Need a Mavericks vs. Celtics prediction? We’ve got what you need, as the Celtics hit the road to face the Mavericks on Friday, Jun 14 at 8:30 ET. The current total stands at 211.5, with the Mavericks being favored by 1 at home. Keep reading to get our Mavericks vs. Celtics player props and predictions.
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Mavericks vs. Celtics Odds
- Spread: Mavericks -1
- Total 211.5
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Game Info
- Date: Friday, Jun 14
- Time: 8:30 ET
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
- TV: ABC
Celtics Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Celtics have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-2-1 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten road games, Boston has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 9-1 while averaging 105 points per game.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Celtics have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 8-2.
Mavericks Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- In their last five home games, Dallas has averaged 105 points per game while allowing 105. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
- Going back to their last five games as the favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-4.
The Celtics picked up a 106-99 win in the most recent game of this series, and they also covered the spread as 3-point underdogs. Boston held the Mavericks to just 29 points in the 4th quarter and 99 points overall. Going into the game, the over/under line was at 213.5 points, and the teams fell 8.5 points short of that mark.
Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown led the way for the Celtics, as Tatum scored 31 and Brown added 30. Tatum hit four threes on 30.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Kyrie Irving scored 35 for the Mavericks and hit four threes of his own. The Mavs made just nine threes as a team, and shot 36% from outside.
Will Boston Shock Everyone at American Airlines Center?
The Celtics have won 10 straight games and are the top team in the Eastern Conference with a record of 64-18. In non-conference games, they are 23-7 compared to 41-11 against the East.
This season, the Celtics have been favored in 94 of their 82 games and have gone 76-18 as the favorite. As the underdog, they are 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
Boston has an ATS record of 50-44 this season, going 23-23 ATS on the road and 27-21 ATS at home. Today, they are 1-point underdogs on the spread.
The Celtics’ O/U record for the season is 51-47-1, and their last four games have gone under the posted total. On average, their games have finished with 226.5 points.
In their last game against the Mavericks, the Celtics won 106-99. They covered the spread as 3-point underdogs and the O/U line was 213.5.
Boston heads into their game against the Mavericks as the NBA’s second-highest scoring team, at 120.6 points per game. Despite their high-scoring average, the Celtics have scored below the league average in 42.7% of their games. This season, they have led the league in both three-point attempts and three-point makes per game.
Jayson Tatum is averaging 25.4 points per game over his last five games, and Jaylen Brown is at 25.2 in that stretch. Tatum also averaged 7.6 assists and 9.8 rebounds in that stretch. For the season, Tatum is averaging 26.9 points per game, and Brown is averaging 23 points per contest. Jrue Holiday is averaging 5.9 rebounds and has hit 42.9% of his threes this season.
When it comes to defense, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the league this season, ranking third in points allowed per game at 107.7. They have been especially tough on the road, giving up just 108.6 points per game away from home, which is also third-best in the NBA.
One of the reasons Boston has been so stingy is their ability to protect the rim, as they rank second in the league in blocked shots at 6.6 per game. They have also been excellent at defending the two-point shot, allowing opponents to shoot just 52.3% from inside the arc.
Overall, the Celtics have done a good job of forcing opponents to take tough shots, as they are third in field goal percentage allowed at 45.5%. They have also been able to keep teams off the free-throw line, ranking first in made free throws allowed per game at 16.7.
Will the Mavericks Make it Happen at Home?
Dallas is favored by 1 point in today’s game against the Celtics. The Mavericks are looking to snap a three-game losing streak and improve their overall record of 50-32. In the Western Conference, they are currently 5th and are in 1st place in the Southwest Division.
This season, the Mavericks have gone 44-18 as the favorite and have been favored in 62 of their 82 games. As the favorite, their ATS record is 38-24, and they have an average scoring margin of +6.4 points per game.
Dallas’ O/U record for the season is 46-56, and their games have averaged 228.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 211.5 is lower than their season average of 230.5.
In their most recent game, the Mavericks lost to the Celtics by a score of 106-99. The O/U line for that game was 213.5, and Dallas was favored by 3 points. This resulted in a straight-up loss and a non-cover for the Mavericks.
Luka Doncic is averaging 30.6 points per game over his last five games, on a field goal percentage of 47.9%. In these games, he also hit 3.8 threes per game. For the season, Doncic is averaging 33.9 points per game and 9.8 assists. Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 14.4 points per game for the season.
Dallas is 10th in the league in scoring at home this season, at 116.5 points per game. Overall, they are 11th in the league, at 117.9 points per contest. The Mavericks are 4th in both three-point attempts and makes but are just 15th in three-point shooting percentage.
When it comes to points allowed per game, the Mavericks are right in the middle of the pack, ranking 15th in the league at 113.4 points per contest. They have been consistent in terms of points allowed both at home (113.2 ppg, 16th) and on the road (113.6 ppg, 14th).
Over their last five games, Dallas has been even better on the defensive end, giving up just 105.2 points per game, which is the 6th best mark in the NBA during that span. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, the Mavericks are 13th at 47.1%.
One area where opponents have had success against Dallas is from beyond the arc. On the season, teams are hitting 36.4% of their three-point attempts vs. the Mavericks. In terms of made threes allowed per game, Dallas is 16th at 12.9.
Mavericks vs. Celtics Player Prop
When looking at a player prop for this game, Jayson Tatum has a points prop of 27.5 with both the over and under paying out at -117. Our model predicts that Jayson Tatum will finish the game going 10/21 from the field and scoring 29 points. Our suggested wager is to bet on the over for his prop bet, which comes with a payout of -117.
- The Prop: Jayson Tatum Over 27.5 Points (-117)
Mavericks vs. Celtics Predictions
As the underdogs with a spread of +1, we recommend going with the Celtics on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 211.5 and given that our model is projecting 219 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Celtics +1 | at Fanduel Sportsbook