Welcome to Kalshi Props Today — your daily snapshot of the most interesting, fun, and timely prediction markets across culture, politics, and sports.
Whether you’re new to Kalshi or already building your prediction portfolio, we’re here to highlight the most compelling plays of the day and why they’re worth a look.
From what’s happening on Capitol Hill to what might happen next in Hollywood, we’re scanning the markets and surfacing positions that blend relevance, value, and a little bit of fun.
Kalshi Props Today: Top Picks & Advice
Think of this as your daily dose of predictive insight — casual, readable, and always on the pulse.
Let’s dive in.
Will Bill Belichick & Jordon Hudson be married before 2027?
Yes 31% (31¢) | No 69% (69¢)
Seems crazy, but they’ve been dating since 2023, according to reports. At roughly a one-in-three price for Yes, and another year for it to happen, it’s possible.
The relationship sits in a nonstop spotlight—sideline cameos, a Hulu series around UNC, and even cheeky trademarks—so an engagement announcement isn’t out of the cards. If you’re making the bull case, it starts with momentum and media oxygen.
Engagement rumors resurface regularly, there’s a coordinated personal-brand push, and the couple doesn’t shy away from public attention. If an official engagement drops, this could rip higher before markets fully reprice—especially if coverage bridges sports outlets and tabloid feeds in the same news cycle.
But the clock matters: “before 2027” is a tight window, and right now the No side is priced as the favorite for a reason. The timeline is short, and UNC’s debut under Belichick was rough; if the season goes sideways, the program becomes the priority, and the relationship becomes a storyline he may want less, not more, attention on.
In messy stretches, it’s easy for outside noise to become scapegoat-adjacent—fairly or not—which doesn’t scream “imminent wedding.”
There’s also the broader context: Tom Brady—Belichick’s most famous counterpart in the public’s relationship scorecard—hasn’t remarried, a reminder that high-profile figures often opt for long horizons over quick ceremonies.
And the Al Pacino/Noor Alfallah comparison is instructive: enormous age gap, intense coverage, even a child together—yet no marriage, and ultimately a split. Public, lopsided-age relationships can run hot without ever ending at the altar.
I lean No at 69% on time pressure plus team turbulence. Size modestly, expect rumor whipsaws, and remember that here the clock is working for the No side until something real lands.
“The Conjuring: Last Rites” Rotten Tomatoes score — Forecast 59.8
Above 57: 71% • Above 60 (Fresh): 36% (Yes 38¢ / No 65¢) • Above 62: 20%
This market is basically asking whether the franchise farewell can clear the Fresh bar, and traders have it hovering right on the knife’s edge.
Early chatter is all over the place. On the plus side, plenty of reactions highlight a warmer, more character-driven send-off—Patrick Wilson and Vera Farmiga’s chemistry still carries scenes, the callbacks land for longtime fans, and some reviewers call the finale suitably nightmarish when it counts.
On the minus side, a big chunk of critics and fan reviews describe a thin script, predictable jump scares, a slow first half, and a finale that chooses sentiment over sustained terror. Even supporters concede it’s lighter on scares than the first two films; detractors frame it as a serviceable but generic capper.
Add in Michael Chaves’ uneven track record in the Conjuring-verse and you get exactly what the price implies: a borderline outcome with two-way risk. Given that spread, I lean under 60 for now.
The “last chapter” glow and affection for the Warrens can nudge scores up, but the recurring notes—telegraphed scares, uneven pacing, and “good, not great” consensus—tend to cap franchise enders in the high-50s/low-60s range rather than push them decisively Fresh. I
If credible critic batches skew nostalgic and tip it to a 61–63% pocket, the market can flip fast; until then, the combination of sentimentality over shock and split reviews makes No on Above 60 at ~65¢ the side.
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