NFL passing props let you bet on individual quarterback performance instead of just team results.
Whether you’re looking at how many yards a quarterback will throw, how many completions they’ll rack up, or how many touchdowns they’ll toss, passing props offer a wide range of betting options.
From season-long wagers to live in-game bets, these markets add another layer of excitement to every throw.
This guide breaks down everything you need to know about NFL passing props. Learn how they work, when to bet, where to find the best lines, and our expert picks and predictions for the best NFL passing props available today.
Best DFS Apps in All States
Best NFL passing props available today — Our expertS picks
Below, you’ll find our best Week 2 passing props for the 2025 NFL season.
Cam Ward Higher Than 198.5 Passing Yards
I’ve talked about the Titans in some other articles this week.
It wasn’t pretty, but there was so much going on in the Titans’ Week 1 loss to Denver. The data nerds will tell you Ward was horrible.
But if you watched that game, you saw some true flashes of brilliance and a ton of “selling out” by the Titans’ offensive lineman, skill position players, and head coach/play-caller, Brian Callahan. I’m always a fan of data and the “eye test” supplementing each other in cases like this.
I don’t think things could go much worse for Ward, as a handful of drops left a ton of meat on the bone. Not to mention Ward was playing his first-career NFL game in a ridiculous environment against arguably the best defense in the league.
I’m willing to bet Ward finds a splash play or two in this one, and it’s going to be difficult for the Titans’ skill players to be any worse. Via Fantasy Points, LAR played the fourth-most single-high coverage last week, and Ward will have chances to take some 1-on-1 shots.
Where to play: Underdog Fantasy
Joe Flacco Higher THan 232.5 Passing Yards
This number is sitting five yards lower than every other competitive book I can find right now, and for some reason, it’s hanging around at plus-money on bet365. We’re talking about legitimate value stacking up in multiple ways here.
This comes down to a game-script call for me, and I’m gravitating toward Baltimore controlling this one in the second half.
Flacco piled up serious yardage last week largely thanks to Cleveland’s underwhelming rushing attack, and I don’t see that ground game suddenly finding its rhythm against this Ravens defense.
Flacco posted an above-average time-to-throw according to Fantasy Points data, which is positive news. He also might be forced to throw deep in this game when trailing in a negative script, as he posted just a 4.4% deep throw rate last week (Fantasy Points).
I’m good with playing the 238.5 number on Underdog, as it’s up to 243.5 on FanDuel.
Where to play: Underdog Fantasy
TOP NFL DFS Pick’Em Sites
We love the NFL DFS pick’em projections available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog, DraftKings Pick6 and Sleeper. They offer a very similar experience to player props.
You’ll often find a lot of value and strong payouts available at legal DFS sites. These apps are also available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.
- Underdog
- Sleeper
- Betr Picks
- Chalkboard
- Dabble Fantasy
- Wanna Parlay
- Boom Fantasy
- ParlayPlay
- DraftKings Pick6
Top sportsbooks for betting on NFL passing props
The sportsbooks you choose to place your passing prop bets can impact your odds, available passing prop bet types, and bonus value if any are available. Below, we compare top sportsbooks by market depth, pricing, and sign-up offers to help you find the best fit for your NFL passing props.
DraftKings
DraftKings is a go-to sportsbook for NFL passing props, offering one of the widest ranges in the market. You’ll find player passing yards, touchdowns, completions, interceptions, and even weekly specials.
The platform is fast, user-friendly, and offers stats-driven insights. DraftKings consistently offers competitive odds and early lines, especially during big NFL weeks. New users can get a generous sign-up bonus, like a first deposit match or bet credit bonus.
FanDuel
FanDuel shines for NFL passing props. Its well-organized layout makes it easy to browse passing yards, TD totals, and fun alternate lines. It also offers same-game parlays, combining multiple passing props for bigger payouts.
The sportsbook’s odds are strong, often leading the pack on popular quarterback props. There’s usually a sign-up bonus for new players, like a “bet and get” offer or bonus bets on your first wager.
Caesars
Caesars makes betting on NFL passing props feel pretty smooth. You’ll find player totals, milestone bets, and even custom options for the bigger games.
