made threes at 11.3 per game.

So far this season, the Pistons have made an average of 17.4 free throws per game, which is 15th in the NBA. In terms of assists, they are 17th in the league with 26.3 per game.

Coming into the game, the Pistons’ defense is giving up an average of 120.5 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 66.2% of their games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Pistons are forcing 14.9 per game, which is 30th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 19th in blocked shots at 4.9 per game.

Pistons vs. Heat Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Terry Rozier and his points prop of 17.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -111 while the under is at -123. Considering his prop is set at 17.5, our model recommends taking the over, as we expect him to finish with 20. We anticipate him shooting 43.8% from the field and making two threes.

  • The Prop: Terry Rozier Over 17.5 Points (-111)

Pistons vs. Heat Predictions

For a point-spread bet in this Heat vs. Pistons matchup, we’re leaning towards the Pistons at +8. Although our projections show the Heat winning 112-110, we suggest placing your bet on the Pistons for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 215, and our model predicts the Heat and Pistons to score a combined 222 points. We recommend betting on the over.

The Pick: Pistons +8 | at Fanduel Sportsbook