We’re locked in to finding your best Monday Night Football player props every week of the NFL season.
Props.com analyst Justin Bales will break down two picks from the top daily fantasy sites for max value every time Monday Night Football rolls around.
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Monday Night Football Props: Week 16 NFL Picks
Justin Bales breaks down his best Monday Night Football picks below. Remember that projections can change quickly on some of these DFS pick’em sites, so there’s a chance not all of these numbers are available.
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Romeo Doubs Higher Than 0.5 1Q Receptions
We’re in a bit of a weird spot because of the massive spread. The Green Bay Packers are 14-point favorites in this game, making most props difficult to trust. Instead of using the entire game, I’m sticking to only the first quarter.
One of the biggest keys to this is how Green Bay handles the coin toss. Most opponents defer to the second half, giving the Packers the ball to start the game. They also love to receive the ball if they win the toss, meaning they’ll have extra first-quarter snaps.
Since Week 6, Doubs has recorded at least one reception in six of his seven games. He failed against the San Francisco 49ers, although they started the game with a short target for him. It ended up being his only target in the quarter with Green Bay utilizing 14 running plays on their two drives.
Doubs should be locked into full snaps early in this game, and he gets an elite matchup against the New Orleans Saints. They feature a terrible secondary, specifically after trading away Marshon Lattimore.
The Packers aren’t going to need to throw throughout this game, but they’ll have their normal game plan early on. I expect that to be a mix of the run and pass, and Doubs should continue to find early success in this matchup.
Where to play: Romeo Doubs higher than 0.5 1Q receptions| 0.91x at Underdog
Blake Grupe More Than 4.5 Kicking Points
Grupe’s performed extremely well for the New Orleans Saints this season. He’s converted 29 of 31 extra points, including 15 consecutive. He’s also hit 22 of 26 field goals in 2024.
Grupe’s been relatively consistent on his field goals this season. He’s converted each of his 4 attempts under 30 yards. He’s also hit 6 of 7 from 30-39 and 40-49 yards. Finally, he’s drilled 6 of 8 from 50+ yards thus far.
The Saints get a tough matchup against the Green Bay Packers, who feature a solid defense. Still, this is an extremely low total with several ways to hit. The simplest is two field goals but he will also hit with one field goal and two extra points.
Grupe’s found success with Spencer Rattler moving the ball at quarterback this season as well. He recorded 7 kicking points against the Washington Commanders last week. He also owns 11, 4, and 6 kicking points in Rattler’s trio of starters from Week 6-8.
The other important part to mention is that Green Bay could be playing more of a prevent style of defense late in this game. It isn’t out of the question that New Orleans moves the ball until they reach the red zone and stall.
Where to play: Blake Grupe more than 4.5 kicking points | PrizePicks