The app’s easy to use and runs without a hitch, plus their support is solid if you ever need it. They roll out special promos during the season, and new users usually get a welcome bonus, like lossback on your first bet up to a certain amount.
BetMGM
BetMGM delivers a strong lineup of NFL passing props, from total yards to TD passes, and they usually offer live betting options as games unfold. The interface is clean, and the “Edit My Bet” feature adds flexibility if you want to adjust your passing props mid-game.
This sportsbook is known for regular prop specials and odds boosts, especially around primetime NFL games. New users generally get a first-bet offer, giving you bonus bets if your initial wager doesn’t hit.
Fanatics
Fanatics is quickly becoming a favorite among bettors, mainly because they’ve got a strong lineup of NFL passing props. You’ll see solid odds on offer for player yards, touchdowns, and other passing number props.
The app ties in with Fanatics merch perks, which adds a fun little extra. New users usually get a welcome bonus, often in the form of bonus bets back on the first wager, so it’s easy to jump in and learn the ropes without risking too much.
Single game NFL passing props explained
Single-game NFL passing prop bets let you wager on a quarterback’s performance in a specific game. Instead of waiting all season, these bets resolve quickly (often in just a few hours), adding immediate excitement.
Here are some popular bet types, plus some riskier options.
Total passing yards over/under per game
This one’s easy to explain because you’re just guessing if the quarterback will throw for more yards than the line the book puts up, or not. They set it by looking at how he’s been playing, who he’s up against, and even the weather if it’s going to be nasty.
This is a fun bet because it keeps you interested, tracking it for the entire duration of the game. Every time the guy drops back and completes one you’re kind of doing the math in your head, seeing if he’s on pace or falling short.
When trying to figure out if theres’ value in this bet, think about whether the other team’s pass defense any good, has the quarterback looked sharp or sloppy the last couple weeks, and is this the kind of team that likes to throw the ball or pound the run?
Bad weather can have an affect too.
Most people just back quarterbacks facing weak defenses and check the forecast, nothing fancy.
Example: Joe Burrow’s yardage prop is set at 275 yards against the Browns. You bet the over, and he finishes with 290 yards. Your bet wins.
Passing touchdowns over/under per game
Instead of yards, here you’re betting on how many touchdown passes the QB throws.
Books give you a number, maybe just one or two, and you’ve got to guess if he goes over or under this number. It’s set by looking at how good the team is in the red zone, how strong the defense is, and how many chances they think the offense will get.
People like this one because it’s all about the fun stuff, the touchdowns. You’re not counting short throws or grinding drives, you’re waiting for that scoring strike.
If the quarterback has his best receivers on the field and the defense isn’t great near the goal line, he’s more likely to throw for a couple of touchdowns. If his main guys are hurt or the defense is tough, then probably not.. Pretty simple.
Example: Jalen Hurts’ touchdown total is set at 1.5 against the Giants. You bet over, and Hurts throws two touchdowns. You win the bet.
Passing completions over/under per game
With this prop you bet on whether the QB completes more or fewer passes than the line set by the sportsbook. Doesn’t matter how many yards they go for, just how many land in a teammate’s hands.
Books set it by looking at how accurate the quarterback usually is, how tough the defense is on receivers, and the kind of game they expect.
A guy who throws a lot of short, easy passes can rack up completions quickly, even if he’s not throwing deep. If you’re picking, it’s usually best to back the accurate guys against soft defenses, or games where both teams will throw a lot.
Example: Kirk Cousins’ completions total is set at 24.5 against the Bears. You bet under, and Cousins finishes with only 22 completions, resulting in a winning bet.
Passing attempts over/under per game
This one’s even simpler than the previous et types! It’s simply how many times the QB actually throws the ball. Doesn’t matter if it’s caught or not.
If the team falls behind, you almost always see the attempts go up, because they’ve got to throw to catch up. If they’re ahead, they’ll hand it off more and the attempts go down.
The number is really about game flow and coaching style. Some coaches just like to pass no matter what, others lean on the run. So if you think a team will be trailing or you know the coach likes to air it out, the over makes sense. If you think they’ll be in control and running the clock, it’s the under.
