Best Luka Doncic Props vs. Thunder – Game 3

Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) adjusts a wrist wrap against the Washington Wizards in the second quarter at Capital One Arena.
Image Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

For each game of the NBA season, we provide the best Luka Doncic prop bets. His next game is Saturday, May 11 against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Best Luka Doncic Player Props Bets vs. Thunder

As the Dallas Mavericks prepare to host the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes are on Luka Doncic, who has been a driving force for the team. Despite dealing with a right knee sprain and left ankle soreness, Doncic has continued to perform at an elite level, contributing significantly in points, rebounds, and assists. His resilience and ability to play through pain will be critical as the Mavericks aim to capitalize on their home-court advantage in this pivotal playoff matchup.

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Luka Doncic Over 1.5 Steals And Blocks (-155)

Luka Doncic has been a consistent defensive presence for the Mavericks, and his combined steals and blocks per game indicate a strong likelihood of him hitting the over on this prop. With a season average of 1.95 in this category and a hit percentage of 57.69%, Doncic has shown he can contribute defensively. Moreover, against the Thunder, his average rises to 2.5, with a 75% hit rate, suggesting that he steps up his defensive game against this particular opponent. The home-court advantage also seems to work in his favor, with a slightly higher average of 1.97 and a 59.46% hit rate at home. Despite recent games showing a slight dip, his overall performance this season, especially against the Thunder, gives us confidence in picking the over for Doncic’s steals and blocks.

Luka Doncic Over 3.5 Three Pointers (-102)

Luka Doncic’s three-point shooting has been a critical aspect of his game, and the statistics support an optimistic outlook for him hitting the over on this prop. With a season mean of 3.92 made three-pointers per game and a hit percentage of 58.97%, Doncic has proven his capability from beyond the arc. His performance against the Thunder is particularly noteworthy, with an average of 3.75 made threes and a 75% hit rate, indicating that he finds his rhythm against this team. Although his last five games have seen a decrease in three-pointers made, the overall trend this season, combined with his tendency to perform well against Oklahoma City, suggests that Doncic is likely to exceed the line set for his three-pointers in the upcoming game.

All Luka Doncic Player Prop Picks for Saturday, May 11

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection Our Pick
Luka Doncic Points 30.5 0/10 -108 -112 29.5 29.02 Under
Luka Doncic Rebounds 9.5 0/10 -115 -105 9.0 9.07 Under
Luka Doncic Assists 9.5 0/10 -135 +114 9.2 9.26 Under
Luka Doncic Three Pointers 3.5 0/10 -102 -118 3.4 3.62 Under
Luka Doncic Points, Rebounds & Assists 50.5 0/10 -105 -115 47.7 47.35 Under
Luka Doncic Points & Rebounds 40.5 0/10 -108 -112 38.5 38.03 Under
Luka Doncic Points & Assists 40.5 0/10 -112 -108 38.7 38.32 Under
Luka Doncic Rebounds & Assists 19.5 0/10 -115 -105 18.2 18.29 Under
Luka Doncic NaN 1.5 0/10 +142 -170 1.1 1.07 Under
Luka Doncic NaN 4.5 0/10 +114 -135 3.5 3.93 Under
Luka Doncic NaN 1.5 0/10 -155 +130 1.6 1.67 Under
Luka Doncic NaN 0.5 0/10 +110 -130 0.5 0.58 Under

Luka Doncic Stats for the 2023/24 NBA Season

  • Points Per Game
    • Season: 33.29
    • Home: 33.57
    • vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: 29.0
  • Rebounds Per Game
    • Season: 9.17
    • Home: 9.11
    • vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: 9.75
  • Assists Per Game
    • Season: 9.73
    • Home: 10.05
    • vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: 10.75

Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, May. 11
  • Time: 02:30 PM
  • Location: American Airlines Center – Dallas, TX
  • TV: ABC