As Week 4 of the NFL season approaches, player injuries are already having a significant impact on game dynamics and betting markets. For savvy bettors, understanding how injuries shift player roles and game strategies can provide valuable opportunities in the prop betting market.
This article highlights key injuries from three upcoming matchups and analyzes the best player prop bets to target based on the data. Understanding the ripple effects of injuries on team dynamics is key to gaining an edge in the betting market this Sunday. Happy betting!
NFL Week 4 Injury Report: Top Value Player Prop Targets
Editor’s Note: Looking for more picks? Make sure to check out all of our Week 4 NFL player props content.
Before we get into the highlighted games, let’s check out a more comprehensive look at injuries for Week 4.
See the below tweet for more:
Injury Report summary for the Sunday games for fantasy relevant positions
Out
RB – Jaylen Warren, Austin Ekeler, Dameon Pierce, Pierre Strong Jr.
WR – DeVonta Smith, Davante Adams, Cooper Kupp, Tank Dell, Jamison Crowder, A.T. Perry
TE – Trey McBride, Evan Engram, David Njoku,…— Nathan Jahnke (@PFF_NateJahnke) September 27, 2024
Game 1: Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Overview: The 2-1 Philadelphia Eagles travel to face the 2-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers in what promises to be a critical early-season matchup.
Both teams are looking to build on strong starts, but key injuries will play a pivotal role. The Eagles will be without wide receiver Devonta Smith (concussion), while star WR A.J. Brown is also dealing with a hamstring injury and may not play.
The Buccaneers enter the game without major offensive injuries but have struggled to regain their Week 1 form.
Injury Impact & Prop Betting Opportunities: With Devonta Smith out and A.J. Brown possibly sidelined, tight end Dallas Goedert will likely become the focal point of the Eagles’ passing attack.
Bettors should consider props for Goedert, such as Over 4.5 Receptions or Over 45.5 Receiving Yards, as the Eagles lean on their short passing game.
Additionally, with Tampa Bay’s defense ranking first in passing touchdowns allowed, Jalen Hurts’ Under 1.5 Passing TDs has hit in two of his last two games and offers solid value.
Game 2: Cleveland Browns @ Las Vegas Raiders
Overview: The 1-2 Raiders host the 1-2 Browns in a contest between two struggling offenses. The Raiders will be without star WR Davante Adams, who has been ruled out due to a hamstring injury.
Injury Impact & Prop Betting Opportunities: With Davante Adams out, rookie tight end Brock Bowers is likely to see increased targets for the Raiders. His Over 53.5 Receiving Yards is a solid bet, given the volume he’s expected to inherit in Adams’ absence.
WR Jakobi Meyers is a good bet for Anytime TD, as he found the endzone in his last game.
Game 3: Washington Commanders @ Arizona Cardinals
Overview: The surprising 2-1 Washington Commanders travel to face the 1-2 Arizona Cardinals. Arizona will be without tight end Trey McBride (concussion), leaving their offensive targets limited. Washington, however, has been an offensive juggernaut, led by rookie QB Jayden Daniels, who had a breakout performance last week.
Injury Impact & Prop Betting Opportunities: With Trey McBride sidelined, Arizona’s WR Marvin Harrison Jr. is poised to take on a larger role. His Over 5.5 Receptions (-105) is an attractive play given his consistent target share in the Cardinals’ offense.
Kyler Murray’s mobility will be key against Washington’s defense, making his Over 34.5 Rushing Yards (-110) a strong value prop.