Example: Lamar Jackson’s total attempts are set at 29.5 against the Steelers. You take the over, and Jackson attempts 33 passes. Your bet wins.
Interception totals per game
Here you’re betting on whether the QB throws a pick or not. Most of the time the line is just a half, which really means you’re betting on yes or no.
It mostly comes down to the quarterback’s style, wjether he likes to take chances, or does he like to play it safe?
And of course it depends on the defense. Do they sit back and wait, or do they jump routes and go for turnovers?
Weather and pressure can have an affect too. Rain, wind, or a tough pass rush can all make interceptions more likely.
If you want to take the over, look at the gunslingers or the guys going up against aggressive defenses. If it’s a careful QB against a soft defense, you should probably lean more toward the under
Example: Brock Purdy’s interception line is set at 0.5 against the Cowboys. You bet under, and Purdy completes the game without an interception. Your bet wins.
Other, less popular, single-game passing props
Every now and then you’ll see books throw out some weird ones, like “longest completion” or even “will the quarterback catch a pass himself.” These aren’t the kind of bets you grind on, but they can certainly be fun and earn you bragging rights down the sports bar.
These best usually depend on trick plays or one big shot downfield, which are hard to predict. If you’re going to play them, it’s usually in games where the team likes to get creative or where you expect some chaos. But honestly, most people just dabble in these prop types for the fun of it.
Example: A prop offers “Will Justin Fields complete a pass longer than 50 yards against the Packers?” You bet no, and his longest pass is only 35 yards. Your bet wins.
Season-long NFL passing props explained
Season-long props are all about following one quarterback’s numbers for the whole year instead of sweating a single Sunday.
Rather than betting on the results of a single game, you’re betting on where his totals end up at the end of an entire season, and could be yards, touchdowns, completions, and even interceptions.
These are a slow burn in a good way! They allow you to have a vested interest in every game, and offer season-long excitement as you track your picks’ performance, add your players‘ stats, and ride the ups and downs all season.
Let’s take a look at some of the most popular season-long prop bet types, and just in case you’re feeling frisky, one or two of the less common ones.
Total season passing yards over/under
With this bet, you decide if a Quarterback will finish a season with more (over) or fewer (under) passing yards than the number the book posts for the full season.
They set it using last year’s form, which outlines how the offense usually plays, and how tough the schedule appears.
It’s a popular bet because every game moves the needle a little, edging closer and closer toward the total with every game.
What really matters here is consistency, a pass-friendly scheme, the defenses on the slate, and whether the QB stays healthy.
Example: Patrick Mahomes might be listed around 4,700 yards. If you take the over, you’re basically rooting for steady 280–300 yard games from him most weeks.
Simple tips: Lean toward steady starters in throw-heavy offenses, glance at the schedule for strong secondaries, and keep an eye on any nagging injuries.
Total season passing touchdowns over/under
This one’s just about how many touchdown passes the quarterback throws over the whole year. The book puts up a number, and you’ve got to guess if he’ll throw more or less than that. They base it on how many he’s thrown in the past, how the team usually plays when they get close to scoring, and whether he’s got his leading receivers healthy.
People enjoy this one because you’re rooting for the big plays! Every time the QB drops one in the end zone, you’re closer to the over if he hands the ball off near the goal line or settles for field goals; that hurts you.
Example: Josh Allen might be set somewhere in the 30s, and if you take the under, you’re hoping a few drives stall or get finished by the running backs instead.
It’s really just about how often his team lets him throw for the score and how reliable his targets are.
Total season passing completions over/under
Here you’re counting completions, not yards or touchdowns. It doesn’t matter if it’s a dump-off or a deep shot; it only matters if the ball is caught.
Sportsbooks set the line by looking at accuracy, how often the team calls pass plays, and how many close games they’re likely to be in.
Example: Justin Herbert usually gets a high number because he throws a lot of short passes. If you take the over, you’re rooting for plenty of those quick, easy completions every week.
What matters most is accuracy, reliable receivers, and whether the team tends to throw often.
Total season interceptions over/under
I suppose you could say that this one’s about the mistakes? You’re betting on how many interceptions a quarterback throws over the whole season. The sportsbook puts up a number, and you’re guessing over or under.
They look at what he’s done before, who he’s up against, and whether he likes to take chances or plays it safe.
Example: Dak Prescott might be set around a dozen; if you take the under, you’re hoping for cleaner games and fewer forced throws. If you take the over, you’re betting he presses a bit or runs into a rough patch and coughs up a few.
Keep it simple: Does he try to squeeze throws that aren’t really there? Is he getting hit a lot before he lets it go? And are his receivers healthy enough to help him out instead of tipping balls to defenders? That’s basically the whole story when it comes to deciding which side to take with this bet.
Other, less popular, season-long NFL passing props
Every so often, you’ll see sportsbooks offer less common NFL passing props, like how many rushing yards a quarterback will get, his longest completion of the year, or even something like “will he catch a touchdown.”
These are mostly for fun and not the kind of thing you’d lean on week after week.
Example: You might see “Will Lamar Jackson catch a touchdown this season?” If you bet no, you’re saying that trick play never shows up.
These kinds of props usually depend on odd moments or creative play-calling, so most people only play them for entertainment.
The quirky nature of these bets makes them highly appealing to casual bettors looking for unique or entertaining bets. However, they’re less popular with experienced bettors who prefer consistency and predictability.
When are NFL passing prop bets released?
Sportsbooks release NFL passing props at various times, and when they do, these should be taken into account when deciding your betting strategy.
- When lines come out — Season-long props typically appear before the season begins, while single-game props start emerging a few days before each matchup, often midweek. Getting in early can sometimes mean better odds before the numbers shift.
- How news changes things — Lines move around during the week when new info comes out, like injuries, who’s practicing, or even the weather forecast. If you keep up with that stuff, you can spot chances before the odds settle.
- Right before kickoff — Props don’t freeze until the game starts. If there’s a late scratch or a surprise lineup change, the numbers can swing, and quick bettors can take advantage in those last few minutes.
Tips and strategies for betting on NFL passing props
Enhance your betting success with these practical strategies:
If you want to give yourself a better shot with these bets, a few little habits can make a big difference.
- Take a look at how a quarterback has played lately, not just last year. Some guys tear up certain defenses and look ordinary against others.
- Don’t just open one sportsbook’s app and place the bet. Different sportsbooks sometimes post slightly different odds, and those small gaps add up over time.
- Pay attention to the news! If a starting wide receiver is scratched late or the weather suddenly looks rough, these factors matter and can have a dramatic effect.
- Stick to a budget. It’s easy to go chasing after a couple of bad beats, and that’s when things can get messy.
- Watch how the lines move during the week. If numbers shift significantly, it usually means that bigger bettors are leaning in one direction. You don’t have to follow them, but it’s worth knowing.
- Watch how the lines move. If the odds suddenly shift, it usually means bigger bettors are piling in on one side. You don’t have to copy them, but knowing where the money’s going can give you a clue about what the overall market, and likely the more skilled bettors than you, currently thinks.
- Pay attention to injury news. If a key receiver is ruled out or a quarterback shows up as questionable, the odds can change in a flash. Being quick to react can sometimes land you a much better number before the book adjusts.
Common mistakes to avoid when betting on NFL passing props
Successful passing prop betting means avoiding common mistakes just as much as it does finding an edge and maximizing value. But everyone slips up in some way from time to time.
So here are a few common traps you should be able to steer clear of.
Overreacting to in-game injuries or isolated news
Not every little knock is the end of the world. A quarterback might hobble off for a play or two and be fine. Jumping on every tiny update can lead you to make a rushed bet that you might end up regretting later.
Ignoring line movement and betting trends
Odds don’t move for no reason. When you see them shift, it usually means big money is coming in on one side. If you’re not paying attention to these movements, you can miss out on crucial information!
You may not know WHY the odds moved, but you can at least always see it IS happening, and take it into account.
Misjudging matchup impacts on player performance
Quarterbacks don’t play in a bubble. Some defenses are just a bad fit for them, whether it’s the pass rush, the coverage, or even history against that team. Forgetting that can make your read way off.
Live betting on NFL passing props
Live betting keeps you glued to the game because things can flip, and you can win or lose your bet in seconds.
Big swings usually come after a touchdown, a turnover, or one of those long stoppages where the book has to reset the numbers.
It’s a rush because it’s so quick, but that also makes it easy to fire off a bet without really thinking it through.
- How to choose which live passing props to bet on: Look for situations where a quarterback is playing better or worse than expected. Exploit rapid odds movements based on short-term game events.
- When to place live bets: Immediately after scoring drives, turnovers, during injury timeouts, or longer game stoppages.
- Risks and benefits of live betting: Fast-paced decisions can lead to impulsive bets, but real-time insights offer instant betting opportunities and constantly changing potential value.
How to parlay NFL passing props
Same-game parlays allow you to combine multiple passing prop bets in one NFL game, boosting odds and potential returns. The risks include increased difficulty since all bets must win, but the rewards are higher potential payouts compared to single wagers.
Here are some strategies for successful parlays:
- Combine bets with similar outcomes (e.g., quarterback yards and completions), and avoid placing props in the same parlay that conflict with each other. If one needs a heavy run game and the other needs a pass-heavy script, they’ll never both cash.
- Limit your parlays to 2–4 bets for a higher probability of success. Two or three is probably the sweetspot in a parlay and is tough enough, whereas stacking five or six is often too much of a long shot.
- Consider matchup dynamics and avoid conflicting props in the same parlay.
How sportsbooks set and adjust NFL passing prop odds
The numbers you see aren’t just made up. Books look at how the quarterback has been playing, the style of the offense, and the defense he’s about to face. Weather matters too because strong winds or freezing temperatures usually push totals down.
The lines don’t sit still either. If there’s breaking news, like a receiver being ruled out, or if sharp money pours in on one side, the books will move things quickly. That’s why what you see on Monday doesn’t always match what’s on the board Sunday morning.
Resources for staying updated on passing props
You don’t have to spend hours digging, but a few good sources of up-to-date information can go a long way.
Big sites like ESPN or NFL.com, plus sportsbook apps, are fine for injury updates and quick news.
- Sports websites like ESPN and NFL, betting platforms, sportsbook apps, and NFL experts’ social media accounts offer reliable updates and are fine for injury updates and quick news.
- Resources like Pro Football Reference and specialized betting analysis platforms provide detailed player stats and predictive insights. i you want to dive deeper into all the stats you could ever want.
- Always keep half an eye on the weather report and the injury wire! Those two things can swing a prop faster than anything else.
How do you find and compare the best NFL passing prop bets?
The simplest edge that most people skip? Just shopping around! The key is to compare odds across multiple sportsbooks and analyze short-term data like player trends and matchup stats.
Books adjust their lines throughout the week based on betting action and new information, causing no two sportsbooks to always post the exact same numbers, and even a tiny difference in odds can make a season’s worth of bets look a lot better.
Comparing NFL passing prop odds
Some books are friendlier on yardage, others on touchdowns. Checking two or three only takes a couple of minutes and can save you or win you more money over time, so this is time well spent!
And you don’t have to open every book as you can use odds comparison tools to see all odds for a given event at multiple bookies, all on the same screen.
Tracking daily and weekly betting trends
Lines move through the week. If you notice a quarterback’s yardage creeping higher, it usually means bettors are hammering the over. Even if you don’t follow them, knowing where the action is gives you context.
Impact of injuries and weather on passing props
If a quarterback loses a key receiver or lineman, that can take a big bite out of his expected numbers.
And weather certainly can’t be ignored! Heavy rain, high winds, or bitter cold usually lead to more running plays and fewer passes, whereas a clear day can open things up for throwing and for a big passing total.
Bet on NFL passing props with confidence
Betting on passing props makes watching football feel more exciting. Instead of only caring who wins, you can be locked in and care about what one quarterback or wide receiver is doing all game long.
You can play it over the whole season with yardage or touchdown totals, or just jump in on a Sunday and bet something live. However you go at it, the same basics apply: keep an eye on the news, notice when the odds move, and don’t just stick with one book.
As long as you keep your bets sensible and don’t chase losses, these props can keep things fun all season. And every now and then, with a bit of luck on your side, you might even make a little money along the way.
